Six Tips for Making Project Estimates More Accurate - Contract Logix (2024)

It happens much more often than any contract manager would like to confess. A potential client requests an estimate of how long it would take to complete X project and what would be the total cost. Without hesitation, the contract manager provides a range of values. A couple of weeks later that same client requests a contract to complete the project and the entire team is shocked that the contract manager has managed somehow to commit to a project at a fraction of the typical cost and duration.

1. Designate a Lead Estimator

Under most scenarios, the estimator will have a background in project management. While the contract manager can provide an estimate, it is a best practice that the estimator has good grasp on the availability and workload of all of the team members who would participate in the new project. This is why a project manager is better suited to develop estimates. The estimator should be proficient in various fields related to the project and be highly experienced in the main area of work to be done on the project. Depending on the complexity of the project, additional junior project managers may be necessary.

2. Encourage Bottom-Up Estimating

Despite having plenty of experience, no project manager can provide a more accurate range of hours necessary to complete the task than the actual individual who would complete the task. In bottom-up estimating, the person completing a task is the one responsible for delivering estimates for the time to complete deliverables outlined by a project manager.

By empowering the people responsible for specific tasks to estimate hours, a lead estimator can receive greater buy-in from those individuals to a project. To increase the accuracy of those estimates, the lead estimator needs to foster an environment in which there is no pressure to commit to unrealistic figures for the sake of presenting a low estimate to a client to win a bid.

3. Gather Detailed Requirements

Of course, the hours provided by the experts are only as good as the provided level of detail presented by the lead estimator or project manager. The lead estimator is responsible for gathering the necessary information from the client. If the client lacks the knowledge or is unwilling to provide specifics, a lead estimator could use a list of requirements from past projects to establish an initial list to work with.

Still, make sure to confirm the project details with the client. Otherwise, you could go back to square one in obtaining hours from each one of your team members.

4. Determine Pessimistic, Best Guess, and Optimistic Estimates

Gathering a range of values is better than providing a single value, but determining worst, most likely, and best-case scenarios is best. By knowing these three different estimates, you’re improving your negotiations for two reasons.

First, you have an actual figure for a “Best Alternative to a Negotiated Agreement” (BATNA). This figure makes it clear for the individual responsible for negotiating the contract as to what are acceptable figures to enter a contractual relationship. Second, this range of values allows that same individual to provide more accurate answers to client questions, including, “How much would it cost if we have one fewer week available?” and, “Could you provide a discount if we could delay the deadline?”

5. Encourage Communication Among Project Members

This is useful when putting together estimates for the entire team. Not only does it ensure that people understand how processes are interconnected, but also provides opportunities to discover potential shortcuts. For example, in investigating a site for a construction or design project, a senior representative of the team of contractors should work with the senior design engineer so they can both provide support to each other in the specifics of the cost estimate.

6. Include Finance and Legal Staff

It is critical to have an experienced financial person in the estimation team, in order to have support in obscure areas such as tax and banking regulations relevant to the project. While the estimator is the lead of this project, he or she may lack sufficient expertise in finance and that is why the senior financial person is required. Just as the estimator may not have complete knowledge of the ins and outs of the local tax and banking regulations, the estimator may not be fully proficient in local legislation and code. The legal staff will provide support in such areas.

Takeaway

In order to provide a more detailed and accurate cost estimate, a lead estimator can take several steps, such as encouraging bottom-up estimating, gathering requirements more effectively, and determining pessimistic, best guess, and optimistic estimates. By following the six tips outlined above, an enterprise will be able to present more sensible and sustainable project estimates to clients.

Six Tips for Making Project Estimates More Accurate - Contract Logix (2024)

FAQs

Six Tips for Making Project Estimates More Accurate - Contract Logix? ›

To improve your estimate accuracy, you should use the right estimation method and break down your work into smaller pieces. Additionally, you can apply historical data and expert opinions to adjust your estimates for uncertainty and risk. Lastly, it's important to track and review your estimates regularly.

How do I make my estimate more accurate? ›

Six Tips for Making Project Estimates More Accurate
  1. Designate a Lead Estimator. ...
  2. Encourage Bottom-Up Estimating. ...
  3. Gather Detailed Requirements. ...
  4. Determine Pessimistic, Best Guess, and Optimistic Estimates. ...
  5. Encourage Communication Among Project Members. ...
  6. Include Finance and Legal Staff.

How can you improve on the accuracy of an estimated value? ›

To improve your estimate accuracy, you should use the right estimation method and break down your work into smaller pieces. Additionally, you can apply historical data and expert opinions to adjust your estimates for uncertainty and risk. Lastly, it's important to track and review your estimates regularly.

What steps do you take to ensure accurate estimates for a project? ›

These techniques will help you uncover enough information to make an accurate estimation.
  1. Top-down estimation. ...
  2. Bottom-up estimation. ...
  3. Three-point estimation. ...
  4. Analogous estimation. ...
  5. Parametric estimation. ...
  6. Expertise-based estimation. ...
  7. Estimations keep your team on track. ...
  8. Requires a project plan before the project starts.
Feb 16, 2024

What is the most accurate estimating technique? ›

Three-point estimating

The three-point estimation method involves creating a probability distribution with a range of three outcomes based on little information or data. This technique takes a mathematical approach to estimation, allowing project managers to be far more accurate with their estimates.

What makes an estimate accurate? ›

Secret 1: Better estimates require better information.

At the outset, it's difficult to really know enough to estimate effectively without further elaboration. For example, until a homebuilder is fully aware of what is expected in a home, there is no way to know what the costs and timeline will be.

How can I make my estimate better? ›

6 Tips To Help You Create Better Estimates
  1. Double your initial guess. Most of us are optimists. ...
  2. Hindsight is 20/20. ...
  3. Don't eat more than you can chew. ...
  4. Identify what's subjective. ...
  5. Never assume anything. ...
  6. Don't offer free estimates.

How do you ensure the accuracy of your estimates? ›

How can you ensure your project estimation is accurate?
  1. Know the scope.
  2. Use reliable data. Be the first to add your personal experience.
  3. Choose the right method.
  4. Involve the experts.
  5. Review and revise.
  6. Learn from experience. Be the first to add your personal experience.
  7. Here's what else to consider.
Dec 1, 2023

How do you increase precision of an estimate? ›

If you increase your sample size you increase the precision of your estimates, which means that, for any given estimate / size of effect, the greater the sample size the more “statistically significant” the result will be.

How do you improve accuracy? ›

How do you improve accuracy? The accuracy can be improved through the experimental method if each single measurement is made more accurate, e.g. through the choice of equipment. Implementing a method that reduces systematic errors will improve accuracy.

Which method you can get most accurate estimate? ›

Detailed estimate is the most accurate method and consist of working out the quantities of each of item of works and working the cost. The dimensions are taken directly from the drawings and quantities of each item are calculated.

How to be a better estimator? ›

These skills include:
  1. Be organized. Being detail-oriented and taking an organized approach toward work makes a world of difference when working with project estimates. ...
  2. Possess architectural knowledge. ...
  3. Have ethics. ...
  4. Prioritize research.
May 23, 2023

How can a project manager improve their estimation accuracy? ›

12 Tips for Increasing Estimating Accuracy
  1. Maintain an ongoing "actual hours" database of the recorded time spent on each aspect of your projects. ...
  2. Create and use planning documents, such as specifications and project plans.
  3. Perform a detailed task analysis of the work to be performed.

Which method provides the most accurate estimate? ›

The actual cost method is probably the most accurate cost estimating method when the data is available. The Office of Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation (CAPE) prefers this method since it uses actual or near actual data for the system of interest.

Which is the most reliable estimate method? ›

Answer: Detailed estimate is the most reliable estimation. A imprecise calculation of the value, number, quantity, or extent of something is defined as an estimate. When a solution is acceptable and is also very close to the true answer, estimates of numbers are employed to make mental calculations easier and faster.

Which style of estimate is more accurate? ›

Definitive estimate:

Typically, bottom-up estimates are placed in this category – the most accurate estimate is a definitive estimate, since the way to create one is to estimate the individual costs for the different parts of the project and then put them together into one estimate.

What to do when an estimate is wrong? ›

In many cases, you might need to meet the client somewhere on the price difference. Discuss with management early as well so that you can figure out what your company can do to ease the blow. Look for any alternative options (if they exist), for how costs might be reduced or balanced out somehow.

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