What will central banks do in a cashless world? (2024)

Economics has always had a strange and much-debated relationship with money. For a long time, economists – including Nobel laureates such as Merton Miller and Franco Modigliani – regarded money merely as a medium of exchange. But by building on the work of John Maynard Keynes and Hyman Minsky, economists have since moved beyond a narrow focus on the quantity of money to consider its structural influence on the real economy and the financial system.

A structural understanding of money and finance becomes even more important in an increasingly digitalised and cashless world because there is a growing need for policymakers to operate not just as market fixers but as proactive market shapers. A cashless world not only changes people’s relationship with money and creates new opportunities for how it is managed or even conceived; it also puts new pressure on central banks to reimagine their role and become more innovative.

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Project Syndicate

What will central banks do in a cashless world? (2024)

FAQs

What will central banks do in a cashless world? ›

With cashless transactions rapidly replacing physical cash, central banks have an opportunity to serve the public interest by providing or shaping the infrastructure on which digital-payment systems are built.

Will the US become a cashless society? ›

Similar rates have been recorded across other Scandinavian nations, while Hong Kong predicts cash will account for only 1.6% of point-of-sale (POS) transactions by 2024. But despite this global shift away from tangible currency, the US isn't likely to transition officially any time soon.

What would happen if we go cashless? ›

The Drawbacks of a Cashless Society

Without cash, we would be forced to leave a record of everything we buy. While this may not bother some, there are many who worry that governments and/or corporations could use our purchasing histories as a way to track us, monitor us, and even intimidate us.

Which banks are not going cashless? ›

Westpac, ANZ, CommBank and NAB have ruled out going cashless, but the banks have shuttered branches across regional Australia, leaving some customers without the option to bank with cash.

Why will cash never go away in the US? ›

Security Issues. Some consumers choose to pay for purchases with cash because of security concerns. Every time another big company suffers a breach that compromises payment card information, consumers worry about how that impacts them.

What happens to your money in a cashless society? ›

In a cashless society, financial transactions are not conducted with physical banknotes or coins, but instead with digital information (usually an electronic representation of money).

How long before cash is obsolete? ›

From paper to polymer banknotes

We have been issuing banknotes for over 300 years and make sure the banknotes we all use are of high quality. While the future demand for cash is uncertain, it is unlikely that cash will die out any time soon.

Is cash going to be phased out? ›

With cash payments on a downward trajectory and some businesses phasing out cash as a payment option, could there be a point in the future where cash use goes the way of cheques? "If we look at look the growth trajectory it's very likely that by 2030 more than 95% of payments will be cashless," says Zhong.

What are the dangers of cashless? ›

A cashless society would rely on a complex network of digital systems, which would be vulnerable to cyberattacks. If these systems were hacked, it could have a devastating impact on the economy. Privacy is the third challenge raised. Cash can be exchanged anonymously, leaving no digital trail.

How to prepare for a cashless society? ›

Three steps for banks to prepare for a cashless world
  1. Invest in integrated payment solutions to help meet merchants' digital-first needs. ...
  2. Expand to adjacent areas to provide more “money management” capabilities. ...
  3. Explore the viability of new payment flows.

What is the darkside of cashless? ›

When you pay digitally, you always leave a digital footprint, and this footprint is easily monitored by financial institutions. Understandably, consumers are uneasy about their data being harvested or tracked by big businesses. Many people also feel that cashless spending is more difficult to control.

How close are we to cashless? ›

The US is moving toward cashless payments, with a substantial increase in the use of mobile wallet apps and contactless cards. A report from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco found that payments made using cash accounted for just 18% of all US payments in 2022.

Which country is closest to cashless? ›

Just fill in our quick form. Norways is the most cashless country, with only around 2% of payments being made by cash, and 100% of the population having a bank account.

Is China cashless? ›

In recent years, payment in China has undergone a remarkable transformation, evolving into an almost cashless society characterised by mobile solutions. While this payment method has not yet arrived in Germany, it is ubiquitous in China and simplifies people's everyday lives.

Why does the government want to get rid of money? ›

Why Eliminate Cash? Cash can be used in criminal activities such as money laundering and tax evasion because it is difficult to trace. Digital transactions or electronic money create an audit trail for law enforcement and financial institutions and can aid governments in economic policymaking.

Will paper money be phased out? ›

As people move toward more electronic or digital forms of payment, it might seem like paper money is on its way toward obsolescence. But experts say that cash will always be around.

Is the US going to a digital dollar? ›

Is the US Going to Digital Dollar? As of June 2024, the US Federal Reserve has not decided to transition to a CBDC or supplement its existing monetary system with one. It is researching the effects a CBDC would have on the dollar, the US, and the global economy.

Is the US dollar going away? ›

There is no reason to expect the U.S. dollar to collapse in the near future. 515 Such a change would require the entire world to change its adherence to an international monetary system that has the greenback at its center. As yet, no replacement is anywhere on the horizon.

What country is going to a cashless society? ›

Norway has an unbanked population of 0%, meaning every single citizen has a bank account. Only around 2% of payments in the country are made with cash. With 32 ATMs per 100,000 people, Norway is currently one of the most likely countries to become a cashless society.

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