'This Is A Long-Term Bull Market': Expert Ed Yardeni Stands By His 5,400 Year-End S&P 500 Target, Predicts 26% Upside By 2026 (2024)

FAQs

What is the stock market outlook for 2026? ›

Overall, Yardeni Research forecasts S&P 500 operating earnings at $250 in 2024, up 12% vs 2023. He puts them at $270 in 2025 (up 8%) and $300 in 2026 (up 11.1%). These figures compare with analysts' consensus forecasts of $244.70 in 2024, $279.70 in 2025 and $314.80 in 2026.

The revised estimates from strategists now put their average year-end target for the S&P 500 at 5,289, implying a decline of less than 1% from Monday's levels, according to MarketWatch calculations. Heading into 2024, the average target was around 5,117 (see table below).

Prices of securities rise and fall continuously during trading. But a bull market occurs over extended periods of time during which a large portion of security prices rise overall. Bull markets tend to last for numerous months or even years.

S&P 500 earnings to increase 9.3% compared to a year ago. S&P 500 earnings growth to accelerate in the second half of the year. Full-year S&P 500 earnings growth of 11.4% in 2024. Full-year S&P 500 revenue growth of 5% in 2024.

Unlike the rapidly dwindling balance in your brokerage account, cash will still be in your pocket or in your bank account in the morning. However, while moving to cash might feel good mentally and help you avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be a wise move over the long term.

Generally, a bull market occurs when there is a rise of 20% or more in a broad market index over at least a two-month period.” During a bull market, investors are generally enthusiastic about a strong economy and solid job growth. The longest bull market in history started in 2009 and extended through 2020.

Investing in bull and bear markets

Having a higher allocation of stocks is optimal in a bull market, where there's more potential for higher returns. One way to capitalize on the rising prices of a bull market is to buy stocks early on and sell them before they reach their peak.

Here are some reasons why 2024 is shaping up to be a historic bull market. The 'sell in May and go away' adage says to sell in May and go away thru October. A full 6 months. And then buy back into the market in November and stay in thru April.

What stocks is Congress buying in 2024? ›

Optimistic: 6%-7% per year.

If you assume margins and P/E multiples will remain at their current high level, and expect sales and buybacks to grow at their historical rates, then you can anticipate making about 6% in returns per year over the next decade.

BlackRock. Highlights: 5.2% 10-year expected nominal return for U.S. large-cap equities; 9.9% for European equities; 9.1% for emerging-markets equities; 5.0% for U.S. aggregate bonds (as of September 2023). All return assumptions are nominal (non-inflation-adjusted).

Analysts expect S&P 500 profits to jump 8% in 2024 and 14% in 2025 after subdued growth last year, data compiled by BI show. The earnings forecast could be even higher next year in the event of zero rate cuts in 2024, said Andrew Slimmon, portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.

What is the UiPath Inc. stock prediction for 2030? According to our UiPath Inc. stock prediction for 2030, PATH stock will be priced at $ 8.60 in 2030. This forecast is based on the stock's average growth over the past 10 years.

If you assume margins and P/E multiples will remain at their current high level, and expect sales and buybacks to grow at their historical rates, then you can anticipate making about 6% in returns per year over the next decade.