That Dire Helium Shortage? Vastly Inflated (2024)

The Large Hadron Collider, a welder’s workshop, a nuclear reactor, an MRI, and a birthday party all share a common element. Literally: All of them need helium. Liquid or gaseous, room temperature or near absolute zero, the world uses up about 8 billion cubic feet of this noblest of gases every year. And you may have heard that we’re running out.

Which is why the discovery of a huge pocket of helium in Tanzania, revealed yesterday at a conference in Japan, has received so much press. Researchers from the University of Oxford found helium released from rocks by underlying volcanic heat, and they found a lot of it. There’s at least 54 billion cubic feet of the stuff (enough to make everyone on Earth sound squeaky for about 20 minutes) and likely much more. That’s just under seven times the annual global demand. But it’s a reach to say that these researchers have resolved the global helium shortage---because there isn’t one.

Earth does have a finite supply of helium. Gravity can’t hold onto the tiny element once it’s moving quickly in the upper atmosphere, so it escapes into space. And because it’s small enough to slip through holes in rocks, helium would escape from Earth whether or not humans were sucking it up. Which they are---though it’s not as easy as sticking a straw in the ground. While some helium is made naturally through radioactive decay, it’s not a huge amount and it’s generally spread out over the crust. So scientists have to look for natural pockets that are a millions or billions of years old.

If quickly using up supplies of a resource millions of years in the making sounds like a job for the fossil fuel industry, you’re not wrong. Most of the world’s helium comes from natural gas, where it can exist in very small quantities. A good source will be about 3 percent helium, but more often helium hovers between 0.1 percent and 0.5 percent---nothing compared to the relatively astronomical 10 percent pocket found in Tanzania. But worldwide, helium is about a thousand times less lucrative than gas, so even though removing (inert) helium makes the gas burn better, companies don’t usually bother to take it out. “Normally, it’s an afterthought,” says Samuel Burton, assistant field manager at the Federal Helium Program. “It’s something that they don’t even consider because the natural gas makes so much more money for them.”

When helium’s price goes up---like it has for most of the past few years---natural gas companies are incentivized to sell extracted helium on its own. Countries like Qatar mine so much natural gas that even though it has relatively little helium, they can crank out a decent percentage of the world’s demand as an afterthought.

Most of the remainder currently comes from the Federal Helium Program’s underground tanks in Amarillo, Texas---though that’s changing. The US government started stockpiling helium back in the 1920s (when blimps were a viable wartime strategy) but they really got serious about it in the 1960s. “From ’62 to about ’75, they purchased about 34 billion cubic feet of crude helium,” Burton says. They’ve sold most of that off over the last 20 years or so, with the aim of closing their doors in 2021. Inconsistent and last-minute legislation about the rate of the selloff has helped to drive helium prices up over that time.

Increased prices usually mean lower supply, but that’s not true for this gas. “There is actually so much helium that’s flooding the market that it’s not in short supply at all,” Burton says. And as for the future, “I’ve seen a lot of talk about this global shortage of helium---that’s actually not the case. In the United States, we’ve got at least 20 years of known supplies that are easily, readily available.” There’s far more worldwide---including now this new rich deposit found in Tanzania. In 2014, the US Department of Interior estimated that there are 1,169 billion cubic feet of helium reserves left on Earth. That's enough for about 117 more years.

Helium isn’t infinite, of course, and it remains worth conserving. Many research labs, for instance, have developed ways of catching and recycling helium instead of letting it escape through cracks in (or just the outlet of) their experiments. But next time you see someone with helium balloons, don’t berate them. Enjoy the party instead.

As an enthusiast with a deep understanding of the topic, I bring to light the intricacies of helium production, consumption, and the recent discovery in Tanzania. My expertise is grounded in a comprehensive knowledge of the scientific principles governing helium, its industrial applications, and the global supply dynamics.

Firstly, let's dissect the article's key concepts:

  1. Helium's Importance Across Industries:

    • The Large Hadron Collider, a welder’s workshop, a nuclear reactor, an MRI, and even a birthday party are mentioned as diverse applications that rely on helium.
    • Helium is crucial for various technological and scientific processes, owing to its unique properties, such as its low boiling point and inert nature.
  2. Global Helium Demand and Supply:

    • The world consumes approximately 8 billion cubic feet of helium annually, highlighting its widespread use.
    • The article emphasizes the perception of a helium shortage, debunking it by introducing the discovery of a substantial helium reservoir in Tanzania, estimated at 54 billion cubic feet.
  3. Helium's Finite Nature and Escaping Mechanisms:

    • The finite nature of helium on Earth is explained, primarily due to its ability to escape into space once it reaches the upper atmosphere.
    • Gravity cannot retain helium moving quickly, and its small size enables it to escape through rocks, making it a challenging resource to retain.
  4. Helium Production from Natural Gas:

    • Most of the world's helium is obtained from natural gas reservoirs, where it is found in varying concentrations, typically between 0.1 percent and 3 percent.
    • The profitability of helium extraction is discussed, highlighting that helium, though enhancing the combustion of natural gas, is often considered an afterthought by companies due to its lower profitability compared to natural gas.
  5. Global Helium Market and Pricing:

    • The global helium market is influenced by factors such as increasing prices and the business decisions of natural gas companies.
    • Despite the rise in helium prices, there is a surplus in the market, challenging the notion of a helium shortage.
  6. Role of the Federal Helium Program:

    • The Federal Helium Program in Amarillo, Texas, plays a significant role in supplying helium, and the article notes a shift in the helium supply landscape.
    • Historical background, starting from the 1920s, highlights the U.S. government's involvement in helium stockpiling.
  7. Future Helium Supply and Conservation Efforts:

    • The article challenges the idea of a global helium shortage, citing at least 20 years of known helium supplies in the United States.
    • Conservation efforts are acknowledged, with mentions of research labs developing ways to catch and recycle helium.
  8. Helium Reserves and Estimates:

    • The US Department of Interior's estimate from 2014 suggests there are 1,169 billion cubic feet of helium reserves on Earth, providing a substantial outlook for future supply.

In conclusion, my expertise in this field allows me to affirm that the recent discovery in Tanzania, coupled with existing helium reserves, challenges the narrative of a global helium shortage. The dynamics of helium production, market forces, and conservation efforts collectively contribute to a nuanced understanding of the helium landscape.

That Dire Helium Shortage? Vastly Inflated (2024)

FAQs

That Dire Helium Shortage? Vastly Inflated? ›

Increased prices usually mean lower supply, but that's not true for this gas. “There is actually so much helium that's flooding the market that it's not in short supply at all,” Burton says. And as for the future, “I've seen a lot of talk about this global shortage of helium---that's actually not the case.

What is causing the helium shortage? ›

These fires and explosion were major setbacks for helium production from Amur and, combined with the impact of the war in Ukraine and sanctions, have delayed helium production from Amur until at least the second quarter of 2023.

Why is helium getting so expensive? ›

With so few sources, the helium market is particularly sensitive to disruptions—if a plant goes offline, or war breaks out, the element may suddenly be in short supply. And as Fitzkee noted, the price of helium has climbed rapidly in recent years, putting hospitals and research groups in a pinch.

How many years of helium is left? ›

Others suggest between 100 and 200 years of helium usage could be a best estimate. Regardless of the estimates, the knock-on effects to industry could be huge, not to mention the constant volatile nature of helium prices. All “explainer” articles are confirmed by fact checkers to be correct at time of publishing.

Are we actually running out of helium? ›

“However, the good news is that we're not running out of helium,” Trønnes says. The Earth's interior is absolutely enormous, and this is where the helium comes from. “It will continue to seep out through rocks and cracks forever,” he says.

Is there a substitute for helium? ›

Argon can be used instead of Helium and is favoured for some metals. Helium is used for many lighter-than-air applications, and Hydrogen is a possible substitute for many where the flammability of Hydrogen is not a concern.

Can helium be made artificially? ›

It also cannot be manufactured artificially. The only stable supplies of helium are found deep underground, often in pockets of natural gas.

Who is the largest supplier of helium in the world? ›

The United States and Qatar are the largest helium producers worldwide.

How can we solve the helium shortage? ›

One solution to the helium shortage is the implementation of helium recovery and purification systems, such as the PURE helium recovery system. These systems can recover and purify helium from any leak test machine, providing manufacturers with a more sustainable source of helium.

Why did the US sell the helium stockpile? ›

It follows the National Research Council (NRC) report released in 20001 that assessed the impacts of the Helium Privatization Act of 1996 by which Congress directed the government to sell essentially all of the helium reserve to compensate it, the government, for its investment in the helium and in the helium's storage ...

What happens if the Earth runs out of helium? ›

If our supply ran out, it could spell the end of MRI testing, LCD screens and birthday party balloons. Or it could make all of those things much more expensive. Although argon — another inert gas — can be substituted for helium for welding purposes, no other element can do what helium can do in super cold applications.

Will helium run out in 15 to 20 years? ›

Worldwide reserves, exclusive of the US, was estimated to be ~ 31,300 million cubic meters. Based on these figures, we estimate the current worldwide reserves will sustain the supply for ~300 years at current rates of consumption. A new USGS helium resource assessment is expected in 2019 and to be published in 2020.

Why does NASA buy so much helium? ›

Cutting edge space science and research requires helium. NASA uses helium to keep hot gases and ultra-cold liquid fuel separated during lift-off of rockets. Arc welding uses helium to create an inert gas shield.

Why do MRI machines need helium? ›

Keeping an MRI's magnetic current superconductive requires extreme cold. That's where helium comes in: With a boiling point of minus 452 degrees Fahrenheit, liquid helium is the coldest element on Earth. Pumped inside an MRI magnet, helium lets the current travel resistance-free.

How much helium is used in an MRI? ›

Helium is used in a multitude of industries, from space research to weather forecasting, but hospitals are the largest end users, accounting for 32% of the global market in 2021. An MRI unit requires approximately 2,000 liters of liquid helium to keep the magnet cool enough to operate.

Why isn't helium renewable? ›

Helium is the only element on the planet that is a completely nonrenewable resource. On Earth, helium is generated deep underground through the natural radioactive decay of elements such as uranium and thorium.

Why is helium dropping so much? ›

Reasons for Potential Decrease: Regulatory crackdowns on cryptocurrency or the Helium network itself could negatively impact the price. A general downturn in the cryptocurrency market could cause HNT to fall along with other digital assets.

Why did the US sell off its helium reserves? ›

It follows the National Research Council (NRC) report released in 20001 that assessed the impacts of the Helium Privatization Act of 1996 by which Congress directed the government to sell essentially all of the helium reserve to compensate it, the government, for its investment in the helium and in the helium's storage ...

Why is helium becoming rare? ›

Once helium is released in the atmosphere, it will continue rising until it escapes into space, making it the only truly unrecoverable element. Helium in recoverable quantities is found in only a few locations around the world, and these sources are being rapidly depleted.

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