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Tesla Inc
NASDAQ:TSLA
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Price:229.6187USD-0.08%
Market Cap:733.5BUSD
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TSLA Alert
Tesla Inc
229.6187
-0.1913 (-0.08%)
| 52 Week Range | 142.05 276.04 |
| Price Target |
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Section:
DCF Value
This DCF valuation model was created by
Alpha Spreadand was last updated onSep 13, 2024.
Estimated DCF Value of oneTSLAstock is63.3703USD.Compared to the current market price of 229.6187 USD, the stock isOvervalued by 72%.
TSLADCF Value
Base Case
63.3703USD
Overvaluation 72%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
63.3703
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
Hide
DCF Value:63.3703USD
Present Value Calculation
This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.
DCF Model
Base Case Scenario
DCF Model
Base Case Scenario
The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 50.5B USD.The present value of the terminal value is 127.5B USD.The total present value equals 178B USD.
Operating Model
Firm Model: via FCFF, w/o CapEx
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Show All DCF Settings
Terminal Growth
%
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Revenue
Operating Margin
Taxes
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DCF Value Calculation
This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.
Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure
Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure
| Present Value | 178B USD |
| +Cash & Equivalents | 14.6BUSD |
| +Investments | 16.1BUSD |
| Firm Value | 208.7BUSD |
| -Debt | 5.5BUSD |
| -Minority Interest | 795mUSD |
| Equity Value | 202.4BUSD |
| /Shares Outstanding | 3.2B |
| TSLA DCF Value | 63.3703USD |
Overvalued by 72%
Valuation Analysis
Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.
DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation
DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation
Revenue
104.8B198.3B
Operating Income
8.2B22B
FCFF
8B15.8B
See Also
Summary
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
Wall Street Estimates
Profitability Analysis
Solvency Analysis
Financials
Discount Rate
Discover More
What is the DCF value of one TSLA stock?
Estimated DCF Value of oneTSLAstock is63.3703USD.Compared to the current market price of 229.6187 USD, the stock isOvervalued by 72%.
The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.
How was the DCF Value calculated?
1. Present Value Calculation.Utilizing the DCF operating model, Tesla Inc's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at178B USD.
2. DCF Value Calculation.The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of63.3703 USDper share.
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';return tooltip;}// dcfCalculator.renderValueDecompositionChart = function (){if (this.valueDecompositionChart){this.valueDecompositionChart.destroy();this.valueDecompositionChart = false;}this.valueDecompositionChart = this.createValueDecompositionChart();}dcfCalculator.createValueDecompositionChart = function (){varcObj = this;varcolumns = cObj.createValueDecompositionChartColumns();return Highcharts.chart('dcf-calculator-value-decomposition-chart', {credits: {enabled: false},chart: {type: 'waterfall',spacing: 0},plotOptions: {waterfall: {borderWidth: 0,borderRadius: 3,},series: {dataLabels: {enabled: true,inside: false,crop: false,formatter: function () {vardivider = getDivider(this.y);vardividerText = getDividerShortText(divider);varvalue = accounting.formatNumber(this.y / divider) + dividerText;if (!this.point.isSum)value = ((this.y < 0) ? '' : '+') + value;return value;},style: {fontWeight: 'normal',color: '#7B8794'}}}},title: {text: null},xAxis: {type: 'category',tickColor: 'transparent',lineColor: 'transparent',labels: {step: 1,style: {fontSize: '0.85rem',fontWeight: 300,color: '#3E4C59'}}},yAxis: {title: {text: null},labels: {enabled: false},visible: false},legend: {enabled: false},tooltip: {shared: false,backgroundColor: 'rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)',borderWidth: 0,borderRadius: 0,padding: 0,shadow: false,shape: 'rect',useHTML: true,formatter: function () {return cObj.createValueDecompositionChartTooltip(this);},style: {fontSize: '0.95rem'}},series: [{data: columns}]});}dcfCalculator.createValueDecompositionChartColumns = function (){varcObj = this;varcolumns = new Array;vardates = cObj.model.cashFlowsDates;varnHistoricalCashFlows = cObj.model.nHistoricalCashFlows;for (var i = 0; i < cObj.cashFlowsPv.length; i++){varcf = cObj.cashFlowsPv[i];vardate = dates[nHistoricalCashFlows + i];columns.push({name: date,color: (cf > 0) ? '#079A82' : '#EF5350',y: Math.round(cObj.cashFlowsPv[i])});}columns.push({name: 'Growth Period Value',color: '#627D98',isSum: true});columns.push({name: 'Terminal Value',color: (cObj.tvPv > 0) ? '#079A82' : '#EF5350',y: Math.round(cObj.tvPv),});columns.push({name: 'Total Present Value',color: '#627D98',isSum: true,});return columns;}dcfCalculator.createValueDecompositionChartTooltip = function (obj){varcolor = obj.color;varitem = obj.key;vardivider = getDivider(obj.y);vardividerText = getDividerShortText(divider);varvalue = accounting.formatNumber(obj.y / divider) + dividerText;vartooltip = '';if ((!obj.point.options.isSum) && (obj.y > 0))value = '+' + value;tooltip += '
';tooltip += '
| ' + item + ': | ';tooltip += `${value} USD | `;tooltip += '
';tooltip += '
';return tooltip;}// dcfCalculator.renderSensitivityResults = function (fieldName, sensitivityResults) {this.sensitivityChart = this.createSensitivityChart(fieldName, sensitivityResults);if (this.sensitivityChart)this.renderSensitivityInfoOnChart(sensitivityResults);}dcfCalculator.destroySensitivityChart = function () {if (this.sensitivityChart){this.sensitivityChart.destroy();this.sensitivityChart = false;}}dcfCalculator.createSensitivityChart = function (fieldName, sensitivityResults) {varcObj = this;return Highcharts.chart('sensitivity-analysis-chart', {credits: {enabled: false},title: {text: null},chart: {type: 'column',backgroundColor: 'transparent',zooming: {mouseWheel: false}},legend: {enabled: false},plotOptions: {column: {crisp: false,borderWidth: 0,borderRadius: 2}},xAxis: {tickColor: 'transparent',lineColor: 'transparent',startOnTick: false,endOnTick: false,labels:{enabled: true,reserveSpace: true,style: {fontSize: '0.85rem',fontWeight: 300,color: '#3E4C59'},formatter: function () {return accounting.formatNumber(this.value) + '%'}},},yAxis: {title: {text : null},gridLineColor: '#E4E7EB',gridLineDashStyle: 'Dash',startOnTick: false,endOnTick: false,opposite: true,labels: {enabled: true,reserveSpace: true,style: {fontSize: '0.85rem',fontWeight: 300,color: '#3E4C59'},formatter: function () {if (this.value == 0)return '';return accounting.formatNumber(this.value) + ' USD'}},min: 0},tooltip: {outside: true,backgroundColor: 'rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)',borderWidth: 0,borderRadius: 0,padding: 0,shadow: false,shared: true,shape: 'rect',hideDelay: 50,useHTML: true,formatter: function () {return cObj.createSensitivityChartTooltip(this, fieldName);},style: {fontSize: '0.95rem'}},rangeSelector: {enabled: false},scrollbar: {enabled: false},navigator: {enabled: false},series: [{name: 'Intrinsic Value',data: sensitivityResults,dataGrouping: {enabled: false,},zones: [{value: 229.6187,color: '#EF5350'}, {color: '#26A69A'}]}],responsive: {rules: [{condition: {maxWidth: 991},chartOptions: {yAxis: {labels: {enabled: false}}}}]}});}dcfCalculator.createSensitivityChartTooltip = function (obj, fieldName){vartooltip = '';varintrinsicValue = accounting.formatNumber(obj.y, countDecimals(obj.y)) + ' USD';varunderOverValuation, underOverValuationText;if (229.6187 > obj.y){if (obj.y > 0)underOverValuation = (229.6187 - obj.y) / 229.6187;elseunderOverValuation = 1;underOverValuationText =accounting.formatNumber(underOverValuation * 100) +'% overvalued';}else{underOverValuation = 1 - (229.6187 / obj.y);underOverValuationText =accounting.formatNumber(underOverValuation * 100) +'% undervalued';}tooltip += '
';tooltip += '
| ' + fieldName + ': | ';tooltip += '' + obj.x + '% | ';tooltip += '
| Intrinsic value: | ';tooltip += '' + intrinsicValue + ' | ';tooltip += '
';tooltip += '
';if (229.6187 > obj.y){tooltip += `
${underOverValuationText}
`;}else{tooltip += `
${underOverValuationText}
`;}tooltip += '
';return tooltip;}dcfCalculator.renderSensitivityInfoOnChart = function (sensitivityResults){this.renderStockPriceOnSensitivityChart();}dcfCalculator.renderStockPriceOnSensitivityChart = function (){this.sensitivityChart.yAxis[0].addPlotLine({dashStyle: 'ShortDot',value: 229.6187,width: 1,zIndex: 3,color: '#1F2933',label: {y: -2,x: -10,useHTML: true,text: '
Last Price: 229.6187 USD
',align: 'right'}});}dcfCalculator.startExclusiveAnimator = function (selector, callback){varcObj = this;if (cObj.animatorStates[selector] === undefined)cObj.animatorStates[selector] = 'init';if (cObj.animatorStates[selector] === 'init'){cObj.animatorStates[selector] = 'started';new Animator($(`#${selector}`), () => {cObj.animatorStates[selector] = 'init';callback();});}}//
