Are You Ready to Invest in a Volatile Real Estate Market? - Real Estate Investor Magazines (2024)

By Jimmy King, Founder, Contrarian RE Fund 1, LLC

The recent announcement by Blackstone the final close of its latest global real estate fund, Blackstone Real Estate Partners X (“BREP X”) with $30.4 billion of total capital commitments (the largest real estate or private equity drawdown fund ever raised), reflects confidence for investing in real estate during periods characterized by market volatility. In a news release announcing the fund, a Blackstone executive stated that the company has made some of their best investments in periods characterized by market volatility and dislocation.

The market is certainly volatile at this time, and plentiful opportunities exist to invest in distressed real estate.

ADVERTIsem*nT

Being successful at these types of investments requires the ability to identify and acquire real estate properties that are being sold at steep discounts. Many of these opportunities exist in multifamily and manufactured home communities that are suddenly being made available for well under the original asking price as owners struggle with increased debt and/or escalating fees. Some are even selling for as little as 60 percent of their original value (2019 highs vs today) . And while opportunities exist, being a successful investor requires a great deal of insight, information and investigation before a purchase is made.

The Contrarian RE Fund 1, LLC, actively researches and identifies distressed real estate assets and reviewing if they are viable options for the fund’s “Value-Add” business model. If they are, the team of experts make purchase decisions regarding the properties by investigating the level of enhancements and improvements that need to be made for each property.

The “Value-Add” business model has realized significant profits since it was first implemented in 2009. By purchasing properties with low rental rates and making substantial physical and operational enhancements that improve both the property and resident experience, the model has been proven to be able to consistently achieve higher rental rates and refinance initial capital investment.

Some of the key factors to consider when making the decision to join a fund that invests in distressed real estate includes:

Size of the Fund

Are you interested in investing in a massive fund, like the $30.4 billion fund structured by Blackstone, or a fund that is less than $50 million? The key differences between massive and smaller investment funds are (JIMMY, WHY WOULD A PERSON CHOOSE A SMALLER FUND? FOR EXAMPLE, DOES A SMALLER FUND PROVIDE A FASTER RETURN ON AN INVESTMENT? ARE THERE FEWER PENALTIES/RISKS? ETC)

ADVERTIsem*nT

Are You Ready to Invest in a Volatile Real Estate Market? - Real Estate Investor Magazines (3)

Personal Interaction

A smaller fund will provide you with the opportunity to interact on a personal level with the management team, whereas a larger fund won’t go beyond the standard paperwork to update you on your investment. You’ll also have the opportunity to meet members of the team (the craftspeople and contractors who are working on a real estate renovation that you’ve invested in, for example). It’s highly unlikely that the management team at Blackstone is sharing their cell phone numbers with investors in that fund.

Decision Making Process

As an outcome of the personal interaction with the management team of a small fund, you’ll have the opportunity to contribute to the decision making process. While the team for a smaller fund brings strong real estate market knowledge on a local level, they will also likely be willing to accept input and ideas from knowledgeable investors. Opportunities will present themselves that the management team may not be aware of, but that investors can bring to the table, for the good of everyone.

Intangibles

While the opportunity to invest in distressed real estate is intended to show a profitable return, there are some intangible outcomes as well. For example, renovating properties will help to improve neighborhoods and communities by eliminating blighted real estate. This type of contribution goes far beyond the initial investment, especially when investors are personally familiar with the property and can visit it and feel pride in what they’ve accomplished.

As more and more opportunities to invest in distressed properties present themselves, the time to act is now. If this seems like an appealing investment option to you, be sure to take the time to research what’s available and which type of fund is the best fit for you.

James King is the Founder of the Contrarian RE Fund 1, LLC, and along with his team of professionals has successfully owned and operated more than 2,000 units across the United States. He can be reached at KingCommunities.com ([emailprotected]) or 562-208-7649.

Are You Ready to Invest in a Volatile Real Estate Market? - Real Estate Investor Magazines (2024)

FAQs

Should you invest in a volatile market? ›

The longer the period of investing, the less that volatility will have an effect on the overall, long-term performance of a portfolio. Many risk-averse investors fear volatility and while it's true that a volatile market is psychologically hard to weather, long-term investing is not as affected as one might believe.

Is real estate a volatile investment? ›

You get to set the rent price, but if you are overpriced compared to comparable units within the area, you will likely have empty units, which decreases the value of your investment. In that sense, real estate is a volatile investment because the market largely dictates the value of a given piece of property.

How do you know if you are ready to invest in real estate? ›

10 Signs You Should Invest in Real Estate
  • You are financially stable. ...
  • You have done your research. ...
  • You have assessed your goals. ...
  • You know the neighborhood. ...
  • There are infrastructure projects underway, or new attractions planned nearby. ...
  • You are familiar with the house you are looking to buy.

Is now a good time to invest in real estate in 2024? ›

Will the Housing Market Crash in 2024? As already-high home prices continue trending upward, you may be concerned that we're in a bubble ready to pop. However, the likelihood of a housing market crash—a rapid drop in unsustainably high home prices due to waning demand—remains low for 2024.

Where to put money in a volatile market? ›

Money that you'll need soon or that you can't afford to lose shouldn't be in the stock market—it's best invested in relatively stable assets, such as money market funds, certificates of deposit (CDs), or Treasury bills.

Where to invest when the market is volatile? ›

Safe investment options in a volatile market
  • Recurring Deposit (RD) Recurring Deposits are also among the safest investment options available to you as an investor. ...
  • Gold. ...
  • Life Insurance Policy. ...
  • National Pension System (NPS) ...
  • Conclusion.

Is it a bad time to invest in real estate? ›

There is no right or wrong time to invest because the real estate world constantly changes. It is never too late or too early; investors can be at any age.

Is it better to invest in real estate or the stock market? ›

Stock Market vs.

In terms of averages, stocks have tended to have higher total returns over time. The S&P 500 stock index has had an average annualized return of around 10% over very long periods (higher if you include dividends), while average annual real estate returns are often more in the 4-8% range.

What is the most volatile investment? ›

The 10 Riskiest Investments
  • Oil and Gas Exploratory Drilling. ...
  • Limited Partnerships. ...
  • Penny Stocks. ...
  • Alternative Investments. ...
  • High-Yield Bonds. ...
  • Leveraged ETFs. ...
  • Emerging and Frontier Markets. ...
  • IPOs. Although many initial public offerings can seem promising, they sometimes fail to deliver what they promise.

Is $5000 enough to invest in real estate? ›

Most people don't realize they can invest in real estate with $5,000, or $500, or even $50. They think they have to save up tens of thousands for a down payment if they bother to give it any thought at all. I used to buy rental properties directly, putting down tens of thousands on each.

How do you know when you are ready to invest? ›

If you consistently have money left over from your paycheck or business earnings each month — after paying monthly bills, setting aside dollars for non-recurring expenses (like property taxes and car insurance), building up your emergency fund, and making loan payments — then you may be ready to start investing.

Which real estate investment is best? ›

Commercial real estate investment is less risky than residential real estate investment as there would be a professional bond between the renter and the owner. Since there is a professional bond, you need to maintain the standards of the commercial space also.

Will 2024 be a good year for the market? ›

Analysts project 11.5% earnings growth and 5.5% revenue growth for S&P 500 companies in 2024. Fortunately, analysts see positive earnings and revenue growth for all eleven market sectors this year.

Will 2024 be the best time to buy a house? ›

In summary, buying a house in California in 2024 may be a good time for some buyers, depending on their personal and financial situation. The housing market is expected to rebound from a sluggish year in 2023, with more supply and demand, higher prices and affordability, and lower mortgage rates and inflation.

Is it a buyers or sellers market in 2024 in the USA? ›

In 2024, homebuyers can expect high home prices and slightly lower mortgage rates later in the year. Hopeful buyers should start preparing as early as possible by saving money and improving their credit. Look into affordable mortgage programs and down payment assistance to boost affordability.

Can you make money in a volatile market? ›

When volatility spikes, you have the opportunity to generate an above-average profit, but you also run the risk of losing a great deal of capital in a relatively short period of time. With a disciplined approach, you can learn to manage volatility for your benefit—while minimizing risks.

Is volatility in stock market good or bad? ›

Whether volatility is good or bad depends on what kind of trader you are and what your risk appetite is. For long-term investors, volatility can spell trouble, but for day traders and options traders, volatility often equals trading opportunities.

Why should investors stay invested during market volatility? ›

Amid stock market volatility, it's critical to avoid emotional moves that could stunt long-term portfolio growth, financial experts say. U.S. stocks on Monday plunged as part of a global sell-off fueled by U.S. recession fears. But investors should avoid panic-selling to maximize long-term returns.

How do you benefit from market volatility? ›

CLOs benefit from their unique non-mark-to-market financing structures. This insulates investors from short-lived swings in market price volatility for underlying assets. As a result, CLOs can take advantage of volatility during times of market distress.

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