6 Contrarian Investment Ideas (2024)

What Is Contrarian Investing?

Buying the Unloved Strategy

6 Contrarian Investment Ideas (1)

Growth of 10K since January 1994, with data through November 30, 2023. After 30 years, the initial version of the unloved approach has easily outpaced the loved approach and the global large-stock blend Morningstar Category average.

Least Popular Fund Categories

With independent investment data, investors can turn up the most promising funds in a rejected category of equity, fixed-income, or allocation funds.

A quick note: for timeliness, this approach was calculated with flows data through November 2023 and does not account for December flows.

Now let's get into the specifics.

Large value

Despite high inflows over the last two years, the large value category saw the greatest absolute dollar outflows in 2023. These portfolios primarily invest in U.S. companies in the top 70% of the capitalization of the equity market. Value is defined based on low valuations and slow growth.

Large growth

The large-growth Morningstar Category has seen some of the highest outflows in 22 of the last 100 years. These portfolios invest in big U.S. companies that are projected to grow faster than other large-cap stocks. Mostly, these funds focus on companies in rapidly expanding industries.

Health sector funds

Health funds have struggled over the last two years. These focus on the medical and healthcare industries, investing in everything from pharmaceutical and medical device makers to HMOs, hospitals, and nursing homes. Some concentrate on one segment, such as service providers or biotechnology firms.

Bank loan funds

These mutual funds or ETFs primarily invest in floating-rate bank loans. The portfolios aim to compensate for higher credit risk with high-interest payments that usually float above a common short-term benchmark.

Bank loan portfolios can come with implementation challenges and limited upside potential due to the lack of call protection. With almost no preconditions, bank loans can be refinanced at or near par to cut interest costs.

Muni national short bonds

These short-term bonds are issued by state and local governments from across the country. Governments use the revenue to fund public projects, and bondholders usually don’t have to pay federal taxes on income. To lower risk, these portfolios spread assets across many states and sectors.

Muni national short bonds have durations of less than 4.5 years or average maturities of less than five years. Because of their shorter duration, they are less vulnerable to changes in interest rates.

Most Popular Fund Categories

Contrarian vs. Value Investing

How to Find Contrarian Investment Strategies

6 Contrarian Investment Ideas (2024)

FAQs

What are contrarian investors buying? ›

Contrarian investing may see the most overlap with value investing. Both approaches seek out opportunities that have been overlooked and mispriced by the majority of investors. Both are seeking stocks that are underpriced, or where the share price is below their estimate of a company's intrinsic value..

What is a contrarian investment strategy? ›

Contrarian investing involves a strategy where investors intentionally go against prevailing market trends. This means that instead of following the crowd, contrarians seek opportunities in undervalued or unpopular assets, anticipating a future reversal in sentiment.

What are the 5 golden rules of investing? ›

The golden rules of investing
  • If you can't afford to invest yet, don't. It's true that starting to invest early can give your investments more time to grow over the long term. ...
  • Set your investment expectations. ...
  • Understand your investment. ...
  • Diversify. ...
  • Take a long-term view. ...
  • Keep on top of your investments.

What are the 4 golden rules investing? ›

They are: (1) Use specialist products; (2) Diversify manager research risk; (3) Diversify investment styles; and, (4) Rebalance to asset mix policy. All boringly straightforward and logical.

Is Warren Buffett contrarian? ›

Lessons from famous contrarian investors

One of the most famous contrarian investors of all time is Warren Buffet who famously said: “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” Just because Buffett looks like a calm individual, most people assume his investing strategy is not contrarian.

Is contrarian trading profitable? ›

A contrarian strategy can be beneficial, especially if the investor does not give in to the market's fear and excitement as propagated by the media outlets. Since they are aware that they cannot time the market, investors take control of their own investments through the contrarian approach.

What is the best contrarian indicator? ›

3 Top Sentiment Indicators For Contrarian Investing
  • Trading Charts on a Display. getty.
  • Fear/Greed Index. CNN.
  • AAII Sentiment Reading. Ycharts.
Jun 6, 2024

What is the most common winning investment strategy? ›

Value investing, or the Warren Buffett strategy, is one of the most consistent strategies for maximizing long-term returns. It involves buying stocks that have a lot of value either at or below their actual value. Determining which stocks to choose can be challenging, but it helps to keep a few things in mind.

What is a contrarian buy signal? ›

A contrarian indicator is a form of market indicator that tells a trader it might be a good time to do the opposite of what the majority of investors are doing. For example, a contrarian indicator may tell a trader to buy a stock in the middle of a sell-off.

What is Warren Buffett's golden rule? ›

Title: The Essence of Warren Buffett's Golden Rule: Never Lose Money.

What is the Buffett rule of investing? ›

Some of his most well-known principles include the following: “Price is what you pay, value is what you get.” One of Buffett's most famous quotes highlights his focus on value investing. He believes that it is more important to focus on the value a company provides, rather than simply its stock price.

What are the 4 C's of investing? ›

To help with this conversation, I like to frame fund expenses in terms of what I call the Four C's of Investment Costs: Capacity, Craftsmanship, Complexity, and Contribution.

Do 90% of millionaires make over 100k a year? ›

Ninety-three percent of millionaires said they got their wealth because they worked hard, not because they had big salaries. Only 31% averaged $100,000 a year over the course of their career, and one-third never made six figures in any single working year of their career.

What is the #1 rule of investing? ›

1 – Never lose money. Let's kick it off with some timeless advice from legendary investor Warren Buffett, who said “Rule No. 1 is never lose money.

What is the 7% loss rule? ›

To make money in stocks, you must protect the money you already have. That brings us to the cardinal rule of selling. Always sell a stock it if falls 7%-8% below what you paid for it. This basic principle helps you always cap your potential downside.

What are the three mistakes investors make? ›

The worst mistakes are failing to set up a long-term plan, allowing emotion and fear to influence your decisions, and not diversifying a portfolio. Other mistakes include falling in love with a stock for the wrong reasons and trying to time the market.

Do contrarian investors consider a high put-call ratio? ›

Contrarian investors use the put-call ratio to help them determine when market participants are getting overly bullish or too bearish. An extremely high put-call ratio means the market is extremely bearish.

What are value investors buying? ›

What Is Value Investing? Value investing is an investment strategy that involves picking stocks that appear to be trading for less than their intrinsic or book value. Value investors actively ferret out stocks they think the stock market is underestimating.

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