10 Conflicts to Watch in 2024 (2024)

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10 Conflicts to Watch in 2024 (2)

2024 is off to a glum start, with wars raging on multiple continents and little hope for diplomatic breakthroughs. Every January in Foreign Policy, the International Crisis Group’s Comfort Ero and Richard Atwood list out 10 conflicts to watch in the year ahead. Their list includes Ukraine, Gaza, a wider Middle East war, and Sudan, of course, but it also details tensions in Ethiopia, the Sahel, Myanmar, Haiti, Armenia-Azerbaijan, and the possibility of conflict between the United States and China.

Is the world confronting more conflicts than usual? If so, then why? And what can be done about it?

The International Crisis Group is an independent organization that speaks to all sides in conflicts and seeks diplomatic avenues to solve them. FP’s Ravi Agrawal spoke with the group’s president and CEO, Comfort Ero, on FP Live.

10 Conflicts to Watch in 2024 (3)

Comfort Ero

President & CEO, International Crisis Group

Comfort Ero is the president and CEO of the International Crisis Group. She joined the organization as West Africa project director in 2001 and rose to become Africa program director and then, in January 2021, interim vice president. Ero has spent her entire career working on or in conflict-affected countries. In between her two tenures at Crisis Group, she served as deputy Africa program director for the International Center for Transitional Justice (2008-2010) and political affairs officer and policy advisor to the special representative of the U.N. secretary-general at the U.N. Mission in Liberia (2004-2007).

10 Conflicts to Watch in 2024 (4)

Host

Ravi Agrawal

Editor in chief, Foreign Policy

Ravi Agrawal is the editor in chief of Foreign Policy, the host of FP Live, and a regular world affairs analyst on TV and radio. Before joining FP in 2018, Agrawal worked at CNN for more than a decade in full-time roles spanning three continents, including as the network’s New Delhi bureau chief and correspondent. He is the author of India Connected: How the Smartphone Is Transforming the World’s Largest Democracy.

Related

Why Is the World Seeing More Conflicts Than Usual?

Comfort Ero explains why leaders seem more inclined toward war than dialogue.

| Ravi Agrawal

10 Conflicts to Watch in 2024

More leaders are pursuing their ends militarily. More believe they can get away with it.

Analysis | Comfort Ero, Richard Atwood

10 Conflicts to Watch in 2023

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is still reverberating around the world—and setting the stage for more large-scale violence to come.

Analysis | Comfort Ero, Richard Atwood

10 Conflicts to Watch in 2022

Battle deaths may be down, but regional wars continue to rage as great-power confrontations loom, from Ukraine to Taiwan, amid declining U.S. influence.

Feature | Comfort Ero, Richard Atwood

10 Conflicts to Watch in 2024 (6)

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On-Demand from FP Live

NATO’s Future

After a decade as the secretary-general of NATO, Jens Stoltenberg will step down from his job on Oct. 1. How has Russia’s aggression transformed the world’s largest military alliance? How is that alliance assessing challenges in the future, whether from China or artificial intelligence? Stoltenberg sat down with host Ravi Agrawal for an exit interview.

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H.R. McMaster on America’s Foreign-Policy Choices

H.R. McMaster served as former President Donald Trump’s national security advisor for all of 13 months. In a new book, At War With Ourselves, he candidly describes his old boss’s foreign-policy foibles. But McMaster is also critical of the Biden administration, particularly how it has handled Afghanistan and Iran. McMaster joined FP Live to describe how he assesses global crises and what the White House needs to do to combat them.

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The China Challenge

The United States has undergone a dramatic change in its China policy in the last decade. How does that play out in day-to-day diplomacy? Nicholas Burns has served as the U.S. ambassador to China since 2022. He will sit down with FP’s Ravi Agrawal in a rare long-form interview to discuss the state of the U.S.-China relationship, encompassing trade, technology, Taiwan, and more.

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Could Civil War Erupt in America?

From Northern Ireland to Syria, Barbara F. Walter has studied the genesis of civil wars around the world. The conditions that foment conflict are predictable, she says—and there are signs that those conditions are growing increasingly visible in the United States. Can citizens and institutions stave off violence? Walter joined FP Live to lay out lessons for the United States in a crucial election year.

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10 Conflicts to Watch in 2024 (2024)
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