Why luck is a self-fulfilling prophecy, according to this expert (2024)

Luck is one of humanity’s most useful concepts for making sense of random chance and the (seemingly) unexplainable. If you find a $20 bill on the ground, you have good luck. If a gust of wind blows away your $20 bill just as you pull it out of your wallet, you have bad luck.

Around the New Year and Lunar New Year, luck rituals around the world are performed to bring in the good stuff and banish the bad stuff. But what role does luck play in our everyday lives? Do people actually have the power to make themselves lucky?

Richard Wiseman, who wrote a book about luck and is a psychology professor at University of Hertfordshire, said that he’s found there are such things as lucky and unlucky people.

“We worked with exceptionally lucky and unlucky people [in our research],” he said. “There are huge differences in their lives.”

While “lucky people are always in the right place at the right time,” unlucky people can’t catch a break.

“I think a big part of that, not all of it, but a big part of it is the way in which they’re thinking and where they’re behaving,” Wiseman said.

Watch the conversation in the player above.

Wiseman argued that psychological behaviors are what determine the luck a person perceives in their life. In a paper published in Developmental Psychology, psychology professor Jacqueline D. Woolley of University of Texas, defined luck in three ways: a supernatural event; an explanation people use to make sense of certain events; and a personal attribute one has within themselves.

In the conversation with the PBS NewsHour, Wiseman focused on the personal attribute definition, saying that people who believe lucky things happen to them tended to fare better than people who felt unlucky.

“The lucky people knew how to bounce back. The unlucky ones tended to get dragged down by that failure,” he said.

So if luck is based on psychological behavior, can you change your luck? “You absolutely can,” Wiseman said.

He suggested making small changes in your everyday routine, like writing down notes of gratitude and how you felt lucky at the end of a day for several weeks. You can also switch up something as simple as taking a different route to work or school. Even changing up the shows you watch on TV can create new modes of thinking. In the words of Roman philosopher Seneca, “luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”

“Another thing is … being a flexible thinker and having a flexible approach to life,” he said. “Anything like that will mean you’re more open to opportunities when they come along. So these are very simple things everyone can do, but they have quite a large impact.”

Luck also plays a big role in society, Wiseman said. For example, during the recent Lunar New Year, many Asian cultures seek better luck and abundance by using the color red and eating fish. He said that these kinds of rituals have been around for a long time because of the way human nature behaves.

“[Luck] manifests itself in a different way in different societies. But what’s underpinning that is that we like to be in control,” Wiseman said. “We feel anxious and worried if we’re in situations where we’re not in control. And so what people do to try and court good luck is all sorts of rituals, some of them superstitious.”

Wiseman said luck affects all parts of society, even those people who may be trained to be more skeptical of the idea.

“I know very rational scientists that would still talk about crossing their fingers or touching wood,” he said. “So it’s something that’s deeply ingrained in our psyche.”

Why luck is a self-fulfilling prophecy, according to this expert (2024)

FAQs

Why luck is a self-fulfilling prophecy, according to this expert? ›

In the conversation with the PBS NewsHour, Wiseman focused on the personal attribute definition, saying that people who believe lucky things happen to them tended to fare better than people who felt unlucky. “The lucky people knew how to bounce back.

What do philosophers say about luck? ›

For example, a common claim in philosophy of action is that acting because of luck prevents free action. A platitude in epistemology is that coming to believe the truth by sheer luck is incompatible with knowing.

What is the meaning of self-fulfilling prophecy? ›

A self-fulfilling prophecy is an expectation or belief that can influence your behaviors, thus causing the belief to come true. The idea behind a self-fulfilling prophecy, also known as the Pygmalion effect, is that your belief about what will happen drives the actions that make that outcome ultimately come to pass. 1.

What does science say about luck? ›

In a paper published in Developmental Psychology, psychology professor Jacqueline D. Woolley of University of Texas, defined luck in three ways: a supernatural event; an explanation people use to make sense of certain events; and a personal attribute one has within themselves.

What is the concept of luck? ›

It likely entered English as a gambling term, and the context of gambling remains detectable in the word's connotations; luck is a way of understanding a personal chance event. Luck has three aspects: Luck is good or bad. Luck is the result of chance. Luck applies to a sentient being.

Why do we believe in luck? ›

A belief in luck appears to soothe our discomfort with randomness but can also make us fearful of doing anything that might incite bad luck.

What is the problem of luck in philosophy? ›

The problem of moral luck arises from a clash between the apparently widely held intuition that cases of moral luck should not occur with the fact that it is arguably impossible to prevent such cases from arising. The literature on moral luck began in earnest in the wake of papers by Thomas Nagel and Bernard Williams.

What is self-fulfilling prophecy quizlet? ›

self-fulfilling prophecy. an expectation that causes you to act in ways that make that expectation come true. -expectations of others can cause a powerful situation.

What are the 4 principles of self-fulfilling prophecy? ›

The four stages of a self-fulfilling prophecy are impacting the belief of others about one's self, reinforcement in the belief based on the responses of others to the individual, the influence of an individual's belief on the prophecy from the responses from others, and the individual's actions changing their behavior.

What is the self-fulfilling prophecy in psychology today? ›

A self-fulfilling prophecy occurs when our beliefs influence our behaviors. An example of this would be if we predict that we will fail at a certain task, such as giving a speech and subsequently wind up stumbling through it.

Why is luck so important? ›

Lucky people are more likely to notice, create and act on opportunities. They use their gut feeling to make successful decisions. They persevere in the face of failure and take more calculated risks. They work to transform bad luck into good fortune by learning from experiences.

What creates luck? ›

Openness to Opportunities

Luck isn't always random; it can be spotted if you allow yourself to look for it. By being aware of your circ*mstances and surroundings, you can create your own luck by noticing and acting on opportunities.

Does luck lead to success? ›

Luck is a bigger part of success than you think — but it can only take you so far. Luck is more important to career success than most people think. But talent and effort matter, too. The harder and smarter you work, the luckier you get.

What do they say about luck? ›

Luck is the idol of the idle.” “Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.” “Luck is what you have left over after you give 100 percent.” “Luck never gives; it only lends.

What is the meaning of real luck? ›

Luck is chance or happenstance. If something happens from pure good luck, it seemingly came out of nowhere, based only on fate and not on anything you did to make it happen.

What is the meaning of by luck? ›

Definitions of by luck. adverb. by accident. synonyms: by chance, haply.

What does Aristotle say about luck? ›

There is one kind of fortune which is the possession of natural good desires: this is indeed regular, and so there is no objection to saying that it is natural, but it is not a matter of luck. 'Not all who seem to have good fortune prosper by luck, and not through nature' (1248a12 ff.).

What do stoics say about luck? ›

According to the Stoics, from the point of view of the perfectly rational person, luck in its conventional sense is thus but an illusion: any event ordinarily ascribed to luck can in the end be explained in terms of reason.

What is Kant's view about moral luck? ›

For example, according to Williams, 'any conception of “moral luck”, on this [Kantian] view, is radically incoherent. ' 3 Similarly, according to Nagel, 'Kant believed that good or bad luck should influence neither our moral judgment of a person and his actions, nor his judgment of himself. '

What is the luck objection in philosophy? ›

The leading challenge to libertarianism is the Luck Objection. While the challenge has taken various forms, the common theme is that libertarians cannot explain how causally undetermined actions could be exercises of free will, as op- posed to mere matters of luck or chance for which no one is morally responsible.

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