What Is the Real Relationship Between Gold and the US Dollar? (2024)

Aside from its role as a metal or a commodity, gold is one of the oldest means of exchange known to the human race. In fact, gold has a dual role as both a commodity and a currency. Gold has amazing properties; as a metal, it is soft, dense, lustrous, brilliant, ductile, and malleable.

Learn about gold and its relationship to the U.S. dollar.

Key Takeaways

  • Gold has been the standard of value throughout history and remains a highly desired asset today.
  • As a commodity, the value of gold changes with supply, demand, and market sentiment.
  • The dollar is not tied to the value of gold, but gold's price is linked to the dollar's value.

Gold's History and Symbolism

Throughout history, civilizations have coveted gold. Even today, gold remains the ultimate prize. Gold is not only a prize and a symbol of wealth, it is also a metaphor. It's an honor to receive a gold medal, to be told you have a heart of gold, or to own a gold credit card.

The exchange of gold bands symbolizes love and marriage in many societies. Gold is the ultimate symbol of the pinnacle of human achievement. Today it continues to be a psychological barometer of market sentiment. Gold is a rare metal. In the history of the world, mining has produced only 187,000 tonnes.

The fact that governments worldwide hold gold as a foreign exchange reserve highlights the importance of the metal. Throughout history, many governments used gold to back their currencies, creating a gold standard.

Gold vs. the US Dollar

Today, while governments maintain hoards of this yellow metal, none use it to back their paper money. Gold is usually denominated in U.S. dollars. Therefore, there is a relationship between the price of gold and the dollar, in that there can be an effect on gold prices as the value of the dollar rises and falls.

While the relationship between the value of the U.S. dollar and gold is important, the dollar is not the only factor that affects the price of the precious metal. Other factors that affect the value of both gold and the dollar are interest rates, inflation, monetary policy, and supply and demand.

Note

The Chalcolithic period, from 5,000 to 3,000 BCE, marked the first discovery of gold in its natural form in riverbeds and the creation of old ornaments dating back to this part of the Stone Age.

The prices of gold and the dollar may often appear to oppose each other due to investor sentiments and economic factors, but there is no set or official relationship between the two.

Gold is an asset. As such, it has intrinsic value. However, that value can fluctuate over time, sometimes in a volatile fashion. As a rule, when the value of the dollar increases relative to other currencies worldwide, the price of gold tends to fall in U.S. dollar terms.

It is because gold becomes more expensive in other currencies. As the price of any commodity moves higher, there tend to be fewer buyers; in other words, demand recedes. Conversely, as the value of the U.S. dollar moves lower, gold tends to appreciate as it becomes cheaper in other currencies. Demand tends to increase at lower prices.

Gold does not yield interest in itself; therefore, it must compete with interest-bearing assets for demand. In other words, other assets will command more demand because of their interest rate component.

Note

While the U.S. dollar gold price is a widely accepted benchmark, 95% of the world must translate the value of the metal to their local exchange rates.

There is also a psychological factor attached to the value of gold. The price of gold is often sensitive to the overall perceived value of fiat or paper currencies in general terms.

Here's one way of looking at this relationship: There are approximately 330 million people in the United States, while the total world population is around 7.7 billion. Less than 5% of the world lives in a nation where the U.S. dollar is the national currency.

Gold's Role

The role of gold as a currency is ubiquitous around the world. Throughout history, gold has been money. The ancient philosopher Aristotle wrote that money must be durable, divisible, consistent, and convenient and that it must possess value in itself.

Gold meets all of these characteristics. During times of fear or geopolitical turmoil, the price of the historic metal tends to rise as faith in governments falls. During times of calm, the price of gold tends to fall. As perhaps the world's oldest and most storied currency, gold is an essential barometer in terms of global economic and political well-being.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

What is the current value of gold in dollars?

In June 2021, the price of an ounce of gold fluctuated from roughly $1,750 to $1,900.

What is the value of a gold dollar coin?

There were a few times in history when the U.S. minted $1 coins with actual gold. The last regular issue gold dollar coin was minted in the late 19th century. Today, the value of these coins depends on their condition. The worst quality coins are essentially worth their melt-down value of roughly $150, while collectors will pay much more for a coin with details intact. Those coins are different from the gold-colored Sacagawea coins that the U.S. began minting at the start of the 21st century. Those newer coins did not contain real gold and are still worth exactly $1.

What Is the Real Relationship Between Gold and the US Dollar? (2024)

FAQs

What Is the Real Relationship Between Gold and the US Dollar? ›

Because gold is generally dollar-denominated, a stronger U.S. dollar tends to drive gold prices lower, and vice versa. Real and expected inflation rates also affect the price of the metal.

What is the relationship between the dollar and gold? ›

With the dollar depreciating against the world's major currencies such as the euro and the yen, gold prices will rise. Because the price of gold is traded in dollars, so when the dollar weakens Gold is cheaper compared to other currencies that investors hold.

Is the U.S. dollar actually backed by gold? ›

Prior to 1971, the US dollar was backed by gold. Today, the dollar is backed by 2 things: the government's ability to generate revenues (via debt or taxes), and its authority to compel economic participants to transact in dollars.

Why does gold go up when the dollar goes down? ›

Economic and geopolitical uncertainty tend to be positive drivers for gold, due to its safe-haven status and ability to remain a reliable store of value. It has low correlation with other asset classes, so can act as insurance during falling markets and times of geopolitical stress.

Why is gold paired with USD? ›

Gold is paired with the US dollar (XAU/USD) in Forex trading due to historical ties, its role as a safe-haven asset, an inverse relationship with the US dollar, high liquidity, and portfolio diversification benefits.

Why is gold a hedge against the dollar? ›

Many investors consider gold to be the ultimate safe-haven hedge against inflation. It's been a store of value for thousands of years, and it has real-world uses in jewelry and electronics, which provides tangible value. And unlike fiat currencies, there is a relatively limited supply of gold.

When was the dollar unlinked from gold? ›

President Richard Nixon closed the gold window in 1971 in order to address the country's inflation problem and to discourage foreign governments from redeeming more and more dollars for gold.

Why did the US stop backing the dollar with gold? ›

The gold standard was abandoned due to its propensity for volatility, as well as the constraints it imposed on governments: by retaining a fixed exchange rate, governments were hamstrung in engaging in expansionary policies to, for example, reduce unemployment during economic recessions.

Who controls the value of the dollar? ›

The Department of the Treasury is the lead agency setting U.S. international economic policy, including policies regarding the dollar. The value of the dollar is determined in foreign exchange markets, and neither the U.S. Treasury nor the Federal Reserve targets a level for the exchange rate.

What gives the US dollar its value? ›

Like any other fiat currency, the dollar's value depends on the economic activity and outlook of the United States. In addition to supply and demand and market factors, sentiment influences the dollar's value on the global market.

What will happen when the U.S. dollar collapses? ›

What Would Happen If the U.S. Dollar Collapses? If the U.S. dollar collapses: The cost of imports will become more expensive. The government wouldn't be able to borrow at current rates, resulting in a deficit that would need to be paid by increasing taxes or printing money.

What should I own if the dollar collapses? ›

Gold And Precious Metals

Gold and silver have always been seen as a safe haven during economic turmoil. In addition, other precious metals can be used to store value in a dollar collapse situation. Having such assets in gold IRAs that can be easily converted to cash if needed is a wise move.

What can you do with gold if the dollar collapses? ›

Gold is not just a hedge against inflation but also a hedge against currency devaluation. If the U.S. dollar collapses, gold will remain relatively stable in comparison and can be used to preserve wealth and provide security in an uncertain economic climate.

What currency is most correlated to gold? ›

USD and gold

Perhaps the best known correlation of all is between the US dollar and gold. Gold is priced in US dollars, so its price is hugely dependent on the strength of the currency.

What does gold have to do with the US dollar? ›

Because gold is generally dollar-denominated, a stronger U.S. dollar tends to drive gold prices lower, and vice versa. Real and expected inflation rates also affect the price of the metal.

What money is linked to gold? ›

No country uses a gold (or silver) backed currency. Many countries peg their currencies to the U.S. dollar but the U.S. dollar is not pegged to anything.

What is the dollar to gold ratio? ›

1 USD = 0.00039739 XAU Sep 10, 2024 21:17 UTC

Check the currency rates against all the world currencies here. The currency converter below is easy to use and the currency rates are updated frequently.

What is the gold trend in the dollar? ›

Gold is expected to trade at 2532.66 USD/t oz. by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 2623.27 in 12 months time.

What is the relationship between gold oil and dollar? ›

Simply put, whenever global oil prices shot up, the price of gold also rose. Similarly, whenever the U.S. dollar declined in value against the currencies of its major trading partners, gold appreciated in price.

What causes the price of gold to drop? ›

Conversely, when the supply of gold is high and demand is low, the price will fall. Additionally, other factors like interest rates, inflation, currency value, geopolitical events, and economic conditions can have an impact on gold prices.

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