Venture Capital Fund Returns | Seraf-Investor.com (2024)

Note: This article is the sixteenth in anongoing serieson venture fund formation and management.To learn more about managing a fund, download this free eBook today Venture Capital: A Practical Guide or purchase a hard copy desk reference at Amazon.com.

Venture Capital Fund Returns | Seraf-Investor.com (1)In Part I of this article, we discussedthe two key components of compensation in a venture fund - management fees and carry -andwhat level of capital commitmentLPs expect from GPs. Now let's take a look at historical VC fund metrics,what kind of returns LPs should anticipate from a venture fund, andsome ways to improve the rate of return.

What level of investment returns do LPs expect from a venture fund?

Because the risks of investing in startup companies are much greater than the risks of investing in public companies, and the holding periods are long, the fees are significant, and the money is totally tied up and illiquid throughout, VC funds need to outperform the public stock market indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, etc.) by a significant amount to make economic sense. So an annual 10% rate of return for an investor in a VC fund is not enough. LPs are looking for annual return percentages at least in the high teens or low twenties. Or put another way, they are looking for 5-15 percentage points above what the money would have done in a broad-based market index during the same period. And keep in mind that the effective performance threshold is raised by the fact that GPs are taking management fees out as they go along, and also ultimately taking a carry out of any profits. This means GPs have to exceed those levels of return on a gross basis to ensure they meet the performance expectations of the LPs on a net-of-fees-and-carry basis.

Based on detailed research from Cambridge Associates, the top quartile of VC funds have an average annual return ranging from 15% to 27% over the past 10 years, compared to an average of 9.9% S&P 500 return per year for each of those ten years (See the table on Page 13 of the report).

So, if you are an investor in one of these top quartile funds, your returns are better than what you would expect to achieve in the public market indices. However, if you invested in one of the bottom quartile VC funds over the past 10 years, your returns are mostly in the low single digits. You would have been better off in a fund that tracks the S&P 500 (and you would have paid a lot less in fees)! And, not surprisingly, there has been much written about how the average VC fund has underperformed relative to expectations and various benchmarks. This is a hard business and the only thing that keeps the LPs coming back is the promise of outsized returns that might be achieved if they end up in one of the top performing funds.

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In addition to analyzing annual rates of return, it’s helpful and common for LPs evaluating VC funds to look at the Distributed to Paid-In (DPI) ratio and the Total Value to Paid-In (TVPI) ratio.

  • The DPI ratio is a calculation of the total amount of capital returned to the investors divided by the amount of capital invested into the fund.

  • The TVPI ratio is a calculation of the total amount of capital returned to the investors along with any remaining value still in the fund divided by the amount of capital invested into the fund.

It should be noted, if you want to be a top decile fund, your final DPI ratio needs to be around 3x. In other words, for every 1 dollar invested in a VC fund, there needs to be a return to LPs of 3 dollars over the subsequent 10 year time period. As you can see in the Cambridge Associates chart below, the TVPI ratio (light blue bars), goes as high as 4.5x in the boom years of the Internet bubble and down to 1.5x during the post-bubble years.

Venture Capital Fund Returns | Seraf-Investor.com (2)

Taken together these VC performance indices should give early stage investors a sense of what the professional money managers achieve when working with these startup companies (albeit at a slightly later stage.)

What are some ways to improve the rate of return for the LPs?

As discussed in the question above, the Internal Rate of Return (IRR), also known as the Annual Rate of Return, for a venture fund should be in the 15% to 27% range. There are approaches that GPs can look at to help improve the IRR results for their LPs. To understand how GPs might apply these approaches to their fund, it is important to understand key factors that affect your annual rate of return. Computing your fund’s IRR is all about tracking the timing as well as the inflows and outflows of money. This can be a rather labor-intensive thing to do manually with a spreadsheet, but fund management platforms like Seraf will do this for you automatically, which can greatly speed up and improve the quality of your reporting to LPs. The longer amount of time your fund keeps the LP’s money, the lower the IRR is for the LP.

To understand this concept, let’s use a simple example. Which of the following two investments would you rather have?

1) You get 4X your original investment in 2 years

2) You get 8X your original investment in 6 years

Many would reflexively jump for the 8X. But I would go with investment 1, because I am doubling my money every year. With investment 2, you are doubling your money every 2 years. The time and risk horizon on the second investment is longer, and, of course, so is the opportunity cost you would incur by tying your money up in it. Simple though it is, this example shows you the importance of time when it comes to annual rates of investment returns.

So, if GPs wish to use this approach to improve LP returns, they need to carefully manage the timing and flow of money into the fund. In venture funds, it is common practice to make multiple capital calls during the early years of the fund’s life cycle. Some funds will ask for 33% of the committed capital at the launch of the fund, followed by two additional 33% capital calls during the early years of the fund’s life. That keeps things simple and efficient for the GPs and ensures that cash is readily available when you need to move quickly to make an investment in one of your portfolio companies. However, it’s not an efficient use of your LPs’ capital. In an ideal world, you would only make capital calls for the exact amount of cash you need at the exact time it’s needed. That way, your LPs keep their cash in their own accounts. But that is an extreme and you are going be looking for a balance. By adopting a program of more frequent, smaller capital calls, a venture fund can boost it’s IRR for the LPs by a few percentage points (in exchange for additional fund management work).

Another option for improving fund returns relates to lowering the payout percentage of management fees. This approach to boosting returns won’t work for many GPs because it results in lower income during the early years of the fund. But for those GPs who can afford to forgo near term income, it’s an interesting option.

Here’s an example of how it works:

In our $50M fund example, a 2% management fee will result in $7.5M paid out in management fees. Those fees reduce the amount of capital available for investments to $42.5M because the fees come out of the committed capital. If you want to show your LPs that you have real skin in the game, what better way than to invest those management fees with the fund and thereby boost the actual size of the fund’s holdings while reducing your up-front take home management fee in exchange for more of your upside on the success of the fund! This approach gives the fund more money in the winners to base their calculated returns on, and it shows LPs how confident the GPs are in the fund that they will invest their fees alongside rather than take them up front.

Now let's addresssome of the costs associated with running a fund,who pays for these organizational expenses, and the totallevel of compensation a VC can make running an early stage venture fund in Part III of this article.

Want to learn more about managing a fund?Download this free eBook today Venture Capital: A Practical Guide or purchase a hard copy desk reference at Amazon.com.

Venture Capital Fund Returns | Seraf-Investor.com (2024)

FAQs

What is the average return on venture capital funds? ›

The outperformance of venture capital funds is also evident using an IRR (Internal Rate of Return) metric. The average annual IRR return of VC funds between 2005 and 2018 was 22%, compared to 16.6% for all other PE funds.

What is a good return on investment for a venture capitalist? ›

The TLDR; seed investors shoot for a 100x return; Series A investors need an investment to return 10x to 15x and later stage investors aim for 3x to 5x multiple of money. This translates into portfolio returns from 20% to 35% targeted IRRs.

Does venture capital outperform the S&P 500? ›

From 2010 to 2016, a significant growth period for the markets as they bounced back from the Great Recession, the average internal rate of return (IRR) for venture capital investments was 21.9%, with the top quartile achieving an IRR of 25.6%. In comparison, the S&P 500 had an average IRR of 12.2% over the same period.

What is the target return for venture capital? ›

In the venture capital method, the venture capital investor uses the target rate of return to calculate the present value of the projected terminal value. The target rate of return is typically very high (30-70%) in relation to conventional financing alternatives.

What is high return in venture capital? ›

The high average return is explained by the high volatility. If an investment has an even chance of doubling or halving in value, it has a 25 percent mean return. For each dollar invested, you could make a dollar, or lose 50 cents. The larger the volatility, the greater this effect.

What is a good IRR for a venture capital fund? ›

According to research by Industry Ventures on historical venture returns, GPs should target an IRR of at least 30% when investing at the seed stage. Industry Ventures suggests targeting an IRR of 20% for later stages, given that those investments are generally less risky.

What is the preferred rate of return in venture capital? ›

The minimum return to investors to be achieved before a carry is permitted. A hurdle rate of 10% means that the private equity fund needs to achieve a return of at least 10% per annum before the profits are shared according to the carried interest arrangement.

What is the success rate of venture capital? ›

Successful startup founders have the highest success rates on their VC investments, nearly 30 percent. They are followed by professional VCs at just over 23 percent, and unsuccessful founder-VCs at just over 19 percent.

What percentage of venture capital investments fail? ›

There will always be money to be raised. And yet, despite all that cash flowing into VC-backed companies, twenty-five to thirty percent of them will fail. One in five fail by the end of their first year; only thirty percent will survive more than ten years.

What is better than venture capital? ›

Angel investors help startups build their businesses by financing them at the early stages. Unlike VCs who can borrow from institutions to raise funds, angel investors typically use their own wealth to finance entrepreneurs, participating in the growth without holding direct operational control.

What percent of portfolio should be venture capital? ›

In their white paper researcher Brian Moretta found that investors with normal risk profiles (equity:bond portfolios that are between 60:40 and 80:20), who add an appropriate proportion of venture capital (10-20%) can add 0.5-1% to expected annual returns without increasing overall portfolio risk, even without any tax ...

How much should you invest in venture capital? ›

VC investing can be an attractive addition to your portfolio. For risk-averse investors, allocating a modest 1 percent to 3 percent of assets may be prudent. More aggressive investors with higher risk tolerance might be comfortable with 5 percent to 15 percent. There are so many factors to consider.

What is the 10X rule for venture capital? ›

My simple advice when you raise capital: assume you have to return a liquidity event (sale or IPO) of at least 10x the amount you raise for raising venture capital to be worth it. Valuations change from round to round. Later stage investors will expect lower ROI, seed investors will be looking for a lot more.

What is the average return of venture capital funds? ›

They expect a return of between 25% and 35% per year over the lifetime of the investment. Because these investments represent such a tiny part of the institutional investors' portfolios, venture capitalists have a lot of latitude.

What is ROI in venture capital? ›

Enhance your understanding of return on investment (roi) and optimize your strategies for success with Lark's tailored solutions designed for the unique needs of the investment landscape. Lark Editorial Team | 2024/2/16.

What is the average return of a venture capital trust? ›

Last week, AIC data showed the average VCT was down 5 per cent in 2023. However, over the longer term VCTs have performed better, with total returns of 22 per cent and 85 per cent over the past five and 10 years respectively.

What is a good rate of return on capital? ›

The general rule about ROCE is the higher the ratio, the better. That's because it is a measure of profitability. A ROCE of at least 20% is usually a good sign that the company is in a good financial position.

What is the average life of a venture capital fund? ›

Venture capital funds typically have long tenures, beginning the first closing and running for 8-10 years. Fund managers usually seek pre-determined extension periods (2-3 years for example) to allow them for a smooth exit from all investments.

What percentage do venture capitalists get? ›

Seed Stage: VCs typically aim for stakes between 10% and 25% in the seed stage, where companies are in early development and validation phases. Series A: At this stage, stakes usually range from 15% to 30%, as companies have more traction and established business models.

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