Trading Skills: How to Predict and Calculate the Next Candlestick | FP Markets (2024)

What are Candlestick Charts in Trading?

These are a powerful technical tool because they can display data from across several timeframes in a single price bar. The patterns created by these bars over time can help traders identify key support and resistance levels and make informed predictions about the potential direction of future price movements.

A candlestick is made up of a body, which represents the price range of the chosen asset from the open to the close of a trading timeframe, while the wick or shadow above and below the body represents the high and low price, respectively. The colour of the body is also important since it indicates the potential market direction.

– An empty (white or green) body indicates price rise
– A full (black or red) body indicates a price decline

Trading Skills: How to Predict and Calculate the Next Candlestick | FP Markets (1)

There are numerous patterns that can be created with candlesticks, based on which market conditions can be better understood and trading opportunities identified. The main purpose of checking these patterns is to attempt to predict where the next candlestick might form and, therefore, whether we are looking at a bullish trend, bearish trend or continuation of the price level. Here’s a look at some patterns and how they can be used to estimate the next price move.

Predicting a Bullish Market

Bullish candlestick patterns could signal a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. In general, they are used for traders to make informed decisions about entering into a long position. Here’s a look at some of these patterns:

1. Bullish Engulfing Pattern

This pattern usually forms when buyers outnumber sellers in the market. It consists of two candlesticks, where the one with the longer green (or white) body engulfs another with a smaller red (or black) body.

Trading Skills: How to Predict and Calculate the Next Candlestick | FP Markets (2)

2. Hammer

This pattern consists of a small body and a long lower wick. It usually forms at the low end of a downtrend. It indicates that while there has been selling pressure during the trading timeframe, buyers are now driving the price up. This usually signals that the next candlestick could be a green one.

Trading Skills: How to Predict and Calculate the Next Candlestick | FP Markets (3)

3. Inverted Hammer

This is similar to the previous pattern, except that the upper wick is the one that is long. It is taken to indicate that although there has been buying pressure, sellers did try to take over but failed to drive the price down. So, buyers are likely to rule the market again soon.

Trading Skills: How to Predict and Calculate the Next Candlestick | FP Markets (4)

Predicting a Bearish Market

Bearish candlestick patterns, contrary to their bullish counterparts, signal a reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. They can be used to identify resistance levels and are usually taken as a signal to enter a short position. Here’s a look at some of these patterns:

1. Bearish Engulfing Pattern

This pattern usually forms towards the end of an upward trend, where a short green candle is followed and engulfed by a long red bodied candle. It is taken to indicate a slowing in price movement and a potential downturn in the market. The lower the engulfing candle, the more likely the impending downward trend.

Trading Skills: How to Predict and Calculate the Next Candlestick | FP Markets (5)

2. Shooting Star

Similar in shape to the inverted hammer, this pattern is usually formed during an uptrend. It has a long upper wick with a small body. The pattern occurs when the close price is only a little higher than the open price, although the price rallied through the session. It almost looks like a shooting star falling down to the Earth.

Trading Skills: How to Predict and Calculate the Next Candlestick | FP Markets (6)

3. Hanging Man

This is the hammer of the bearish market, except it follows an uptrend and signals the onset of a downturn. It is taken to indicate that while there was major selling pressure during the session, buyers were able to drive up the price. However, the bears took control of the market from the bulls.

Trading Skills: How to Predict and Calculate the Next Candlestick | FP Markets (7)

Predicting Trend Continuation

There also are candlestick patterns that indicate that there is unlikely to be any change in the price direction. It could be a period when there is no significant change in price or a time of indecision in the market.

1. Spinning Top

Just like a top, this candlestick has a small body at the center of an upper and a lower wick of the same length. It reflects that there is no significant change in price, with both buyers and sellers putting almost equal pressure on the price. Traders often consider this pattern as an indicator of a consolidation or rest period in the market, usually after a meaningful downtrend or uptrend.

Trading Skills: How to Predict and Calculate the Next Candlestick | FP Markets (8)

2. Doji

Here, the opening and closing price of an asset are almost at the same level, so the candlestick resembles a plus sign or a cross. The body is almost negligible, while the wicks could be of varying sizes. Traders consider this pattern as an indicator of an ongoing struggle between the bulls and bears in the market, with no clear winner. Taken alone, the Doji is a neutral indicator. However, it can be formed during reversal patterns too.

Trading Skills: How to Predict and Calculate the Next Candlestick | FP Markets (9)

While candlestick patterns can offer useful information regarding potential price moves, they work better for longer timeframes. It is a good idea to first try them out on a demo account. This can help you become familiar with all the features of your advanced trading platform, while also honing your skills in reading charts and patterns.

Trading Skills: How to Predict and Calculate the Next Candlestick | FP Markets (2024)

FAQs

How to predict and calculate the next candlestick? ›

If the real part is positive, we predict a bullish candlestick, if it's negative, we predict a bearish candlestick, and if it's zero, we predict a neutral candlestick.

How to predict the next candle in a 1 minute trade? ›

By analyzing the number and average size of green to red candlesticks, we have a simple way to define the trend with a glance at our charts (one big advantage with a candlestick chart compared to a line chart.) So if we have more green candles than red candles and the average size if larger for green candles.

How to calculate candlestick? ›

If the candle is red, then the price closed below the open. Range: The difference between the highest and lowest price of a candle is its range. You can calculate this by taking the price at the top of the upper wick and subtracting it from the price at the bottom of the lower wick.

How to predict the next candle in binary trading? ›

Analyze the previous candle: The first step in predicting the next candle is to analyze the previous candle. Look for patterns or signals that indicate a trend or reversal in the stock's price movement. This can include the size and color of the candle, the presence of wicks or shadows, and the volume traded.

What is the most accurate candlestick pattern? ›

Six bullish candlestick patterns
  • Inverse hammer. A similarly bullish pattern is the inverted hammer. ...
  • Bullish engulfing. The bullish engulfing pattern is formed of two candlesticks. ...
  • Piercing line. ...
  • Morning star. ...
  • Three white soldiers. ...
  • Six bearish candlestick patterns. ...
  • Shooting star. ...
  • Bearish engulfing.

How to study candlestick pattern? ›

A short upper wick on a red candle suggests the stock opened near its daily high. Conversely, a short upper wick on a green candle suggests the stock closed near its daily high. In summary, a candlestick graph presents the relationship between a stock's high, low, opening, and closing prices.

What is the master candle strategy? ›

A master candle is direction neutral. So, when a master candle forms in the trading chart, the trader waits for the confirmation candles to appear in one direct or the other. The trader opens a position only after confirming it isn't a fake breakout.

What is the candle stick strategy? ›

A candlestick pattern strategy will see a trader take note of what the individual candlesticks are doing. They will then make decisions about whether the candlesticks are forming particular patterns which could indicate a certain price behaviour, such as a market reversal.

What is the big candle strategy? ›

The BO Big Candle strategy combines 2 stop types and a profit target. The two stop types are the Periods High Low stop and the Time stop. The Periods High Low stop is calculated over the last 6 periods.

What is the three candlestick rule? ›

This triple candlestick pattern indicates that the downtrend is possibly over and that a new uptrend has started. For a valid three inside up candlestick formation, look for these properties: The first candle should be found at the bottom of a downtrend and is characterized by a long bearish candlestick.

What is the candlestick rule? ›

If the upper shadow on a down candle is short, it indicates that the open on that day was near the day's high. A short upper shadow on an up day dictates that the close was near the high. The relationship between the days open, high, low, and close determines the look of the daily candlestick.

How do you read candlesticks for dummies? ›

The candle in a chart is white when the close for a day is higher than the open, and black when the close is lower than the open. The wicks, lines sticking out of either end of the candlestick, represent the range between the day's high and low prices.

How to predict every next candlestick? ›

A hammer is formed at the end of the downtrend. This candlestick indicates that the sellers have had selling pressure, but buyers won the game by pushing the price upwards. After the formation of the hammer, the next candlestick could be a green candle.

What is the best time frame to trade candlestick patterns? ›

What time frame should be used for trading candlestick patterns? The patterns created on 30 minutes bar are quite effective for the day trading and positional trading. For day trading I use 5,30 min,daily bar. for positional trading 30 min,daily and weekly bars are very satisfying.

How to know next candle is green or red? ›

Candlestick charts visually represent price movements in financial markets through candle-shaped data points. Candlesticks are typically colored, with green or white indicating bullish (upward) movements and red or black denoting bearish (downward) trends.

What is the 2-candle theory? ›

Sivakumar's 2-candle theory is about finding breakout trades in index futures and index options. To take a trade, you need to find 2 consecutive candles, each having volumes: Greater than 50K, for BankNifty or. Greater than 125K, for Nifty.

What is the best time frame to see candlestick patterns? ›

If we talk about the best candlestick time frame for day trading, the most commonly used time frame charts for intraday trading time are the 5-minute candlestick chart and the 15-minute candlestick chart. The candlesticks have four points that are commonly called OHLC (open high low close).

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