Trading Psychology (2024)

The emotional component of a trader's decision-making process that determines the success or failure of a trade

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What is Trading Psychology?

Trading psychology refers to the mental state and emotions of a trader that determines the success or failure of a trade. It represents the aspects of a trader’s behavior and characteristics that influence the actions they take when trading securities.

Trading Psychology (1)

While other aspects – such as experience and trading knowledge – affect the success of a trader, trading psychology is an important factor that can make or break a trade. Some of the emotions and feelings that traders experience are helpful, while other emotions such as nervousness, fear, and greed can hurt trading success and should, therefore, be contained.

Traders who understand trading psychology will generally avoid making decisions based on emotions or biases. It can help them stand a better chance of earning a profit during a trade, or in the worst-case scenario, minimize the extent of their losses.

Summary

  • Trading psychology refers to the emotional component of a trader’s decision-making process that determines the success or failure of a trade.
  • It is associated with specific emotions and behaviors, such as fear and greed among traders.
  • Traders well-versed with trading psychology will generally not act out of fear, bias, or other emotions and stand a better chance of earning a profit during a trade.

Basics of Trading Psychology

Trading psychology is different for each trader, and it is influenced by the trader’s emotions and biases. The two main emotions that are likely to impact the success or failure of a trade are greed or fear.

Greed is defined as the excessive desire for profits that could affect the rationality and judgment of a trader. A greed-inspired trade may involve buying stocks of untested companies because they are on the rise or buying shares of a company without understanding the underlying investment.

Greed can also make a trader stay in a position for too long in an attempt to squeeze every event out of the trade. It is common at the end of a bull market when traders attempt to take on risky and speculative positions to profit from the market movements.

On the other hand, fear is the opposite of greed and the reason why people exit a trade prematurely or refrain from taking on risky positions due to concerns of incurring losses. Fear makes investors act irrationally as they rush to exit the trade. It is common during bear markets, and it is characterized by significant selloffs from panic-selling.

Fear and greed play an important role in a trader’s overall strategy, and understanding how to control the emotions is essential in becoming a successful trader.

How Bias Affects Trading

Bias is defined as a predetermined disposition of one position over another. Usually, when the trader is biased, it can hinder proper decision-making when trading because it can prevent a proper judgment. The trader may end up acting on emotions rather than on fundamental analysis.

A trader is likely to trade an asset or currency they’ve experienced success with in the past or avoid an asset with a history of loss. Understanding such biases can help traders overcome them and act with a calculated mindset.

The key types of biases that affect trading include:

1. Negativity bias

Negativity bias makes a trader more inclined to the negative side of a trade instead of considering both the positive and negative sides of a trade. The impact of such a bias is that a trader could forego an entire strategy because of the negative aspect when they only need to make a small adjustment to the strategy to turn the trade into a profit.

2. Gambler’s fallacy

The gambler’s fallacy is defined as an erroneous belief that a particular event is less likely or more likely to occur because of past events when it’s been established that the probability of such events occurring does not depend on the previous events. In such a case, a trader may assume that because a specific currency’s been gaining, the trend will continue.

3. Status quo bias

The status quo bias occurs when a trader assumes that old trades or strategies will continue being relevant in the current market. The danger of such an assumption is that the trader does not explore new opportunities that are relevant in the current market, and it can potentially lock them out of more viable trades and strategies.

Improving Trading Psychology

Traders can improve their trading psychology by identifying their own emotions, biases, and traits that can determine a trade’s success or failure. Here are some methods that traders can use to improve trading psychology:

1. Identify personality traits

A trader should identify personality traits early enough and plan how to overcome the negative traits when actively trading so they do not make decisions without a solid technical analysis. Equally, traders should identify the positive traits that can help them make calculated moves during their time on the market.

2. Create a trading plan

A trading plan serves as a blueprint to your trading, and it should highlight the goals that the trader intends to achieve, the risk-reward ratio, and the trading strategy that they are most comfortable with.

For example, the trader can commit specific trading durations every day, set profit targets, and set a stop loss to scrap emotions out of the process. When creating a trading plan, traders should consider specific factors such as emotions and biases that can affect their ability to stick to the plan.

3. Conduct research

Before investing in a stock, technology, or company, traders should devote enough time researching and reviewing the opportunities. They should be on top of the news, study charts, read trade journals, and perform industry analysis.

Where possible, traders should attend webinars, trading seminars, and conferences to share and interact with other traders and finance professionals.

More Resources

CFI offers the Capital Markets & Securities Analyst (CMSA)® certification program for those looking to take their careers to the next level. To keep learning and advancing your career, the following resources will be helpful:

Trading Psychology (2024)

FAQs

Is trading 70% psychology? ›

While strategy plays a role in trading, experts suggest that psychology accounts for 70% of a trader's success. This underscores the significance of understanding the emotional and behavioral aspects of trading, which can often sway decisions and impact performance more profoundly than the strategies themselves.

Is trading 90% psychology? ›

As a trader, it is essential to understand that trading is 90% mindset and 10% skills. A trader's mindset has the power to make or break their success in the market.

How to get better at trading psychology? ›

Conquer The Mental Game With These Time-tested Trading Psychology Tips
  1. #11 Don't Get Lost in the Numbers. ...
  2. #10 Accept That the Market Will Do What the Market Wants to Do. ...
  3. #9 Zoom Out In Review. ...
  4. #8 Cut Out the Noise. ...
  5. #7 Embrace the Risk. ...
  6. #6 Know When to Cash Out. ...
  7. #5 Know When You're Wrong. ...
  8. #4 If It Fits, Take It.

What percentage of psychology is trading? ›

Being successful as a trader is 30 per cent strategy and 70 per cent psychology. It doesn't matter whether you decide the price of a share is going up or down: if you are not able to understand your emotions and use them to make the most out of each trade, then you will not get very far.

Why trading is 80 psychology? ›

That said, psychology is a factor in trading. It's just not 80% of it. It's also something to only add to your trading after you have a good setup, and after you've got all the necessary rules and other elements in place to trade it well. Adding psychology at that stage can help you make more money.

Is trading really 50 50? ›

No, trading is not a 50/50 outcome. Each tick is not randomly generated of being either up one or down one.

What is 90% rule in trading? ›

Understanding the Rule of 90

According to this rule, 90% of novice traders will experience significant losses within their first 90 days of trading, ultimately wiping out 90% of their initial capital.

Why 90 percent of traders lose money? ›

The emotional aspect of trading often leads to irrational decisions like panic selling. When the market moves unfavourably, many traders, especially those who are inexperienced, tend to panic and exit their positions hastily. This panic selling often occurs at the worst possible time, leading to significant losses.

Is trading mentally exhausting? ›

Your ability to generate profits depends on how well you navigate the markets, and the markets are often unpredictable. The feeling of uncertainty is stressful for traders; if stress is not managed, it can build up and lead to both physical and psychological issues.

Who is the father of trading psychology? ›

Tharp. Dr. Van Tharp is remembered as a founding father of the field of trading psychology and one of the world's top trading coaches.

How to train your brain for trading? ›

How do you develop a trading brain? To get in the right mindset to be a great trader, you need to recognize the role of emotion and psychology and actively take steps to mitigate those effects. Have a disciplined routine and objective trading strategy.

What is the point of trading psychology? ›

Trading psychology refers to the mental state and emotions of a trader that determines the success or failure of a trade. It represents the aspects of a trader's behavior and characteristics that influence the actions they take when trading securities.

Is 70 percent psychology trading? ›

According to experts, successful trading is a result of 30% strategy and 70% of understanding Trading Psychology. So, if you are capable of handling your emotions and making full use of Trading, progress is not far for you in the Trading world.

What percentage of traders become successful? ›

According to a study by the University of California , Berkeley , only about 10 % of traders are able to consistently make a profit and succeed as full - time traders . This means that the vast majority of traders , 90 % , either break even or lose money in the long run .

Is trading 90 psychology? ›

It is often said that trading is 90% mindset and 10% skills. Having the right mindset is essential for any successful trader, as it helps to build confidence and consistency in your trading decisions. The right mindset can help you make good decisions quickly, remain disciplined and stay focused.

What is the psychological level of trading? ›

What are psychological levels? Psychological levels are price points in financial markets that hold significant meaning for traders and investors, mainly due to their simplicity and ease of remembrance. Typically, these levels are round numbers, ending in “00” or halfway points like “50“.

Is trading a game of psychology? ›

Trading in financial markets is not merely a numbers game; it's a complex interplay of human emotions, decision-making, and psychology. Understanding the intricate web of thoughts and emotions that drive trade psychology is essential for success in the dynamic world of stock market investment.

What is the psychology behind trading? ›

Trading psychology is the emotional component of an investor's decision-making process, which may help explain why some decisions appear more rational than others. Trading psychology is characterized primarily by the influence of both greed and fear. Greed drives decisions that might be too risky.

What is trade theory in psychology? ›

In psychology, trait theory (also called dispositional theory) is an approach to the study of human personality. Trait theorists are primarily interested in the measurement of traits, which can be defined as habitual patterns of behavior, thought, and emotion.

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