The secret to successful investing: Chapter 8 & 20. (2024)

The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham is considered by many as the definitive guide to value investing. The book is filled with a wealth of knowledge, but two chapters in particular, Chapter 8 and Chapter 20, provide indispensable insights that any investor, whether seasoned or novice, can benefit from.

Chapter 8 - The Investor and Market Fluctuations.

Alright, let's imagine you're at a fair and there's a special booth called "Mr. Market". Mr. Market has all sorts of things you can buy from him - let's say he's selling apples.

Some days, Mr. Market is in a very good mood and thinks his apples are the best in the world. On these days, he might ask for $5 for just one apple. That's a lot for an apple, isn't it?

On other days, Mr. Market might be feeling gloomy. He might think that no one likes his apples and that they aren't worth much. So, he'll ask for just $0.50 for one apple. That's quite cheap for an apple!

The interesting thing is, the quality of the apples doesn't change from day to day. They're the same apples, but Mr. Market's mood swings wildly, and this affects the price he asks for them.

Chapter 8 of "The Intelligent Investor" advises us to be clever and not just blindly follow Mr. Market's mood. When he's overly optimistic and asks too much for his apples, it's better not to buy. But when he's overly pessimistic and undervalues his apples, it's a good opportunity to buy.

And just like with the apples, the real value of a company doesn't change as quickly as its stock price can change in the stock market. The price swings are often due to the mood of the investors, not because the underlying business has fundamentally changed.

So the lesson here is: don't let Mr. Market's mood swings dictate your decisions. Instead, use them as opportunities. When he's too optimistic, it might be a good time to sell, and when he's too pessimistic, it might be a good time to buy. But you have to judge the real value of the apples (or the stocks) by yourself, and not just go by the price that Mr. Market is quoting on any given day.

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Chapter 20 - Margin of Safety.

Imagine you have a lemonade stand in your neighborhood. You sell cups of lemonade to your friends, neighbors, and anyone who passes by on a hot day. Now, Chapter 20 of "The Intelligent Investor" is all about how you should think about the value of your lemonade stand.

Let's say that one day, a friend offers to buy your lemonade stand for $50. Should you sell it? Well, to answer that, you need to think about how much money your lemonade stand makes. If you can make $20 every summer, and you plan to run the stand for many years, then selling it for $50 might not be a good idea, because you'd be losing out on all the future money you could make.

Now, what if your friend offers you $500 for your lemonade stand? Suddenly, the deal sounds much more enticing, because even if you make $20 each summer, it would take you 25 summers to make $500!

Chapter 20 talks about the "Margin of Safety" – that is, the difference between the price you are offered for your lemonade stand and the amount you think it's really worth. The bigger this margin, the safer your investment is considered to be, and the less risk you are taking on.

It's like setting up your lemonade stand on a sunny day. You're likely to sell a lot more lemonade than if it's cloudy and might rain. That sunny day is your "Margin of Safety". It's not guaranteed – it could always start raining – but it gives you a good chance of success.

So, in the world of investing, the lesson from Chapter 20 is to always look for investments where you feel there's a big "Margin of Safety". This means you're getting a good deal, and it's a way to protect yourself from the unknowns and uncertainties that come with investing.

In closing, I'd like to quote Warren Buffett, arguably the most successful disciple of Graham's principles: "Price is what you pay, value is what you get."

The secret to successful investing: Chapter 8 & 20. (2024)
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