The Ponzi Scheme 101: A Ponzi’s Life Cycle and Ways to Survive, Part 1 | DataDrivenInvestor (2024)

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The Ponzi Scheme 101: A Ponzi’s Life Cycle and Ways to Survive, Part 1 | DataDrivenInvestor (2)

We construct the model of a simple Ponzi scheme, deduce how long the scheme will last and when a rational promoter will skiptown. Basically, most of the dead P2P platforms or asset management products we see in our daily lives are Ponzi schemes. Construct the Model of a Simple Ponzi Scheme Generally speaking, there are only two kinds of participants in a Ponzi scheme: promoters who attract capital by promising incredibly high profits; and investors who pay money for above-average profits. Eventually, the promoters will run away when the funds are not enough to pay back every investor. To simplify…...

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The Ponzi Scheme 101: A Ponzi’s Life Cycle and Ways to Survive, Part 1 | DataDrivenInvestor (3)

Alan Zhang

Alan Zhang is an investor and market gazer that leverages greatly on data technology in decision-making. He is familiar with the different financial markets of China including the stock, futures and cryptocurrency market. Further, he participated in the establishment of alternative investment markets like black tea since 2014 and was responsible for the private placement of Huangshan Tourism shares (600054.sh) in 2015. He is currently also a Financial Analyst at X-Order, an innovative research institute that attempts to combine cross-disciplinary fields such as distributed computing, computational game theory, artificial intelligence and cryptography to discover future extended orders. It was founded by Tony Tao, who is also a partner at NGC Ventures.

The Ponzi Scheme 101: A Ponzi’s Life Cycle and Ways to Survive, Part 1 | DataDrivenInvestor (2024)

FAQs

Why did Ponzi go to jail? ›

Prison and later life. In two federal indictments, Ponzi was charged with 86 counts of mail fraud and faced life imprisonment.

What is the story of the Ponzi scheme? ›

Ponzi convinced a few investors to give him start-up money, promising them a 50% profit in 45 days. This was the beginning of the pyramid scheme that bears Ponzi's name to this day. Ponzi was good to his word at first, using funds from new investors to pay off the old.

How long will Ponzi last? ›

For a Ponzi scheme to continue indefinitely, it would require exponential growth in the number of new investors. However, exponential growth is practically impossible to maintain, and eventually, the scheme struggles to attract enough new capital to meet its obligations.

Are Ponzi illegal? ›

Are Ponzi Schemes Illegal? Yes, a Ponzi scheme is illegal for two main reasons. The first reason is that the perpetrator is deceiving investors into backing a venture that doesn't actually exist. That is, it provides no goods or services other than being the focal point of the fraud.

Who was the biggest Ponzi guy? ›

'Madoff' takes account of the biggest financial Ponzi scheme in history Disgraced financier Bernie Madoff scammed investors out of approximately $68 billion. Journalist Richard Behar spoke to Madoff in prison more than 50 times for his book, Madoff: The Final Word.

What is the biggest Ponzi scheme in the US? ›

Inside The Biggest Ponzi Scheme In American History : Fresh Air Disgraced financier Bernie Madoff scammed investors out of approximately $68 billion.

Is social security a Ponzi scheme? ›

To begin with, Social Security isn't an investment vehicle, which is a requirement of a Ponzi scheme. The program is more of a social investment in the well-being of our nation's retired workers, survivors of deceased workers, and workers with long-term disabilities.

Are banks Ponzi? ›

Nonetheless, the principle remains: A well-run bank is not a Ponzi scheme because a well-run bank will have the means to repay its depositors at some point, even if no new depositors come along.

What is the greatest Ponzi scheme? ›

Bernie Madoff was an American financier who orchestrated the largest Ponzi scheme in history, collecting about $65 billion that he had no intention of investing. Bernie promised investors high returns in exchange for their investments but their money was not invested.

How do I know when a Ponzi scheme is about to crash? ›

With little or no legitimate earnings, Ponzi schemes require a constant flow of new money to survive. When it becomes hard to recruit new investors, or when large numbers of existing investors cash out, these schemes tend to collapse.

Why did the Ponzi scheme collapse? ›

A growing number of victims is needed to pay out the supposed profits being distributed to earlier investors. When the flow of new investment slows, the scam artist doesn't have enough money to pay out those supposed profits. That's when the Ponzi scheme collapses.

How did the Ponzi scheme fail? ›

The operator of the scheme also diverts clients' funds for the operator's personal use. With little or no legitimate earnings, Ponzi schemes require a constant flow of new money to survive. When it becomes hard to recruit new investors, or when large numbers of existing investors cash out, these schemes collapse.

How did Madoff get caught? ›

Alerted by his sons, federal authorities arrested Madoff on December 11, 2008. On March 12, 2009, Madoff pleaded guilty to 11 federal crimes and admitted to operating the largest Ponzi scheme in history.

How much money was recovered from the Ponzi scheme? ›

As of March 2024, the trustee had recovered $14.7 billion toward these claims through legal action against Madoff associates, feeder funds and beneficiaries of the scheme, and had made fifteen distributions to investors. Action by the Department of Justice has recovered an additional $4 billion.

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