Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (2024)

The rapid and severe impact of the coronavirus pandemic and the restrictive measures to manage it have severely depressed the global economy. The baseline forecast from the World Bank predicts the greatest global recession in eight decades, with a 5.2 per cent decline in the global gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020 when the pandemic started.

Investment funds were not spared from the damage brought by the global health crisis. These vehicles play a significant role in the global financing of the real economy and other financial institutions. Fortunately, investment funds survived the market upheaval that began in March 2020.

Still, investors are still constantly concerned about declining stock prices and how they may affect their portfolios whenthe economy approaches a recession. Out of concern for impending drops and escalating losses, investors flee stock funds in search of safety by turning to bond funds.

In this blog, we will discuss the types of investment funds that are traditionally more resistant during challenging economic conditions like recessions.

Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (1)

Types of funds that will do well during a recession

No company or industry is totally immune to an economic crisis, thus there is no such thing as a “recession-proof” investment fund. Additionally, markets can be unpredictable at any time, but certain stocks, funds and strategies may be able to assist your portfolio to perform better during a recession.

If you are looking for investments that can withstand a downturn to lower risk in your portfolio, here are the types of funds that will do well in a recession:

Hedge Funds

Hedge funds are a good choice if you desire higher risk with a chance of higher returns. Hedge funds don’t simply focus on booming bull markets; they try to generate money in all markets. They combine various advanced strategies like arbitrage, hedging, futures and options contracts, shorting particular equities and other complex techniques.

However, before you invest any money in hedge funds, ensure that you understand how they operate as well as the associated dangers. Beware that hedge funds have high expense ratios due to their active management.

Low-Volatility Funds

Risk is measured by volatility, and funds with low volatility are created to fluctuate less in response to market conditions. They frequently have lesser returns, but that’s what you get when you go for low risk.

These funds often search an index or market for the least volatile funds before investing. This means that they include a wide variety of stock types, including companies in utilities and the healthcare industry.

Additionally, some low-volatility funds look for equities that have little correlation to one another. As a result, the fund becomes more varied and has more exposure to other industries.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)

A collection of investments like stocks or bonds is referred to as an exchange-traded fund or ETF. ETFs enable you to make many simultaneous investments in assets, and they frequently have cheaper costs than other types of funds.

Buying individual stocks can be a better choice if you focus on generating above-average returns. Given the high likelihood of their recovery from any crisis, ETFs are one of the safest investments during a recession.

A fund is frequently safer to own than a single stock because of the benefits of diversification that ETFs offer, including lower risk and less volatility.

Index Funds

A specific market index is tracked or replicated by an index fund, a type of mutual fund. You may develop a diverse portfolio with this form of investing that is generally interactive and generates respectable returns.

Because market fluctuations are typically less volatile across an index than they are for individual equities, index funds can help investors balance the risk in their portfolios.

Dividend Funds

Despite the common misconception that the stock market is a source of growth, there are other ways to profit from the market than share price increase. For instance, mutual funds that prioritise dividends might offer solid returns with lower volatility than funds that only focus on growth.

Many investors look to dividend stocks as a reliable source of market gains when inflation is high. Furthermore, the fact that dividend-stock funds have survived most recessionary times strengthens the argument that they can be a good addition to a portfolio.

Bond Funds

Bonds, particularly government bonds, are viewed as safe haven securities with a very low default risk. With a minimal necessary commitment, bond funds offer investors immediate diversification. Bonds are known for being low-risk and low-return investments that help balance a high-risk portfolio.

Money Market Funds

Money market funds can protect your assets during a recession, but only as a temporary fix and not for long-term growth. In times of economic uncertainty, money market funds offer liquidity for cash reserves that can help you build your portfolio.

Money market funds make investments in short-term, comparatively safe securities that mature in about 13 months on average.

How can fund administrators help fund managers and investments during a recession?

To launch your funds during a recession, you need the ideal resources and assistance. A fund administrator is a crucial partner in charge of monitoring and assessing the financial performance of the fund.

A fund administrator digs deep into your finances and often seeks to improve fund management. They are accountable for developing a strategic investment plan that balances your risk appetite with your financial objectives, managing your reserves and ensuring that you consistently make the best financial decisions. In addition, fund administrators can help fund managers to diversify their portfolios during a recession by introducing various types of investments.

Partnering with Bolder Group

In times of recession, it is essential to have a trusted partner who can handle the situation better and provide solutions to survive an economic challenge. As an independent global organisation, Bolder Group’s fund industry experts offer specialised services to clients.

Ready to take the first step towards being recession-proof? Contact our team today or visit our office near you.

Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (2)
Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (2024)

FAQs

What fund to invest in during a recession? ›

Money market funds and high-yield savings are also places to salt away cash in a downturn. Holding cash provides a safety net, allowing investors to jump on opportunities that may arise during economic downturns, such as purchasing undervalued assets when markets decline.

Should I invest my money during a recession? ›

During a recession, you might be inclined to give up on stocks, but experts say it's best not to flee equities completely. When the rest of the economy is on shaky ground, there are often a handful of sectors that continue to forge ahead and provide investors with steady returns.

How to build wealth during a recession? ›

During economic downturns or recessions, many investors turn to funds that focus on the consumer staples sector or large-cap companies (companies with a stock market value of $10 billion or more) that tend to generate more stable returns than small-cap companies.

What are the best stocks coming out of a recession? ›

The Best Recession Stocks of June 2024
Stock (ticker)5-Year Average Yearly EPS Growth Estimate
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST)13.5%
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)9.9%
Church & Dwight Company, Inc. (CHD)9.3%
Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX)8.6%
6 more rows
Jun 14, 2024

Where is your money safest during a recession? ›

Options to consider include federal bond funds, municipal bond funds, taxable corporate funds, money market funds, dividend funds, utilities mutual funds, large-cap funds, and hedge funds.

What not to buy during a recession? ›

Most stocks and high-yield bonds tend to lose value in a recession, while lower-risk assets—such as gold and U.S. Treasuries—tend to appreciate. Within the stock market, shares of large companies with solid cash flows and dividends tend to outperform in downturns.

What is the best asset to hold during a recession? ›

Riskier assets like stocks and high-yield bonds tend to lose value in a recession, while gold and U.S. Treasuries appreciate. Shares of large companies with ample, steady cash flows and dividends tend to outperform economically sensitive stocks in downturns.

How are millionaires made during recessions? ›

The most important part of building wealth during a recession is investing as much as possible in the stock market. Take steps to ensure you'll have stable income, like starting a side hustle or working on your skills.

Is it better to have cash or property in a recession? ›

Cash. Cash is an important asset when it comes to a recession. After all, if you do end up in a situation where you need to pull from your assets, it helps to have a dedicated emergency fund to fall back on, especially if you experience a layoff.

What is the safest stock during a recession? ›

Utility sector stocks are generally considered defensive investments and are often a preferred flight-to-safety play during economic downturns. Utility companies have stable and predictable demand and cash flows, as well as limited competition.

What sectors thrive in a recession? ›

There are also fundamental services that consumers can't do without, even in hard times.
  • Accountants. ...
  • Healthcare Providers. ...
  • Financial Advisors and Economists. ...
  • Auto Repair and Maintenance. ...
  • Home Maintenance Stores. ...
  • Home Staging Experts. ...
  • Rental Agents and Property Management Companies. ...
  • Grocery Stores.

Are ETFs safe during a recession? ›

Industries that fare better during recessions supply essentials like utilities, health care, consumer staples, and technology. An ETF gives individuals an opportunity to invest in a sector-based fund with holdings that have proven to weather economic downturns. State Street Global Advisors.

What gets cheaper during a recession? ›

Because a decline in disposable income affects prices, the prices of essentials, such as food and utilities, often stay the same. In contrast, things considered to be wants instead of needs, such as travel and entertainment, may be more likely to get cheaper.

How to position your portfolio for a recession? ›

How to Recession-Proof Your Portfolio
  1. Diversification of Your Investments. You've heard the saying, don't put all your eggs in one basket. ...
  2. Invest in Real Estate. Buying up all the real estate during a recession might be tempting. ...
  3. Buy Shares in Defensive Sector Funds. ...
  4. Consider Precious Metals. ...
  5. Build An Emergency Fund.

What do people spend money on in a recession? ›

Toothpaste, deodorant, shampoo, toilet paper, and other grooming and personal care items are always in demand. Offering these types of items can position your business as a vital resource for consumers during tough times. People want to look good, even when times are tough.

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