Stocks sink again as fear returns (2024)

Stocks sink again as fear returns (1)

How to tell when investors are scared

Stocks took a dip on Tuesday following some weak trade data from China. Just another day in December.

The Dow fell more than 160 points, a nearly 1% dip.

If was the sixth straight day where the Dow had a triple-digit point move. That's every day in December.

So much for a Santa Claus rally? This is more like a Festivus sell-off.

What's going on? Stocks surged in October and then were relatively calm in November. Many expected December to be solid. It usually is: Hence the Kris Kringle references.

But volatility has returned with a vengeance. To quote John Lennon, nobody told me there'd be days like these. Strange days indeed. (35th anniversary of his death. Sigh.)

, which measures seven indicators of investor sentiment, has even fallen back into Fear territory. It was signaling signs of Greed just a week ago.

Oil plunges and China worries return

Renewed worries about the health of the Chinese economy and the collapse in commodity prices are the main reasons behind the December dysfunction.

Oil is now trading below $37 a barrel -- its lowest level since early 2009. Other commodity prices -- such as copper, platinum and zinc -- have plunged too.

The pain in the commodities sector just led mining giant Anglo American (AAUKF) to announce plans to lay off 85,000 workers and sell a big chunk of its assets.

Related: Anglo American to shed 85,00 jobs

Energy stocks have been among the biggest losers this month -- and they've dragged the whole market down a bit.

Dow components Chevron (CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) have tumbled 6% and 8% so far in December. And they're getting off easy compared to some other oil and mining stocks.

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) and coal miner Consol (CNX) are down about 15%. Southwestern Energy (SWN) and Williams Companies (WMB) have plunged 25% in the past week. And Kinder Morgan (KMI) has lost a third of its value since the start of the month.

And if Chinese demand for goods weakens more dramatically than feared in the coming months, energy companies won't be the only losers.

Apple (AAPL) generates a significant portion of its sales from China. So do several of its chip suppliers, such as Skyworks (SWKS), Qualcomm (QCOM), Avago (AVGO) and Qorvo (QRVO).

Blue chips Starbucks (SBUX), Walmart (WMT), Tiffany (TIF), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Western Union (WU) and MasterCard (MA) all have boosted their presence in China lately as well.

How high will rates go?

Investors may also be showing some signs of unease ahead of a key Federal Reserve meeting -- even though it now seems all but certain that the Fed will finally raise interest rates next week.

The Hamlet-esque to hike or not to hike debate has been a considerable source of market angst all year. But hopefully for not much longer.

Still, investors always find a new obsession. Concerns about when the Fed will raise rates have been replaced by questions about, to use a Led Zeppelin-ism, how many more times the Fed will hike in 2016.

"There has been a shift from "Will the Fed raise rates?' to 'When's the next one and how big will they be?'" said Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist with Charles Schwab.

Fed chief Janet Yellen may give some clues at her press conference next week.

Related: Here's why the Fed will finally raise interest rates

But Kleintop said investors won't be just focusing on the Fed. They'll be paying close attention to what the European Central Bank, Bank of Japan and People's Bank of China do over the next few months.

With all this in mind, Kleintop said stocks may wind up having a flat year in 2016. Sort of like how things are shaping up at the end of this year.

The Dow is slightly lower heading into the final weeks of 2015 while the S&P 500 is largely unchanged.

The Nasdaq is still up 7% though thanks to huge gains in Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX) and Alphabet (GOOGL) (aka Google) -- a fab four Wall Street traders have dubbed FANG.

Those stocks are soaring thanks to strong earnings. But not many other companies are growing as rapidly as these four.

"Earnings have been lackluster and valuations are above average," Kleintop said. "And there are still many geopolitical questions around the world. Volatility is here to stay. Expect a lot of up and downs in 2016."

CNNMoney (New York) First published December 8, 2015: 10:59 AM ET

Stocks sink again as fear returns (2024)

FAQs

Why are stocks dropping? ›

Stocks tumbled to start the week with fears about a possible recession and a surging Japanese yen sending volatility spiking to levels not seen since 2020. The Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 1,134 points, or 2.9%, to start the day. The S&P fell 4.2%.

Will I lose my stocks in a recession? ›

During a recession, stock prices typically plummet. The markets can be volatile with share prices experiencing wild swings. Investors react quickly to any hint of news—either good or bad—and the flight to safety can cause some investors to pull their money out of the stock market entirely.

Should I sell my stock if it keeps going down? ›

An investor may also continue to hold if the stock pays a healthy dividend. Generally, though, if the stock breaks a technical marker or the company is not performing well, it is better to sell at a small loss than to let the position tie up your money and potentially fall even further.

Why are Japanese stocks falling? ›

The Nikkei Stock Average posted its largest single-day drop in more than four years, driven down by signs of cooling in the U.S. economy and an interest-rate increase by the Bank of Japan.

Why stock market is falling so badly? ›

Recession worries mount

On Friday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced significant declines following new data that indicated signs of weakness in the U.S. economy. The July data has shown that manufacturing activity contracted at its fastest rate since December 2023, and job growth slowed significantly.

Do you lose money if stocks go down? ›

Do You Lose Money When Stocks Drop? When the stock market declines, the market value of your stock investment can decline as well. However, because you still own your shares (if you didn't sell them), that value can move back into positive territory when the market changes direction and heads back up.

Should I cash out my stocks in a recession? ›

While selling stocks during a market downturn might make you feel better temporarily, doing so reactively because stocks are tumbling isn't a good long-term investment strategy. Volatility is a normal part of investing in the stock market, so occasional market selloffs should be expected.

What stocks do worst in a recession? ›

Equity Sectors

On the negative side, energy and infrastructure stocks have been the hardest-hit in recent recessions. Companies in these sectors are acutely sensitive to swings in demand. Financials stocks also can suffer during recessions because of a rising default rate and shrinking net interest margins.

How long does it take for the stock market to recover from a recession? ›

Stocks peak about six months (26 weeks) ahead of the start of the recession. Stocks bottom about a year after the recession starts. After bottoming, stocks take about 3.5 years to return to near their prior peak.

What is the 3 5 7 rule in stocks? ›

The 3-5-7 rule in trading is a risk management guideline that suggests limiting the amount of capital you put into any single trade. According to this rule, you should not risk more than 3% of your trading capital on any one trade, no more than 5% on any one sector, and no more than 7% on all trades combined.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

Key Takeaways. While holding or moving to cash might feel good mentally and help avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be wise over the long term. Once you cash out a stock that's dropped in price, you move from a paper loss to an actual loss.

What is the 7 percent sell rule? ›

The "7-8% loss rule" is a risk management strategy commonly used in stock trading and investing. This rule suggests that an investor should sell a stock if its price falls 7-8% below the purchase price. The main idea behind this rule is to limit potential losses and protect capital.

Why are stocks tumbling? ›

US stock markets sank on Monday following nosedives in Asia and Europe as fears rise about slowing American economic growth. In the US, the S&P 500 slumped 4.1% as the tech-heavy Nasdaq plummeted 6.3%.

What is the best Japanese stock to buy? ›

Best Japanese Stocks To Buy In 2024
  • Yosh*tsu Co., Ltd (NASDAQ:TKLF) Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 1. ...
  • HeartCore Enterprises, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HTCR) ...
  • ORIX Corporation (NYSE:IX) Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 5. ...
  • Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. ( NYSE:MFG) ...
  • Nomura Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:NMR) ...
  • Honda Motor Co., Ltd. ( NYSE:HMC)
Feb 24, 2024

Why have stock markets fallen? ›

The global rout in stock markets has deepened as the FTSE 100 suffered its worst drop in more than a year amid fears of a US recession. European markets were red across the board, following another brutal sell-off in Asia as Japan's benchmark index suffered its worst day since Black Monday.

Why would a stock price go down? ›

By this we mean that share prices change because of supply and demand. If more people want to buy a stock (demand) than sell it (supply), then the price moves up. Conversely, if more people wanted to sell a stock than buy it, there would be greater supply than demand, and the price would fall.

Why does the stock market crash? ›

Key factors behind stock market crash: Sensex and Nifty faced sharp declines amid fears of a US recession, yen carry trade unwinding, geopolitical tensions, overvaluation, and lackluster Q1 results. Blue-chip stocks like Tata Motors and Tata Steel suffered the most.

Why are tech stocks tanking? ›

“Bottom line, this massive rotation from tech and tech related sectors was caused primarily by investors positioning for a rate cutting cycle and secondarily by anticipation for a Trump administration and negative tech news,” writes Sevens Report's Tom Essaye.

Why sell losing stocks? ›

After all, even when the market has had a good run, lifting your holdings, you might still have some stocks that are below where you bought them. If you're looking to lock in some of those gains (aka tax-gain harvesting), selling some of your losers can help minimize your capital gains taxes.

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