Stabilizing bitcoin value (2024)

Stabilizing bitcoin value (1)
  • Exchanges
  • Tokens
  • Synthetic currencies
  • Discrete Log Contracts (DLCs)

The price of bitcoin can wildly fluctuate relative to government-issued currencies (also called fiat currencies). For a user whose primary use is building up savings over the long-term, this might not be an issue. For example, they may be more interested in the price of bitcoin relative to the Euro in 10 years rather than the price tomorrow morning.

However, for a user who hopes to use bitcoin for daily spending or remittances, the volatility is a problem. Suppose Alice lives paycheck to paycheck. If she is paid in bitcoin, even a relatively small decrease in the price could make her unable to pay her Euro-denominated bills each month.

There are times when we prefer to have a stable amount of bitcoin. Other times we prefer a stable amount of another currency (which means that the amount of bitcoin fluctuates in relation).

The most direct and established option is for Alice to simply trade her bitcoin for local currency via an exchange. However, there are various techniques that help to stabilize bitcoin to the dollar value without selling. Some of these techniques are:

  • Tokens
  • Synthetic currencies
  • Discrete Log Contracts (DLCs)
Note

This is a rapidly evolving space, and there is not one accepted standard at the moment. Many times, these solutions may involve financial custodians and closed-source technology. Below, we will attempt to explore these ideas and weigh the pros and cons of each one. This is not an endorsem*nt of these techniques, it’s just to help you learn.

Let’s define a few important terms:

  • Custodian: A person or entity that holds and safeguards the assets which legally belong to another party. That party needs to trust the custodian to act in their interest, which is why there is often regulation.

  • Token: In the context of this page, a token is an ownership claim of an asset held by a custodian. This is similar to a casino, where players exchange their currency for casino chips that they use to play games. The chips represent value, and the casino is trusted to exchange them back to the original currency.

Exchanges #

Stabilizing bitcoin value (2)

This is the most well-known and common option, where an exchange holds both currencies. Alice can send her bitcoin to the exchange, ask for a swap to euro, and withdraw those euros to her bank account.

Pros
Cons
  • Exchange is a single point-of-failure
  • Exchange can violate privacy
  • Exchange can censor or steal funds
  • The stability only works for members of this platform

Examples are Strike, Bitrefill, and Chivo.

Tokens #

Stabilizing bitcoin value (3)

A custodian holds euros and creates token representations of them on the lightning network. Alice sends her bitcoin to the exchange and receives euro tokens in return.

This places trust in the custodian to safely manage both the actual funds and the respective tokens. If they spend the funds or create tokens out of thin air, the token value will not hold its value relative to the euro. If the tokens are based on interoperable standards, they can then be freely traded across the network with any wallet that chooses to support them.

So while the user may self-custody the tokens, there are trust assumptions around the entity backing them.

Pros
  • Option to have a stable asset
  • The stability is not scoped to a particular app platform, but instead can be implemented by many apps
Cons
  • Partial interoperability – limited examples of these assets working on lightning
  • Issuer risk - what if the entity backing the asset becomes evil or incompetent?

Examples are Tether and Taproot Assets.

Synthetic currencies #

For this technique, it is important to understand the concept of short positions. When we buy bitcoin, and the relative price increases, we have made a gain. This is called a long position.

Stabilizing bitcoin value (4)

Short positions work the opposite way. We borrow bitcoin from someone else and sell them. If the relative price goes down, we can buy them back cheaper and return them, and have made a gain. If we have both a long and a short position at the same time, they balance each other out.

Stabilizing bitcoin value (5)

So in this scenario, Alice holds on to her bitcoin (the long position). The third-party she uses opens a short position for her (for a fee). The long and short positions balance each other out, so Alice maintains a stable euro balance, despite the price of bitcoin changing.

Stabilizing bitcoin value (6)

There are different methods for achieving synthetic fiat. One thing they have in common is that the risk now comes from the exchange.

Pros
  • Option to have a stable asset
  • Interoperable with bitcoin and lightning
  • Stablesats and related implementations use community custody instead of a centralized or distant custodian
Cons
  • Exchange risk - what if the exchange becomes malicious or is revealed to be incompetent?
  • Still involves custodial risk, though in theory it’s reduced by having community custodyThe stability only works for members of this platform

Examples are Stablesats, Tau Protocol, and Standard Sats.

Discrete Log Contracts (DLCs) #

This technique is similar to synthetic currencies, but implemented in a different way via Discreet Log Contracts for Difference (we will call this smart contract from here on). The big change is that there’s no need to trust an exchange. Anyone can be the counterparty, and all the rules that govern this special money are written into an immutable smart contract.

There are three main entities in this. First, there’s Alice who likes having a stable currency. Then, there’s Robert (the counterparty) who is willing to enter into this financial contract with Alice (the motivation might be a bet that the price of bitcoin will go up).

Finally, there’s the oracle, whose job it is to provide the bitcoin to euro exchange rate to the contract. Multiple oracles can be used to work around individual outages and price discrepancies. Oracles only come into play for closing the contract in case of conflict when Alice and Robert do not cooperate.

Stabilizing bitcoin value (7)

So Alice enters an agreement with Robert via a smart contract, which automatically adjusts their respective amounts of bitcoin so she has a stable relative euro value.

Stabilizing bitcoin value (8)

In theory, this could even be extended to work within lightning channels. This has the advantages of being open-source and self-custodial, but comes at the cost of more technical complexity.

Pros
  • Option to have a stable asset
  • The stability is not scoped to a particular app platform, but instead can be implemented by many apps
  • Self-custodial and open-source
Cons
  • The oracle(s) become unavailable, so the smart contract no longer knows what the real-world price is. A default path in the DLC must be exercised and the user reclaims their original quantity of bitcoin but loses the price stability.
  • If there is extreme price volatility, exceeding the bounds of what is expressed in the DLC, the user loses stability.
  • In some extreme market conditions, e.g. during a flash crash, there might not be a counterparty around to match the other side of the bet immediately. In this case, the user might either get a bad deal or risk devaluating their position.

An example is 10101 Finance.

As noted above, some of these techniques are highly experimental. So we shouldn’t limit our thinking to just these. Perhaps some new solutions will borrow traits from each and combine them in useful new ways..

Next, view the case studies that can help you build better bitcoin products.

Case studies
Stabilizing bitcoin value (2024)

FAQs

What will $1000 of Bitcoin be worth in 2030? ›

If Wood is correct and Bitcoin does reach $3.8 million by 2030, an investment of $1,000 would be worth over $60,000. This would result in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 100%.

How much will 1 Bitcoin be worth in 10 years? ›

Fidelity Predicts: $1B per 1 BTC by 2038 — 2040

It claims the value of Bitcoin will grow steadily to about $1 million per full Bitcoin by 2030.

How much will 1 Bitcoin be worth in 2025? ›

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2030
YearPrice
2025$ 63,501.28
2026$ 66,676.35
2027$ 70,010.17
2030$ 81,045.52
1 more row

Will BTC ever become stable? ›

But it is important to keep in mind that Bitcoin is risky: it is too volatile to be a reliable store of value today. And I expect it to remain ultra-volatile in the foreseeable future.

How much will $50 of Bitcoin be worth in 5 years? ›

After five years, the $50 investment might be worth around $67.20. If the price of Bitcoin were to climb at a rate of 25% each year, the initial investment of $50 might be worth around $129.70.

How much will I get if I put $1 dollar in Bitcoin? ›

1 USD equals 0.000017 BTC. The current value of 1 United States Dollar is +0.60% against the exchange rate to BTC in the last 24 hours. ​ The current Bitcoin market cap is $1.14T. ​Create a free Kraken account to instantly convert USD to BTC today.

How high can Bitcoin go realistically? ›

Bitcoin has been the subject of many price predictions, some of them extreme. Notably, Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, predicted that bitcoin could reach an astounding $1.48 million by 2030. Obviously, the world's oldest cryptocurrency has come a long way since its first recorded price of less than a cent.

Will Bitcoin go to 500k? ›

Using Past Patterns to Forecast Bitcoin Price

If the trend is repeated and Bitcoin finishes this year in line with historical averages, its price could potentially reach around $500,000 by 2025.

Will Bitcoin reach 100k? ›

There's a strong likelihood that the bull market will persist, possibly pushing Bitcoin's price to $100,000 by year-end. The market has seen an influx of new investors, both retail and institutional, who are using spot ETFs to enter the market conveniently.

Who owns the most Bitcoin? ›

So, who are the top holders of BTC? According to the Bitcoin research and analysis firm River Intelligence, Satoshi Nakamoto, the anonymous creator behind Bitcoin, is listed as the top BTC holder as of 2024. The company notes that Satoshi Nakamoto holds about 1.1m BTC tokens in about 22,000 different addresses.

Why is BTC falling? ›

"Bitcoin has plummeted to around $53,000, marking a significant decline, while Ether has also turned negative for 2024, reflecting broader concerns in the crypto sector. This downturn is driven by regulatory pressures, adverse macroeconomic factors like weak US job data, and the Japanese stock market crash.

Is it safe to invest in Bitcoin today? ›

While BTC is volatile, it is safe to invest in provided you use a reliable exchange and wallet! Historically, investors who've held their Bitcoin for the long-term have been rewarded!

Is it better to buy Ethereum or Bitcoin? ›

Buying either crypto requires a high risk tolerance. Looking at past performance, it's difficult to choose a winner between Bitcoin and Ether because their relative returns fluctuate depending on the time frame. In the past year, Bitcoin prices are up 157% compared to a 100% gain for Ether.

Is it possible for bitcoin to go to zero? ›

It is possible, but unlikely, for Bitcoin to go to zero. Like any other asset or investment, the value of Bitcoin is subject to market forces. It can be affected by various factors, including supply and demand, investor sentiment, and regulatory actions.

Which is better, gold or bitcoin? ›

Key Points. Gold's use as a store of value gained popularity in the 1970s when inflation ran rampant. Since the 1970s, gold hasn't kept pace with inflation. Although Bitcoin and gold have similarities, Bitcoin's decentralization, security, and true finite supply make it the superior asset.

How much is $500 in Bitcoin in 10 years? ›

Assuming a constant monthly investment of $500 for 10 years and a bitcoin price of $1 million per coin at the end, you would earn a profit of approximately $4.8 million.

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000? ›

As early as 2022, she made headlines for claiming that Bitcoin had what it takes to reach more than $1 million by 2030. However, now she is reconsidering her timeline and believes that the cryptocurrency will hit the seven-figure mark before 2030.

How much will 1 Bitcoin be worth in 2050? ›

Summary
YearPredicted Price
2025$100,000+
2030$1.5 million
2040Multi-million dollars
2050Multi-million dollars

What is the price prediction for Bitcoin Cash in 2030? ›

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Price Prediction 2030
YearPrice
2025$ 330.20
2026$ 346.71
2027$ 364.04
2030$ 421.42
1 more row

Top Articles
Military Loans for Bad Credit
Preparing: Stocking Up on Food and Supplies
Ffxiv Palm Chippings
Team 1 Elite Club Invite
Aadya Bazaar
oklahoma city for sale "new tulsa" - craigslist
Chelsea player who left on a free is now worth more than Palmer & Caicedo
Craigslist Mexico Cancun
2022 Apple Trade P36
Transformers Movie Wiki
Wunderground Huntington Beach
Craigslist Jobs Phoenix
454 Cu In Liters
Diablo 3 Metascore
Walthampatch
The most iconic acting lineages in cinema history
2016 Ford Fusion Belt Diagram
Extra Virgin Coconut Oil Walmart
Rachel Griffin Bikini
Craiglist Kpr
Effingham Bookings Florence Sc
Allentown Craigslist Heavy Equipment
Puretalkusa.com/Amac
R. Kelly Net Worth 2024: The King Of R&B's Rise And Fall
Craigslist Battle Ground Washington
Directions To Nearest T Mobile Store
Timeline of the September 11 Attacks
Inter Miami Vs Fc Dallas Total Sportek
Egusd Lunch Menu
Where to eat: the 50 best restaurants in Freiburg im Breisgau
Kuttymovies. Com
Mobile crane from the Netherlands, used mobile crane for sale from the Netherlands
Star News Mugshots
Matlab Kruskal Wallis
B.k. Miller Chitterlings
Domino's Delivery Pizza
Cdcs Rochester
Atlanta Musicians Craigslist
Mugshots Journal Star
The best specialist spirits store | Spirituosengalerie Stuttgart
Promo Code Blackout Bingo 2023
Top 40 Minecraft mods to enhance your gaming experience
Craigslist Rooms For Rent In San Fernando Valley
Yale College Confidential 2027
Wgu Admissions Login
Breaking down the Stafford trade
Dyi Urban Dictionary
Mail2World Sign Up
Compete My Workforce
Southwind Village, Southend Village, Southwood Village, Supervision Of Alcohol Sales In Church And Village Halls
Blippi Park Carlsbad
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Jeremiah Abshire

Last Updated:

Views: 5862

Rating: 4.3 / 5 (74 voted)

Reviews: 81% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Jeremiah Abshire

Birthday: 1993-09-14

Address: Apt. 425 92748 Jannie Centers, Port Nikitaville, VT 82110

Phone: +8096210939894

Job: Lead Healthcare Manager

Hobby: Watching movies, Watching movies, Knapping, LARPing, Coffee roasting, Lacemaking, Gaming

Introduction: My name is Jeremiah Abshire, I am a outstanding, kind, clever, hilarious, curious, hilarious, outstanding person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.