Speculative Stock: Definition, Uses, Sector Examples (2024)

What Is a Speculative Stock?

A speculative stock is a stock that a trader uses to speculate. The fundamentals of the stock do not show an apparent strength or sustainable business model, leading it to be viewed as very risky and trade at a comparatively low price, although the trader is hopeful that this will one day change. This may be a penny stock or an emerging market stock that the trader expects to become much better known very soon.

Many traders are drawn to speculative stocks due to their higher volatility relative toblue-chip stocks, which creates an opportunity to generate greater returns—albeit at greater risk. Most long-term investors and institutional investors stay away from speculative stocks unless they are part of a mutual fund orexchange traded fund (ETF).

Key Takeaways

  • Traders interested in speculative stocks seek out securities that might seem risky at the moment but appear to have great potential that is not yet realized.
  • Such stocks are the subject of speculation and are thus referred to as speculative stocks.
  • Speculative stocks are high-risk, high-reward, and tend to appeal to short-term traders.
  • Speculative stocks tend to be clustered into sectors or types: penny stocks, emerging market stocks, rare materials stocks, pharmaceutical stocks, etc.

Speculative Stock: Definition, Uses, Sector Examples (1)

Understanding a Speculative Stock

Speculative stocks appeal to short-term traders due to their low share price and greater volatility compared to traditional blue-chip stocks. The greater volatility enables traders to realize windfall profitsif the trade works out in their favor. The challenge is to find ways to limit losses if the trade does not work out.

Oftentimes, speculative stocks areclustered in sectors such as mining, energy, technology, and biotechnology. While there is significant risk involved in investing in early-stage companies in these sectors, the possibility that a small company may find a giant mineral deposit, invent the next big app,or discover a cure for a diseaseoffers enough incentive for speculators to take a chanceon them.

Although most speculative stocks tend to be early-stage companies, a blue-chip can occasionally become a speculative stock if it falls upon hard times and has rapidly deteriorating prospects for the future. Such a stock is known as a fallen angeland may offer an attractive risk-reward payoff if it can manage to turn its business around and avoid bankruptcy.

Investing in Speculative Stocks

Speculative stocks generallyoutperform in very strong bull marketswhen investors have abundant risk tolerance. They underperform in bear markets because investors’ risk aversion causes them to gravitate toward larger-cap stocks that are more stable.

Typical valuationmetrics such as theprice-earnings (P/E)andprice-sales (P/S)ratios cannot be used for most speculative stockssince they are generally unprofitable and may have minimal sales. For such stocks, alternative techniques such as thediscounted cash flow (DCF)valuation or peer valuation may need to be used to account for future potential rather than current fundamentals.

Speculative stocks often account for a small portion of portfolios held by experienced investors becausesuch stocks may improve the return prospects for the overall portfolio without adding too much risk, thanks to the beneficial effects of diversification. Experienced investors who dabble in speculative stocks typically look for companies that have good management teams, strong balance sheets, and excellent long-term business prospects.

Most investors should avoid speculative stocks unless they have the time to dedicate to research. Meanwhile, traders who choose to trade speculative stocks should be sure to use risk management techniques to avoid sharp declines. This is especially true during a recession when investors often pull their money from speculative stocks and seeksafe-haveninvestments. A better strategy during more turbulent times is to invest in companies with low debt, good cash flow, and strong balance sheets.

A trader who invests primarily in risky stocks is known as a speculator.

Investing vs. Speculating

Investors and traders necessarily take on calculated risk as they attempt toprofitfrom transactions they make in the markets. The level ofriskundertaken in the transactions is the main difference between investing and speculating.

Whenever a person spends money with the expectation that the endeavor will return a profit, they are investing. In this scenario, a reasonable judgment is made after a thorough investigation that the endeavor has a good probability of success.

But what if the same person spends money on an undertaking that shows a high probability of failure? In this case, they are speculating. Success or failure depends primarily on chance, or on uncontrollable (external) forces or events.

The primary difference between investing and speculating is the amount of risk undertaken. High-risk speculation is typically akin to gambling, whereas lower-risk investing uses a basis of fundamentals and analysis.

Speculative Stock: Definition, Uses, Sector Examples (2024)

FAQs

Speculative Stock: Definition, Uses, Sector Examples? ›

Speculative stocks

Speculative stocks
A stock market bubble is a type of economic bubble taking place in stock markets when market participants drive stock prices above their value in relation to some system of stock valuation. Behavioral finance theory attributes stock market bubbles to cognitive biases that lead to groupthink and herd behavior.
https://en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Stock_market_bubble
are high-risk, high-reward, and tend to appeal to short-term traders. Speculative stocks tend to be clustered into sectors or types: penny stocks, emerging market stocks, rare materials stocks, pharmaceutical stocks, etc.

What is speculative stock quizlet? ›

Speculative Stock. is high risk of high probability of declining in value and a small chance gains that purchased by investors who believe that the stock will appreciate in value.

What is meant by speculation in stock exchange __________? ›

Definition: Speculation involves trading a financial instrument involving high risk, in expectation of significant returns. The motive is to take maximum advantage from fluctuations in the market.

What are examples of speculative inventory? ›

If you anticipate demand increasing based on a product's seasonality, you might invest in a speculative inventory of that product. For example, if the weather forecast predicts more snow than usual, you may increase your speculative inventory of snow-related products like boots, hats, gloves and scarves.

How risky is a speculative stock? ›

Speculation carries significant risk due to the unpredictable nature of price changes and market volatility. Participation results in an uncertain degree of loss or gain. That is largely why managing such investments requires more time and knowledge than traditional investing.

What is a speculative stock example? ›

Speculative stocks are more prevalent in industries or sectors characterized by rapid innovation, disruptive technologies, or emerging trends. Examples include biotechnology, renewable energy, cryptocurrency, and early-stage startups.

What is a speculative answer? ›

1. a : based on guesses or ideas about what might happen or be true rather than on facts. His conclusions are highly/purely speculative.

What is an example of speculation in the stock market? ›

For example, a speculator expects the value of a particular share to fall from $10 to $8. So, he/she will borrow some shares and sell them at the current price of $10 and when the prices go down to $8 he will buy them back at $8 earning him a profit.

What is the simple definition of stock speculation? ›

Speculation in the stock market involves making investments in assets that have a likelihood of loss. But there is the hope that the outcome will be the opposite—that there will be big gains. High-risk stocks tend to be speculative, especially penny stocks and those on the over-the-counter (OTC) market.

What is speculation examples? ›

the activity of guessing possible answers to a question without having enough information to be certain: Rumors that they are about to marry have been dismissed as pure speculation. Speculation about his future plans is rife.

What is speculative example? ›

Speculative describes very risky and unproven ideas or chances. You might have great ideas about starting your own business but your plans are speculative until you earn money from them.

How do you know if a stock is speculative? ›

Speculative stocks are high-risk, high-reward, and tend to appeal to short-term traders. Speculative stocks tend to be clustered into sectors or types: penny stocks, emerging market stocks, rare materials stocks, pharmaceutical stocks, etc.

Why do people buy speculative stocks? ›

Speculative stocks tend to trade at a lower price than other stocks. Professional speculators are hopeful that the stock's value will change in the near future. Speculative stocks' volatility and high reward make them attractive to many short-term investors or traders.

Why is speculation a bad thing? ›

Speculation in stock trading often hurts a stock, rather than helps it. Speculation often leads to panic in volatile markets. Losing investors start to sell off their positions, which causes their stocks to go down even further, which leads to even more selling and so on.

What is a highly speculative stock? ›

A speculative stock is a company that is characterized by extreme risk with the possibility of extreme returns in compensation for that risk. These stocks are typically traded on the over-the-counter (OTC) markets instead of the formal exchanges such as the New York Stock Exchange or NASDAQ Exchange.

How much should you invest in speculative stocks? ›

If you're younger, you have many years of earnings to make up your losses. For most individuals, I wouldn't suggest investing more than 5 percent of your net worth in risky assets. If you have a growing portfolio and you lose all of your money in your speculative investment, a 5 percent loss shouldn't ruin you.

What does speculation mean in stocks? ›

Key Takeaways. Speculation refers to the act of conducting a financial transaction that has substantial risk of losing value but also holds the expectation of a significant gain. Without the prospect of substantial gains, there would be little motivation to engage in speculation.

Which of the following describes stock speculation quizlet? ›

Which of the following describes stock speculation? Speculation is a gamble that the price of a stock will increase and an investor will make money.

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