Should you really do nothing amid market volatility? It depends on whether you're 32 or 58 (2024)

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Amid volatility in the stock market, the default advice is often to do nothing.

However, as the longest bull market in history possibly wanes — with this week erasing 2018's gains — it can be helpful to turn your attention to your own timeline.

"If you have 40 years left to invest, a bear market right now is just noise and should be ignored; in fact, often celebrated," said Doug Bellfy, a certified financial planner at Synergy Financial Planning in South Glastonbury, Connecticut.

On the other hand, Bellfy said, "a stock market crash that starts the day after you retire can cause a permanent lifestyle impact if all your money is invested there."

Here's how you should react and plan for the drops ahead, by age.

20s-30s:

If you're a young investor, your rate of return typically matters less than your savings rate, said James Sweeney, a CFP and founder of Switchpoint Financial Planning in Lehi, Utah.

He provided an example: If you're 30 with $20,000 invested, whether you earn a 10 percent or a 5 percent annual return will only result in difference of around $1,000.

But, Sweeney said, "If I can save aggressively, and put an extra $5,000 toward retirement, that has a much bigger effect on my portfolio value."

People in their 20s and 30s who are investing for retirement really are best off doing nothing as the market rages, said Alex Doll, a CFP and president of Anfield Wealth Management in Cleveland. When you put money into your 401(k) during a downturn, you're actually taking advantage of a lower-cost environment.

However, you don't want the money you need for near-term expenses in the stock market, because it has a greater chance of losing value, said Nicholas Scheibner, a CFP at Baron Financial Group in Fair Lawn, New Jersey.

Keep the savings for, say, a home purchase within the year, in cash or CDs.

40s-50s:

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The biggest mistake middle-aged investors can make is to sell at the bottom of a bear market, Sweeney said. "Most people still have 10 or more years until they retire, which is typically more than enough time to ride out a bear market," he said.

A bear market is said to have begun when a major index such as the drops more than 20 percent.

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The 2008 downturn, when the S&P 500 plunged 56 percent, took investment portfolios one to three years to recover (for asset allocations ranging from half stocks and half bonds, to 100 percent stocks), according to Vanguard.

Do make sure you have enough cash reserves built up to cover your upcoming expenses, including school tuition and planned vacations, said Milo Benningfield, a CFP and founding principal of Benningfield Financial Advisors in San Francisco.

"If not, consider raising cash from your portfolio now rather than later after markets have fallen," he said.

60s-70s:

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As the stock market swings up and down, older investors should avoid complacency and tweak their portfolio to make sure they're ready to exit the workforce, Bellfy said.

"I find that investors that are getting close to retirement do sometimes need to be coaxed to reduce risk and build cash reserves," he said.

How much should you have in cash? At least two years' worth of living expenses, Bellfy said. "But more can be better if one has the ability to save up more," he said.

That way if the bear market hits just before you retire, you won't need to dig into your portfolio at reduced prices.

"Avoid the temptation to cash out your investments completely," Benningfield said. "You may have another two to four decades of spending to cover."

If you're already in retirement:

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Investors who no longer receive a paycheck want to make sure they have enough of their money in cash and bonds to last them until the market heals, said Sweeney. They'll also generally have Social Security and/or a pension to rely on.

He recommends building up five to 10 years' worth of these reserves. So if you estimate that you'll need to withdraw $25,000 a year from your portfolio, you'd want to keep $125,000 to $250,000 in cash and bonds.

He said retired investors still need some growth assets such as stocks, particularly since people are living longer.

"In a bear market, pull from your bond portfolio to fund your lifestyle," he said. "Leave your stocks alone."

More from Fixed Income Strategies:
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Should you really do nothing amid market volatility? It depends on whether you're 32 or 58 (2024)

FAQs

What does market volatility depend on? ›

Economic data also plays a role, as when the economy is doing well, investors tend to react positively. Monthly jobs reports, inflation data, consumer spending figures and quarterly GDP calculations can all impact market performance. In contrast, if these miss market expectations, markets may become more volatile.

What is the best way to deal with volatility? ›

Strategies for dealing with market volatility
  1. Invest regularly — in good and bad times. ...
  2. Avoid jumping in and out of the market. ...
  3. Maintain a diversified portfolio. ...
  4. Don't forget history. ...
  5. Talk with your financial professional.

Should you trade when the market is volatile? ›

A higher volatility means more significant price swings, suitable for trading. But investors should be careful not to become overconfident. Investors should also look at the true average range and the spread as a percentage of the spot price.

Is it better to have higher or lower volatility? ›

Many day traders like high-volatility stocks since there are more opportunities for large swings to enter and exit over relatively short periods of time. Long-term buy-and-hold investors, however, often prefer low volatility where there are incremental, steady gains over time.

What is a good volatility percentage? ›

How Much Market Volatility Is Normal? Markets frequently encounter periods of heightened volatility. As an investor, you should plan on seeing volatility of about 15% from average returns during a given year.

What is the best strategy for a volatile market? ›

Here's how.
  1. Keep perspective–downturns are normal and normally short lived. ...
  2. Be comfortable with your investments. ...
  3. Do not try to time the market. ...
  4. Invest regularly, despite volatility. ...
  5. Take advantage of opportunities. ...
  6. Consider a hands-off approach.

How do you survive stock market volatility? ›

During market volatility:
  1. Resist the urge to sell based solely on recent market movements. Selling stocks when markets drop can make temporary losses permanent. ...
  2. Take the long view. Markets typically go up and down, and you're likely to experience several significant declines during a long investing career.

How do you trade volatility successfully? ›

  1. Use trendlines. Trendlines are an invaluable tool for trading volatility. ...
  2. Don't just follow the herd. One significant cause of market volatility is the herd mentality. ...
  3. Take your position on news early. ...
  4. Filling the gap. ...
  5. Venture a guess.

What volatility is too high? ›

With stocks, it's a measure of how much its price changes in a given period of time. When a stock that normally trades in a 1% range of its price on a daily basis suddenly trades 2-3% of its price, it's considered to be experiencing “high volatility.”

What number is considered high volatility? ›

Implied volatility rank is generally considered to be elevated (i.e. “high”) when it is greater than 50. Extreme levels in IV rank would be 80 and above. Alternatively, when implied volatility rank is depressed (<20) that may be viewed as a potential opportunity to buy options/volatility.

Is high volatility bullish or bearish? ›

When applied to stock markets, a bearish market will show a high implied volatility rate as opposed to a bullish market, where implied volatility will be low. The primary reason behind this is, in a bullish market, investors expect prices to increase over time and therefore, IV goes down.

On what factors does volatility depend? ›

The volatility of a substance is a physical property that depends on the intermolecular forces holding the atoms or molecules of the substance together. For example, methane molecules have only weak forces holding them together, so the boiling point of liquid methane is -258.9 °F (-161.6 °C).

What are the factors that determine volatility? ›

Volatility is a natural and inherent characteristic of financial markets, and it can be influenced by a multitude of factors, including economic data, geopolitical events, market sentiment, and company-specific news.

What makes the market volatile? ›

What Are the Primary Causes of Stock Market Volatility? Different events and factors can cause the markets to move up and down. Surprising events, economic uncertainty and changes in investor sentiment can all cause market fluctuations.

What is volatility determined by? ›

An important factor influencing a substance's volatility is the strength of the interactions between its molecules. Attractive forces between molecules are what holds materials together, and materials with stronger intermolecular forces, such as most solids, are typically not very volatile.

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