Retirement Plans – What to do during a down market (2024)

You're not alone in thinking that managing your retirement savings in a down market is a challenge. In fact, you may be tempted to make immediate changes in hopes of protecting your investments. Acting too quickly may lead to making choices that don't align with your goals — and may even keep you from reaching them. Keep the following information in mind before making any moves.

What a volatile market means

Market volatility refers to when groups of stocks or bonds rapidly change price — up or down — over a relatively short time span.

Retirement Plans – What to do during a down market (1)

Lower volatility

is when the price change is slower, less significant and over a longer period.

Retirement Plans – What to do during a down market (2)

Higher volatility

is when the price change is faster, more significant and over a shorter period. Rapid price changes can impact the value of your retirement portfolio.

What a bear market means

A bear market is when the stock market experiences a sustained period of price declines. In fact, typically it describes a condition in which securities prices fall 20% or more from their most recent all-time high. A bear market does not guarantee that a recession will occur, and market corrections have always been temporary. A recession occurs when the U.S. economy has 6 consecutive months of negative growth.

How the market can affect your retirement portfolio

Whether you're in the midst of a volatile market, a bear market or a recession, the value of your retirement portfolio could be significantly affected. Watching your account total go up and down, or continue to go down temporarily for a period of time, isn't easy. But it's a normal part of investing in the markets. In fact, there have been periods of increased market volatility throughout the long history of the U.S. stock and bond exchanges.

S&P 500® performance after severe quarterly losses 1945 to present

Retirement Plans – What to do during a down market (3)

Source for chart data: FactSet Research Systems, Nationwide IMG Competitive Intelligence Team

You may be wondering "But how bad are my losses going to be in this current market?" As the chart above illustrates, the second quarter of 2022 may be the ninth-worst quarter for the S&P 500 Index since World War II. However, in the 12-month periods following down quarters in the past, the benchmark stock index rose by an average of 26%.

This illustrates why investors should ignore short-term market noise and stay focused on their long-term investment strategy.

Tips on what to do in a down market

Refer to these 5 tips before deciding to take action in a down market:

Retirement Plans – What to do during a down market (4)

1. Resist the urge to do "something" right away

Don't let market fluctuations alone make you change investments. Remember, bad years are generally balanced by good years.

Retirement Plans – What to do during a down market (5)

2. Stay calm through the ups and especially the downs

Make sure you temper your expectations for growth. Your asset allocation should be based on return expectations needed to meet certain goals and objectives. If your portfolio includes stocks, down markets are already factored into your long-term return expectations.

Retirement Plans – What to do during a down market (6)

3. See the opportunity with market losses

By continuing to invest regularly during a down market, you'll often be able to buy more of your chosen investments with the same amount of money as before. Riding out the down market so that you can participate in the rebound should be the goal.

Retirement Plans – What to do during a down market (7)

4. Don't check your portfolio too often

Reviewing your allocations and making necessary changes periodically is smart, but checking too often may lead to hasty decisions that negatively impact your returns.

Retirement Plans – What to do during a down market (8)

5. Forget short-term losses in the past

Don't dwell on how much more your portfolio was worth at the time of its most recent high. Unless you sell investments or withdraw funds, the "losses" are only on paper. Long-term investing historically leaves plenty of time for the market to recover.

Of course, you should always keep in mind that investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

Need more tips on how to avoid emotional investing?Watch this video.

Retirement Plans – What to do during a down market (2024)

FAQs

Retirement Plans – What to do during a down market? ›

Take the market environment into consideration as you withdraw income. If you're retiring during a recession, consider withdrawing cash and fixed income opportunities first to allow stocks and other investments that are down to recover. During good years in the market, replenish your cash and fixed income buckets.

How do you retire when the market is down? ›

Take the market environment into consideration as you withdraw income. If you're retiring during a recession, consider withdrawing cash and fixed income opportunities first to allow stocks and other investments that are down to recover. During good years in the market, replenish your cash and fixed income buckets.

How to protect your retirement portfolio in a market downturn? ›

As a safeguard against economic slumps, some investment professionals suggest keeping up to five years' worth of expenses in cash or cash equivalents, such as short-term bonds, certificates of deposit, and Treasury bills.

Should I move my 401k when the market is down? ›

Market downturns can make you feel like you're even more behind in your savings goals. “We believe the key thing to do is to keep your 401(k) funds invested. If you take them out of the market, you may lock in losses and could miss out on opportunities for market rebounds.”

Should I move my retirement savings out of the market? ›

Don't Panic

It's fine to bear-proof your portfolio during a market downturn, and steps like diversifying and moving away from riskier stocks (and equity mutual funds) can pay off long after the bear market is history. Just don't succumb to the temptations of panic selling.

What is the 4% rule in a down market? ›

The 4% rule entails withdrawing up to 4% of your retirement in the first year, and subsequently withdrawing based on inflation. Some risks of the 4% rule include whims of the market, life expectancy, and changing tax rates. The rule may not hold up today, and other withdrawal strategies may work better for your needs.

Where do you put retirement money in a recession? ›

You should aim to contribute as much as you can to your 401(k) regardless of economic events. A recession is one of the best times to contribute to your 401(k) because the stock market is usually down. In other words, you can buy your investments on sale. Does a 401(k) recover after a recession?

Can I lose my 401k if the market crashes? ›

The odds are the value of your retirement savings may decline if the market crashes. While this doesn't mean you should never invest, you should be patient with the market and make long-term decisions that can withstand time and market fluctuation.

Should I move my 401k to bonds in 2024? ›

The decision to move a 401k entirely into bonds should be carefully considered, taking into account several key considerations, like age, retirement timeline, risk tolerance, financial goals, the current economic climate, interest rates, tax implications, and inflation rates.

Can I lose my IRA if the market crashes? ›

A recession could result in a lower IRA balance, but that's not guaranteed to happen. If a recession does negatively impact your IRA, your best bet is to do nothing. It's a good idea to have an emergency fund for surprise expenses that could pop up during a recession, so you can let your IRA recover.

Can you freeze your 401k? ›

401(k) retirement plans may be “frozen” by a company's management, temporarily halting new contributions and withdrawals. A freeze can occur in the case of a corporate restructuring such as a merger or if your company changes 401(k) plan providers.

Should I be aggressive with my 401k right now? ›

If you need a lot of money for retirement or want to live an opulent lifestyle, you should invest more aggressively. If your needs are lower, you can afford to be less aggressive. Ability to save. If you have a strong ability to save money, then you can afford to take less risk and still meet your financial goals.

At what age should I stop contributing to my 401k? ›

Certain strategies, such as continuing to contribute to retirement accounts, can reduce the higher taxable income for someone older than 73. Depending on specific circ*mstances, workers over age 73 can still contribute to an IRA, a 401(k), and other retirement accounts.

Where is the safest place to put your retirement money? ›

Below, you'll find the safest options that also provide a reasonable return on investment.
  1. Treasury bills, notes, and bonds. The federal government raises money by issuing Treasury marketable securities. ...
  2. Bond ETFs. There are many organizations that issue bonds to raise money. ...
  3. CDs. ...
  4. High-yield savings accounts.
May 3, 2024

Should you retire when the stock market is down? ›

When you are heading into retirement, we recommend a cash buffer that could cover one to two years of spending needs. Having an alternative source available to fund expenses can be particularly helpful in a down market to give you cover until your investments rebound.

How to recession proof your 401k? ›

Having a diversified 401(k) of mutual funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that invest in stocks, bonds and even cash can help protect your retirement savings in the event of an economic downturn. How much you choose to allocate to different investments depends in part on how close you are to retirement.

What happens to my retirement if the stock market crashes? ›

Your investment is put into various asset options, including stocks. The value of those stocks is directly tied to the stock market's performance. This means that when the stock market is up, so is your investment, and vice versa. The odds are the value of your retirement savings may decline if the market crashes.

What happens if you retire during a recession? ›

If you're on a fixed income, such as a pension or Social Security, the purchasing power of your income may decrease during a recession as things get more expensive. This can make it harder for you to cover your expenses, especially if unexpected costs or healthcare expenses happen.

What is the risk of retiring in a down market? ›

It typically refers to the hazards posed by making early retirement withdrawals during a down market. Retirees who launch into retirement during a bear market, for example, may see that initiating drawdowns in a poor investment environment does major damage to their long-term savings.

How can I save for retirement without stock market? ›

Another way to save for retirement is through real estate investments. You may already have access to the real estate sector through a mutual fund, ETF, or REIT if you have an IRA or a brokerage account. You can also buy real estate outright to generate an income stream during your retirement years.

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