Residential Real Estate - Europe | Statista Market Forecast (2024)

Analyst Opinion

The Residential Real Estate market in Europe is experiencing significant developments and trends. Customer preferences, local special circ*mstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors are all contributing to these changes. Customer preferences in the European Residential Real Estate market are being shaped by several factors. Firstly, there is a growing demand for sustainable and energy-efficient homes. Customers are increasingly concerned about the environmental impact of their living spaces and are willing to pay a premium for properties that are eco-friendly. Additionally, there is a shift towards smaller, more compact homes that are easier to maintain and require less energy to heat and cool. This trend is driven by changing demographics, with an increasing number of single-person households and a desire for more affordable housing options. Trends in the European Residential Real Estate market are also influenced by global and regional market dynamics. One notable trend is the rise of co-living and co-working spaces. These shared living and working arrangements cater to the growing number of freelancers, digital nomads, and young professionals who value flexibility and community. This trend is particularly prominent in major cities where housing costs are high, and individuals are seeking more affordable and social living arrangements. Local special circ*mstances play a significant role in shaping the Residential Real Estate market in Europe. For example, in countries with a high population density like the Netherlands, there is a scarcity of land for new housing developments. This has led to an emphasis on vertical expansion, with the construction of high-rise buildings and the conversion of existing structures into residential units. In contrast, countries with vast rural areas, such as Sweden and Finland, are experiencing a trend towards countryside living. People are seeking a quieter and more nature-oriented lifestyle, leading to an increase in demand for properties in rural areas. Underlying macroeconomic factors also contribute to the developments in the European Residential Real Estate market. Low interest rates across the region have made borrowing more affordable, encouraging individuals to invest in property. Additionally, economic growth and increasing employment rates have boosted consumer confidence and purchasing power, driving up demand for residential real estate. However, it is important to note that the market is not hom*ogeneous across Europe, and factors such as political stability, immigration patterns, and local regulations can vary significantly from country to country. In conclusion, the Residential Real Estate market in Europe is experiencing various trends and developments driven by customer preferences, local special circ*mstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The demand for sustainable and compact homes, the rise of co-living and co-working spaces, and the scarcity of land in certain countries are all shaping the market. Low interest rates and economic growth are also contributing to the increased demand for residential real estate. It is crucial for market participants to stay informed about these trends and factors to make informed decisions in this dynamic market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on total and average value of residential real estate, residential estate transactions and leases.

Modeling approach:

Market size is determined by a combined top-down and bottom-up approach. We use national statistics, international organizations, and industry associations to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country specific industry associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita.

Forecasts:

We use a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the market, for instance, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

Data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

Residential Real Estate - Europe | Statista Market Forecast (2024)

FAQs

How is the housing market in Europe in 2024? ›

In the first quarter of 2024, house prices in the EU increased by 0.4% and rents by 0.9% compared with the fourth quarter of 2023. Compared with the first quarter of 2023, house prices in the EU went up by 1.3%, while rents increased by 3.0%.

What is the outlook for the European real estate market? ›

The outlook for European direct real estate returns is improving each quarter. We forecast European all-property total returns of 1.5% over the year to December 2024. This is before a healthy recovery kicks in, with three- and five-year annualised total returns of 7.5% and 8.3%, respectively.

Where have house prices dropped the most in Europe? ›

The largest falls were registered in Luxembourg (-10.9%), Germany (-5.7%) and France (-4.8%), while the highest increases were recorded in Poland (+18.0%), Bulgaria (+16.0%) and Lithuania (+9.9%). Compared with the previous quarter, prices decreased in eight Member States and increased in eighteen Member States.

What is the housing market like in Europe? ›

Housing price dynamics remain uneven across Europe. While the price correction accelerated in France in the first half of 2024, it slowed in Germany and Sweden, where the correction had been most pronounced in 2023.

What is the outlook for the German Real Estate market in 2024? ›

The value of real estate is likely to drop to a low point in 2024, and a more stable market environment will gradually ensure a convergence in buyer and seller price expectations. We expect growth in the investment volume of around 20% compared with 2023.

What is the easiest country to buy property in Europe? ›

Portugal is often favored for its affordable property prices, pleasant climate, and attractive Golden Visa program. Spain also ranks highly with its diverse landscapes and favorable cost of living, offering good value in both bustling cities and tranquil coastal areas.

What is the outlook for the Real Estate market in Spain in 2024? ›

In 2024, the Spanish real estate market is expected to remain stable, with property prices projected to increase by an average of 2 to 5% due to ongoing inflation. This modest price rise reflects the resilience of the market despite economic fluctuations.

Is Europe in a housing crisis? ›

The housing crisis is a growing concern across Europe, marked by shortages and escalating rents. Approximately 70% of EU residents own their homes, while the remaining 30% rent. About 17% of the EU population lives in overcrowded conditions.

What is the forecast for European markets? ›

The Euro Area Stock Market Index (EU50) is expected to trade at 4925.26 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4828.58 in 12 months time.

What is the most expensive country in Europe to buy a house? ›

The most expensive country in terms of new dwelling prices is the UK (EUR 4,905 per sqm), while the most affordable country is Bosnia and Herzegovina (EUR 974 per sqm).

What country has the worst house prices? ›

Here are the ten least affordable major housing markets in the world:
  • Hong Kong, China.
  • Sydney, Australia.
  • Vancouver, Canada.
  • San Jose, US.
  • Los Angeles, US.
  • Honolulu, US.
  • Melbourne, Australia.
  • San Francisco, US.
Jun 17, 2024

Will the housing market crash in 2024 UK predictions? ›

We have thus settled on a central forecast of a 15% fall by mid-2024, which while in the middle of the above range would be a larger fall than assumed by the Bank of England, Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) and consensus.

Where in Europe should I buy a house? ›

5 Best European Countries To Buy a Home in 2024
  • Italy. View of the village of Bellagio on Lake Como, in Italy. Pierrick Lemaret/Getty Images. ...
  • Spain. The city of Toledo in Spain. ...
  • France. The village of Gordes, in France, in Luberon. ...
  • Cyprus. The village of Moutoullas, in the Nicosia region of Cyprus. ...
  • Denmark.
Mar 23, 2024

Is it cheaper to live in Europe or the US? ›

Europe is cheaper than the U.S. based on variables such as prices of goods and services, exchange rates, and market conditions. Being savvy and knowledgeable about local customs, price patterns, and international financial matters can help a visitor maximize the advantages.

Which country is best for real estate investment in 2024? ›

Best Countries to Invest in Real Estate in 2024
CountriesPopulation (2022)Nominal GDP
UAE (Dubai)3,331 million$527.80 billion
Spain47,78 million$1.65 trillion
Portugal10,41 million$298.949 billion
Germany83,8 million$4.59 trillion
6 more rows
Jul 17, 2024

Will there be a housing recession in 2024? ›

There probably won't be a housing recession in 2024 based on current expectations, as limited inventory is likely to push prices up further. Once rates drop, more buyers should re-enter the market as well.

Will 2024 be a better time to buy a house? ›

Yes. This is the best time to buy a house in California. With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024. As per Fannie Mae, mortgage rates may drop more in Q2 of 2024 due to economic changes, inflation, and central bank policy adjustments.

Which country is best for Real Estate investment in 2024? ›

Best Countries to Invest in Real Estate in 2024
CountriesPopulation (2022)Nominal GDP
UAE (Dubai)3,331 million$527.80 billion
Spain47,78 million$1.65 trillion
Portugal10,41 million$298.949 billion
Germany83,8 million$4.59 trillion
6 more rows
Jul 17, 2024

What is the Real Estate market in Italy in 2024? ›

Italy's Real Estate market market is expected to reach a staggering value of US$10.08tn in 2024.

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