Mutual Funds and the Impact of Inflation | Kotak Securities (2024)

It’s common knowledge that mutual funds are market-linked products, and several factors impact their performance. One critical factor that has an impact on mutual funds is inflation. Inflation, which refers to the gradual rise in the price of goods and services, often has a domino effect on mutual funds.

This is because when inflation is on the rise, companies in which your fund invests may experience a higher operating cost. This, in turn, can affect their profit margin, subsequently impacting returns on your investment.

Inflation Impact on Debt Funds

While inflation affects the performance of almost all types of funds, their impact on debt funds is quite profound. Debt funds are funds that invest in fixed-income securities such as treasury bills, corporate and government bonds, etc. They are generally less volatile than equities and offer predictable returns.

When inflation rises, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raises key policy interest rates to bring it down. When this happens, bond prices fall, and the value of your investment in debt funds tends to come down. Note that bond prices and interest rates share an inverse relationship. It means bond prices come down when interest rates increase and vice versa.

Let’s understand it with an example. Suppose you invest in a bond with a face value of Rs 1000 with an interest rate of 5%. It means you will receive an interest income of Rs 50 annually. If interest rates rise due to inflation, new bonds in the market are issued at a higher interest rate of 7%. As the new bonds offer a higher interest rate, the demand for existing bonds decreases. This, in turn, hurts your investments.

The longer the maturity of a debt fund, the greater the chances of it getting impacted by interest rate movements due to inflation. On the other hand, a decline in inflation brings down rates, which subsequently enhances returns from debt funds, particularly bond funds.

Impact of Inflation on Equity Funds

Inflation also impacts equity funds. High inflation brings down the real rate of returns. The real rate of returns is the returns you earn up and above inflation. For example, if the return from your equity mutual funds is 8% and inflation is 10%, the real rate of return is negative (-2%).

Also, inflation takes its toll on the profitability of companies and hits their revenues. This is because operating costs go up due to inflation, which brings down profits. With companies grappling with high expenses, the same brings down returns from funds investing in them.

Equity mutual funds can potentially deliver inflation-beating returns in the long run. In other words, if you stay committed to your investments in fundamentally strong equity funds, you can earn returns up and above inflation.

How to Combat the Impact of Inflation on Mutual Funds?

While you can do little to tame inflation, you can use specific strategies to ensure your mutual fund investments remain cushioned amid inflation. Some strategies you can adopt are:

Optimum Diversification

Optimally diversifying your portfolio across different types of funds can help you shock-proof your mutual fund portfolio. Ensure you have investments across equity, debt, and hybrid funds so that performance remains stable and doesn’t plunge amid high inflation.

Regularly Review and Make Adjustments

Monitor your portfolio and make the necessary adjustments. For instance, in a prolonged regime of high interest rates due to inflation, you can tone down your debt fund investments a little. On the other hand, when inflation is down, you can enhance your exposure to debt funds and increase your equity allocation.

Summing it Up

Whatever approach you take, make sure not to act under impulse. More often than not, impulsive decisions are likely to backfire and do more harm than good. In case of any doubt, consulting with a certified financial advisor is better. Remember, combating inflation is a part of mutual fund investment, and you can do so with the right approach and discipline.

FAQs on Impact of Inflation on Mutual Funds

In an inflationary environment, debt funds investing in fixed-income securities such as bonds can have a negative impact. This is because bond prices and interest rates move in opposite directions.

When markets are down due to an inflationary environment, investing in mutual funds via SIPs allows you to benefit from rupee cost averaging. You can accumulate more units during such times.

Mutual Funds and the Impact of Inflation | Kotak Securities (2024)

FAQs

How are mutual funds affected by inflation? ›

Inflation, which refers to the gradual rise in the price of goods and services, often has a domino effect on mutual funds. This is because when inflation is on the rise, companies in which your fund invests may experience a higher operating cost.

Can debt mutual funds beat inflation? ›

Bonds or debt funds that invest in bonds are linked closely to interest rates in the economy, which works closely with the inflation rates. If inflation rises, interest rates rise. Interest rates and bond prices move in opposite directions. Hence bond prices will fall in this case.

Are mutual funds subject to market risk dialogue? ›

“Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks” is a common saying. You will find it at the end of all mutual fund advertisem*nts. It means that the value of your mutual fund investments can go up or down based on market conditions, and there's no guarantee of positive returns.

Are mutual funds inflation proof? ›

Mitigating Inflationary Risks with Mutual Funds

By spreading investments across various inflation-resistant assets, mutual funds help mitigate inflation's impact, providing investors with liquidity, convenience, and the potential for long-term wealth preservation.

Which mutual fund is best to beat inflation? ›

Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) offers a disciplined approach to investors amidst market volatility and inflation. It enables rupee cost averaging, compounding effects, diversified portfolios, and long-term horizons, providing a valuable tool for financial growth and stability.

Where should you invest your money during inflation? ›

6 Inflation Investments for the Future
  • Equities. Equities generally offer a reliable haven during inflationary times. ...
  • Real Estate. Real estate is another tried-and-true inflationary hedge. ...
  • Commodities (Non-Gold) ...
  • Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) ...
  • Savings Bonds. ...
  • Gold.
Mar 1, 2024

What are the worst investments during inflation? ›

What Are the Worst Things to Invest in During Inflation? Some of the worst investments during high inflation are retail, technology, and durable goods because spending in these areas tends to drop.

What is the best way to beat inflation? ›

  1. How to Beat Inflation. Investing in assets with returns that outpace the rate of inflation is one of the best ways consumers can beat inflation. ...
  2. Beat Inflation by Investing in Gold. ...
  3. Invest in Stocks to Beat Inflation. ...
  4. Beat Inflation with Real Estate. ...
  5. TIPS Are Designed to Beat Inflation. ...
  6. Beat Inflation with I Bonds.
Jul 30, 2024

Should I pay off debt or invest during inflation? ›

Prioritize paying down high-interest debt

For most consumers, the biggest impact of these rate hikes is on credit cards. If you have any credit card debt, that debt will increase at a higher rate, and become more expensive over time.

What is the biggest risk for mutual funds? ›

While mutual funds offer potential benefits, investors also face risks like market fluctuations. Market risk is a primary concern as the value of securities can go up or down based on changes in market conditions. A poorly performing sector or bad fund management could result in substantial losses.

Which is riskier stocks or mutual funds? ›

Mutual funds are managed by professionals, reducing the need for monitoring, but investors give up control. Stocks offer higher returns but come with higher risk and volatility. Both mutual funds and stocks have fees and expenses that can affect investment returns.

Are mutual funds safer than money market? ›

There are thousands of mutual funds available, and their risks vary widely from blue-chip conservative to highly speculative. A money market fund invests only in low-risk short-term debt such as Treasury bills. Money market funds value the safety of principal over the chance of high profits.

What is the best asset to invest in? ›

Overview: Best investments in 2024
  1. High-yield savings accounts. Overview: A high-yield online savings account pays you interest on your cash balance. ...
  2. Long-term certificates of deposit. ...
  3. Long-term corporate bond funds. ...
  4. Dividend stock funds. ...
  5. Value stock funds. ...
  6. Small-cap stock funds. ...
  7. REIT index funds.

What is the best hedge against inflation? ›

Gold may be the best hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks. Gold emerged as the best commodity to serve as a potential hedge against inflation and geo-political risks.

What mutual funds are recession proof? ›

Three types of recession-proof funds that investors may consider are consumer staples, utility and healthcare funds. Consumer staples funds invest in companies that produce essential products and services that people need on a daily basis, regardless of the state of the economy.

What happens to mutual funds in a recession? ›

The herd instinct kicks into overdrive when mutual fund investors hear the word "recession" and news reports show stock prices dropping. Fears of further declines and mounting losses chase investors out of stock funds and push them toward bond funds in a flight to safety.

What are inflation protected mutual funds? ›

The fund focuses on investments in inflation-protected bonds that are backed by the full faith and credit of the federal government and whose principal is adjusted based on inflation.

Which of these investments is most likely to be affected by inflation? ›

Fixed-income investments are significantly impacted by inflation. As inflation rises, the interest rates for fixed-income instruments remain the same, triggering investors to explore or invest in alternative investments to get returns higher than the inflation rate (to beat inflation).

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