Mortgage Rates Fall to 5-Month Low (2024)

The Federal Reserve signals a possible rate cut could come in September. Could that cause rates to drop even lower?

Home buyers and refinancers had the opportunity to lock in the lowest mortgage rates since early February this week, averaging 6.73%. Plus, the average mortgage rate is now lower than a year ago.

The Federal Reserve also suggested this week that a possible cut to its key benchmark rate could take place this fall.

That may prompt some prospective home buyers to hold out for even lower mortgage rates. But Lisa Sturtevant, Bright MLS chief economist, says that hoping that rates to head much lower could be a miscalculation.

“The Federal Reserve will almost certainly cut rates in September—the first cut since 2020,” Sturtevant says. “However, there is no direct ‘cause-and-effect’ relationship between the Fed rate cuts and a drop in mortgage rates.” What’s more, “expectations about a September rate cut are already baked in, which is why we’re already starting to see mortgage rates start to come down.”

Still, Sturtevant does expect mortgage rates to continue to fall throughout the second half of the year and end the year at an average of about 6.4% for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. “Rates will continue to fall in 2025, though it is likely that they will remain above 6% through the end of next year,” she says.

Housing affordability will remain a top challenge for home buyers, who have been facing higher home prices, says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. But “a recent moderation in home price growth and increases in housing inventory are a welcoming sign for potential home buyers,” he says.

Indeed, the National Association of REALTORS® recently reported that more opportunities for home buyers appear to be opening up in the market, and contract signings are already responding, rising nearly 5% in June.

Mortgage Rates This Week

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages with mortgage rates for the week ending Aug. 1:

30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 6.73%, dropping from last week’s 6.78% average. Last year at this time, 30-year rates averaged 6.90%.

15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 5.99%, falling from last week’s 6.07% average. A year ago, 15-year rates averaged 6.25%.

Mortgage Rates Fall to 5-Month Low (2024)

FAQs

Will mortgage rates ever drop below 5 again? ›

Mortgage rates are expected to continue trending down through 2024 and into 2025, and we could see rates drop further into the 5% range.

How low will mortgage rates drop in 2024? ›

The same day the Fed cut the federal funds rate, Fannie Mae released its September housing forecast. The organization now predicts mortgage rates will be at 6.2% by the end of 2024 and 5.7% by Q4 2025.

Will interest rates ever go back to 3? ›

The short answer is: It's highly unlikely we'll see mortgage rates drop back to 3% anytime soon. However, recent inflation numbers point to cooling of the pace of inflation. This will allow the FED to start lowing the FED funds rates soon, most experts predict September will be the first cut.

Have mortgage rates fallen to their lowest level since April? ›

Mortgage rates fell on Thursday to their lowest level since April 2023 — 6.2 percent for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, down from 6.35 percent a week before, according to Freddie Mac.

Will mortgage rates go below 6? ›

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the low-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory in 2025. Here's where mortgage interest rates are headed for the next 18 months and how that will impact the housing market as a whole.

What will mortgage rates be in 2024? ›

When will mortgage rates go down?
DateAverage rate - 2 year fixAverage rate - 5 year fix
31 May 20245.2%4.7%
30 June 20245.2%4.7%
31 July 20245.0%4.5%
31 August 20244.8%4.3%
9 more rows

Where will mortgage rates be in 2026? ›

The Mortgage Bankers Association expects mortgage rates to level off at about 6.4% this year, 5.9% in 2025 and 5.5% by the end of 2026, compared to 3.70% at the end of 2019.

Will 2024 be a better time to buy a house? ›

Yes. This is the best time to buy a house in California. With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024. As per Fannie Mae, mortgage rates may drop more in Q2 of 2024 due to economic changes, inflation, and central bank policy adjustments.

What are mortgage rates predicted to be in 2025? ›

Fannie Mae's August 2024 forecast (its latest at the time of writing) predicts that 2025 rates will start at 6.2% and trickle downwards by 0.1% each quarter, landing somewhere near 5.9%.

How to get a 3 percent mortgage rate? ›

To qualify, you need to:
  1. Live in the home yourself as a primary residence.
  2. A credit score above 580.
  3. A debt-to-income-ratio below 50%.
  4. The ability to fund the down payment either in cash or with the support of a second loan at current interest rates.
Dec 17, 2023

What will interest rates be in 2026? ›

CPI inflation to fall further than most expect in 2025 and prompt BoE to cut interest rates to 3.00% by early 2026 | Capital Economics.

Will interest rates go down in August 2024? ›

The mortgage rate forecast for the remainder of 2024 is that mortgage rates are expected to nudge down further following the Bank of England's decision to cut the base rate on the 1st August, for the first time since March 2020.

What time of year are mortgage rates lowest? ›

So if you're on the fence about buying or refinancing a home this winter, know that January and February bring some of the lowest mortgage rates of the year.

What is the lowest mortgage rates have ever been? ›

The lowest average mortgage rates on record came about when the Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate in 2020 and 2021 in response to the pandemic. As a result, the weekly average 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 2.65%, while the average 15-year, fixed-rate mortgage sunk to 2.10%.

Is it good if mortgage rates fall? ›

Lower mortgage rates make it more affordable for buyers to purchase a home,” Sturtevant says. “But lower rates also make it easier for existing homeowners to sell. Nationwide, there is an average 3 percentage point gap between rates on new and existing mortgages.

Are mortgage rates expected to drop in 2025? ›

The general consensus is that rates will continue to creep downwards in 2025 until settling in the high-5% range by December.

What is the interest rate forecast for the next 5 years? ›

Projected Interest Rates In The Next Five Years

ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

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