Missed the S&P 500 Bull Market Recovery? Here's What to Do Right Now. | The Motley Fool (2024)

The market is thriving. Have you missed the best time to invest?

After a rough couple of years, the stock market is finally surging again. The S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.54%) has been reaching new heights, soaring by a whopping 41% from its lowest point in October 2022.

This can be an exciting time for investors, many of whom have watched their portfolios plummet in value over the past several years. But if you've been hesitant to jump back into the stock market, it may seem like you've already missed the best opportunity to buy.

But is the best of the recovery period really already behind us? Or should you still invest now? Here's everything you need to know.

Is right now a good time to invest?

There's good and bad news about the future of the stock market. The bad news is that the market's short-term performance is unpredictable, and even the experts can't say for certain where stock prices will be weeks or months from now.

The good news, though, is that over the long term, the market is far more consistent. Throughout its history, the market has not only recovered from every single recession, crash, and bear market it has ever faced, but it's also experienced positive long-term returns.

For example, over the past two decades alone, the market has surged by nearly 244%. Even if you hadn't invested during its lowest periods, you still could have earned a substantial amount of money by simply getting in the market at any point and staying invested.

Missed the S&P 500 Bull Market Recovery? Here's What to Do Right Now. | The Motley Fool (1)

^SPX data by YCharts

The key, then, is to keep a long-term outlook and get started investing as soon as possible. The longer you wait, the less you may earn over the long haul.

What if the market is about to dip?

Another common concern among investors right now is that this surge is only a temporary rally and that stock prices are about to fall. While it's unclear where the market is headed in the short term, even if a downturn is on the horizon, that shouldn't deter you from investing.

For instance, say you had invested in an S&P 500 index fund in February 2020 -- just weeks before the market would experience one of its fastest crashes in history. At the time, that may have seemed like the worst possible moment to buy. But by today, you'd have earned total returns of nearly 57%.

Missed the S&P 500 Bull Market Recovery? Here's What to Do Right Now. | The Motley Fool (2)

^SPX data by YCharts

Or, say you invested in an S&P 500 index fund in January 2008. The market was just starting its descent heading into the Great Recession, which wouldn't officially end until mid-2009. Still, though, by simply staying in the market, you'd have earned total returns of 244% by today.

Missed the S&P 500 Bull Market Recovery? Here's What to Do Right Now. | The Motley Fool (3)

^SPX data by YCharts

In other words, as long as you keep a long-term outlook, it doesn't necessarily matter when you buy. The market has consistently climbed over time, and by waiting for the "perfect" moment to invest, you're missing out on valuable time to let your money grow.

The key to keeping your money safer

Regardless of when you choose to invest, it's critical to ensure you're choosing the right investments. Not all stocks will experience long-term growth, and shaky companies may have a tough time recovering from market downturns.

The companies with the strongest fundamentals (which include everything from healthy financials to a knowledgeable leadership team to a competitive advantage) are the most likely to thrive over time. By filling your portfolio with these types of stocks, you stand the best chance of surviving whatever downturns may come your way.

Nobody knows for certain what the market will do in the near future, but with the right strategy, there's never necessarily a bad time to invest. By choosing the right investments and keeping a long-term outlook, you can set yourself up for substantial earnings over time.

Katie Brockman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Missed the S&P 500 Bull Market Recovery? Here's What to Do Right Now. | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

How long does it take for the S&P 500 to recover? ›

It typically takes five months to reach the “bottom” of a correction. However, once the market starts to turn, it can recover quickly. The average recovery time for a correction is just four months! That's why investors with truly diversified portfolios may consider staying investing for the long-term.

Will the S&P recover in 2024? ›

The S&P 500 generated an impressive 26.29% total return in 2023, rebounding from an 18.11% setback in 2022. Heading into 2024, investors are optimistic the same macroeconomic tailwinds that fueled the stock market's 2023 rally will propel the S&P 500 to new all-time highs in 2024.

Is now a bad time to buy S&P 500? ›

Also, research suggests that when it comes to the S&P 500's historical returns, there's never been a bad time to buy as long as you're a long-term investor. Analysts at Crestmont Research examined the index's rolling 20-year total returns and found that every single one of those periods ended in positive gains.

What is the average return on Motley Fool? ›

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor stock picks are near their record with an average return since inception of 765% vs. the S&P500's 165%. That means that over the last 22 years their stock picks are beating the market by 600% so they are easily quadrupling the S&P500's return.

How long did it take for the stock market to recover after 2008? ›

The bounce-back from the 2008 crash took five and a half years, but an additional half year to regain your purchasing power.

How long did it take for the stock market to recover after 1987? ›

Stock markets quickly recovered a majority of their Black Monday losses. In just two trading sessions, the DJIA gained back 288 points, or 57 percent, of the total Black Monday downturn. Less than two years later, US stock markets surpassed their pre-crash highs.

What is the S&P 500 prediction for 2025? ›

Overall, Yardeni Research forecasts S&P 500 operating earnings at $250 in 2024, up 12% vs 2023. He puts them at $270 in 2025 (up 8%) and $300 in 2026 (up 11.1%). These figures compare with analysts' consensus forecasts of $244.70 in 2024, $279.70 in 2025 and $314.80 in 2026.

How much will the S&P 500 grow in the next 10 years? ›

Returns in the S&P 500 over the coming decade are more likely to be in the 3%-6% range, as multiples and margins are unlikely to expand, leaving sales growth, buybacks, and dividends as the main drivers of appreciation.

What is the expected return of the stock market in the next 10 years? ›

Highlights: 5.2% 10-year expected nominal return for U.S. large-cap equities; 9.9% for European equities; 9.1% for emerging-markets equities; 5.0% for U.S. aggregate bonds (as of September 2023). All return assumptions are nominal (non-inflation-adjusted).

Will the S&P 500 go up again? ›

S&P 500 forecast

Its 10-year average forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.9 suggests stock valuations might be slightly stretched. Fortunately, most analysts remain optimistic the S&P 500 will resume its upward march. The average analyst price target for the S&P 500 is currently 6,079.

Is Roth IRA or S&P 500 better? ›

Best for investing in broad, low-cost index funds

This can be as simple as owning the stocks that comprise the S&P 500, an index of the 500 largest companies trading on US stock exchanges. History shows this can be a solid long-term strategy that is particularly suited for retirement accounts, such as a Roth IRA.

What to buy when S&P goes down? ›

Bonds usually go up in value when the stock market crashes, but not all the time. The bonds that do best in a market crash are government bonds such as U.S. Treasuries. Riskier bonds like junk bonds and high-yield credit do not fare as well.

What is the 4% rule Motley Fool? ›

It states that you can comfortably withdraw 4% of your savings in your first year of retirement and adjust that amount for inflation for every subsequent year without risking running out of money for at least 30 years.

What is the rule of 72 Motley Fool? ›

Applying the Rule of 72, you simply divide 72 by 10. This says the investment will need to go up 7.2% annually to double in 10 years. You could also start with your expected rate of return in mind. Perhaps you expect a stock to go up in value by 15% annually.

What stocks is Motley Fool recommending now? ›

The top 10 stocks to buy in September 2024
  • CrowdStrike (CRWD 1.41%), $58 billion.
  • PayPal (PYPL 1.46%), $66 billion.
  • Airbnb (ABNB 1.21%), $72 billion.
  • Shopify (SHOP -0.29%), $89 billion.
  • MercadoLibre (MELI 4.61%), $96 billion.
  • Walt Disney (DIS 1.11%), $156 billion.
  • Intuitive Surgical (ISRG 0.63%), $165 billion.
Aug 14, 2024

How much does the S&P 500 return after inflation? ›

The historical average yearly return of the S&P 500 is 10.473% over the last 20 years, as of the end of July 2024. This assumes dividends are reinvested. Adjusted for inflation, the 20-year average stock market return (including dividends) is 7.712%.

How long does it take to double your money in the S&P 500? ›

We saw in the previous section that investing in the S&P 500 has historically allowed investors to double their money about every six or seven years. Your initial $1,000 investment will grow to $2,000 by year 7, $4,000 by year 14, and $6,000 by year 18.

How often does the S&P 500 reset? ›

Because the 500 stocks in the S&P's flagship index fluctuate in value over time, that means some new companies will be added to the index periodically, while others are removed, a process known as index rebalancing. The S&P 500 rebalances on a quarterly basis (as does the Dow Jones and the Nasdaq-100 Index).

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