Martin Lewis gives mortgage warning to home buyers as interest rates set to soar (2024)

MARTIN Lewis has issued a warning to home buyers after interest rates are predicted to soar to 6% next year.

The consumer champion was answering questions about the housing market on Good Morning Britain (GMB) earlier today.

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And the Money Saving Expert website founder suggested first-time buyers shouldn't buy a house now - unless they are fully prepared.

He said: "If you've got a decent deposit, and you've found a house that you love, and you've got a mortgage that is affordable for you, and you're going to stay in that property for a long time, get on with it, buy your house.

"If you're doing this because 'this isn't the house that I want, but I feel I should do it before everything goes wrong and it all goes belly up', don't buy your house."

The consumer champion went on to explain that it's hard to predict what will happen with the housing market at the minute because there are "so many variables and it's incredibly complex right now."

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He said: "There are no firm right answers and I apologise if you play this back in two years time and I'm totally wrong. That's possible."

It comes as hundreds of mortgage deals were pulled from the market last week over uncertainty at where interest rates are heading.

The current Bank of England base interest rate sits at 2.25%, after it was increased in September.

But that could hit 6% next year, experts have warned.

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That rate affects how much banks charge for borrowing including mortgages, loans and credit cards.

With rates expected to go up, lenders pulled their deals as they were unsure how to price them.

House prices could be hit as higher borrowing rates are expected to make it harder for people to buy a home.

Economists warned that house prices could fall as much as 15% if interest rates do hit 6%.

Martin said: "We are in the period for the first time I can remember in recent times where the majority of commentators are talking about a correction, in other words prices coming down on houses.

"So there is a risk by buying now you're locking yourself into a high mortgage on a high house price.

"And, of course, most first-time buyers don't have much deposit, so it's a big loan-to-value and the house prices may well come down and you may regret it later."

Because mortgage rates are rising, buyers face higher monthly repayments than when rates were lower.

A mortgage broker can help you work out the best mortgage deal for your circ*mstances and what you can afford to borrow.

The government slashed stamp duty in the mini Budget to help home buyers.

First-time buyers stand to save up to £6,250 and those already on the property ladder up to £2,500 compared to the previous rates.

Rising mortgage costs

Martin criticised the Treasury's claims that the saving could be higher when taking into account what has happened to mortgage rates.

A Treasury post on Twitter said that a typical first-time buyer in London moving into a representative terraced house will save £11,250 on stamp duty.

But Mr Lewis, interviewing chief secretary to the Treasury Chris Philp on the programme, said: "Now, on my calculations, to save £11,250 on stamp duty you have to be buying a house as a first-time buyer of £500,000 or more.

"The cheapest fixed-rate mortgage on a £500,000 property with a 10% deposit leaves you with payments of £2,400 a month, which is £28,000 a year.

"But your example is for somebody who earns £30,000 a year. Clearly, they would not get that mortgage. And clearly on £30,000 a year before tax you cannot pay a mortgage of £28,000 a year.

He added that it was "fundamentally irresponsible for the Treasury to be putting out this kind of statement in the middle of a cost-of-living crisis."

Mr Philp speculated that they were likely illustrating "the income tax saving of someone on approximately medium earnings".

He said: "You are right to point out that someone on that particular level of earnings would be unlikely to be able to get a mortgage to fund a £500,000 house, unless, of course, they were doing so with a partner, but I suspect that's why they did it."

You can figure out how much you might save on stamp duty by using our calculator.

How can you get the best deal on your mortgage?

If you're set on the idea of re-mortgaging or looking to buy your first home now, there are some tips you can use to help.

Greg Cunnington, from mortgage broker LDN Finance, previously told The Sun shopping around was one way to get the best deal.

Different lenders have different lending criteria so some might let you borrow more than others.

So if you know what's out there, it will help you to make the best-informed decision.

If you don't want to shop around, you can always use a mortgage broker.

A mortgage broker is a person or company that acts as the middle person between the buyer and the mortgage lender.

Mortgage brokers have become more popular in recent years as the housing market becomes more competitive.

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If you're willing to, you can fix your mortgage for longer as well.

Some lenders let you borrow more if you fix for a longer period, and with rates predicted to reach around 6% next year, fixing now could save you money in the coming years.

Martin Lewis gives mortgage warning to home buyers as interest rates set to soar (2024)

FAQs

Why are mortgage rates soaring? ›

However, there are some general things we can say about the conditions in which mortgage rates tend to rise. Typically, mortgage rates are rising because inflation is going up and the Federal Reserve has changed the target on the federal funds rate to get prices back under control.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? A few years ago, homebuyers could take out home loans with rates between 2% and 3%. Mortgage rates will fall over the next year, but they won't reach those levels. Housing market experts say it would take a significant economic crisis for mortgage rates to drop below 3%.

Should interest rates stop me from buying a house? ›

While no one wants to pay more than they should, mortgage interest rates are temporary and subject to change over time. So if you can afford the higher rate and want to buy a home now, feel free to do so — and just look for the opportunity to refinance in the future.

What is predicted to happen to mortgage rates? ›

With the announcement in August of a cut to the base rate from 5.25% to 5.00%, it is expected that mortgage rates will fall. But there is still some volatility to mortgage rates so it's crucial to shop around for the best mortgage deal before your current mortgage deal ends.

How to buy a house when interest rates are high? ›

Save More for a Down Payment

You can help offset larger monthly payments caused by higher rates by saving more for your down payment. The more you put down, the lower your mortgage balance and interest payments. Some lenders also offer better interest rates for higher down payments.

What will cause interest rates to drop? ›

Conversely, an increase in the supply of credit will reduce interest rates while a decrease in the supply of credit will increase them. An increase in the amount of money made available to borrowers increases the supply of credit. For example, when you open a bank account, you are lending money to the bank.

How low will mortgage rates go in 2024? ›

Forecasters expect rates to land closer to mid-6 percent by the end of 2024, according to Bankrate's August mortgage rate outlook. “Even if the Fed starts cutting rates this year, mortgage rates won't get down to, or below, 6 percent unless there is a significant economic slowdown,” McBride says.

When was the last time mortgage rates were 3 percent? ›

The lowest interest rate for a mortgage in history came in 2020 and 2021. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent lockdowns, the 30-year fixed rate dropped under 3% for the first time since 1971, when Freddie Mac first began surveying mortgage lenders.

What are mortgage rates expected to be in 2025? ›

Looking beyond that, Freddie Mac's researchers said that they expect mortgage rates to decline even further in 2025, dropping below 6.5% on average. They believe this will further stimulate the real estate market by making homeownership more affordable for more Americans.

Should I wait to have a 20% down payment? ›

For most homebuyers, a down payment of less than 20 percent will generally cost more money in the long run. But if saving up that kind of money will keep you from ever owning a home, it's worth considering.

Should I buy a house now or wait for a recession? ›

And as you might imagine, recessions are a risky time to buy a home. If you lose your job, for example, a lender will be much less likely to approve your loan application. Even if a recession doesn't affect you directly, if your area is hard-hit, that could have a serious effect on the local real estate market.

Is it better to sell a house when interest rates are high? ›

When is a good time to wait? Rising mortgage interest rates often mean a smaller pool of buyers who can afford the price you want. Selling a home isn't free, so if you can't maximize your price, you might want to wait.

Are mortgage rates expected to drop again? ›

However, rates aren't expected to dip into the 3% or 4% range in the foreseeable future. At best, prospective homebuyers could expect rates to fall into the lower 6% range throughout the end of 2025.

Will interest rates go down in August 2024? ›

Between September 2023 and August 2024 the BOE kept the base rate unchanged at 5.25%. On 1st August 2024, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted to cut the BOE base rate by a quarter of a percentage point, to 5.00%. Five members voted to reduce rates to 5.00%, while four members voted to maintain rates at 5.25%.

Will mortgage rates go down in a recession? ›

Interest rates usually fall early in a recession and then rise later as the economy recovers. This means that the adjustable rate for a loan taken out during a recession is likely to rise once the downturn ends. The fixed-rate loan at recession pricing could be a better deal in the long run.

Why does the Fed raise mortgage rates? ›

Recent trends in mortgage rates after Fed meetings

The Fed began raising interest rates in early 2022, in an attempt to cool high inflation. It raised rates seven times in 2022 and four times in 2023. Since then, the Fed rate has held steady.

Will interest rates drop in 2024? ›

Yes, mortgage interest rates are expected to decrease gradually over the next couple of years. Experts predict the average 30-year rate will settle somewhere between 6.6% to 6.7% by the end of 2024, and then to 6% to 6.2% by late 2025.

Will mortgage rates go down in 2025? ›

Looking beyond that, Freddie Mac's researchers said that they expect mortgage rates to decline even further in 2025, dropping below 6.5% on average. They believe this will further stimulate the real estate market by making homeownership more affordable for more Americans.

Why are rates rising today? ›

When the Prime Rate is high, borrowing money is more expensive. This causes increased interest rates and lower spending. This also effectively lowers inflation. This is why the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in 2022, to fight rising inflation.

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