Least squares regression: Definition, Calculation and example - Voxco (2024)

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Table of Contents

What is least square regression?

Let’s say we have plotted some data on a graph. If the variables are correlated to each other, the scatterplots will show a linear pattern on a graph. Hence, it would make sense to draw a straight line through the points and group them.

Least square regression is a technique that helps you draw a line of best fit depending on your data points. The line is called the least square regression line, which perfectly depicts the changes in your y (response) variables and their corresponding x (explanatory) variable. As the title has “regression” in it, we can clearly say that this line is used to predict the y variables from its x variable. Having both the response and explanatory variables is the first requirement of any regression technique.

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Least squares regression: Definition, Calculation and example - Voxco (19)

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The least square regression line

The line that we draw through the scatterplots does not have to pass through all the plotted points, provided there is a perfect linear relationship between the variables.

Equation of least square regression line: ŷ= a + b x

The Least Squares Regression technique sees to it that the line that makes the vertical distance from the data points to the regression line as small as possible.This line is nothing but the Least Squares Regression line. The word “least square” comes from the best fit line and its ability to minimize the variance. Variance is nothing but the sum of squares of the errors. Since these errors are squared, the data points start to move further away from each other. Hence, we need least square regression to minimize the difference.

Finding a line of best fit

Given below is an example of how the least square regression lie looks when plotted on a graph:

Equation of a line:

Where,

y = how far up

x = how far sideways

m = slope

Example:

A company measured the sales against its investment in advertising in 5 months

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Least squares regression: Definition, Calculation and example - Voxco (20)

Step 1: Add two more columns for x2 and xy

Step 2: Find the sum of all columns

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Step 3: Calculate slope m

m=N Σ(xy) − Σx Σy / N Σ(x2) − (Σx)2

=5 x 263 − 26 x 41 / 5 x 168 − 262

=1315 – 1066 / 840 − 676

=249 / 164

= 1.5183

Step 4: Calculate intercept b

b=Σy − m Σx / N

=41 − 1.5183 x 26 / 5

= 0.3049

Step 5: Substitute in the equation of line formula

y = mx + b

y = 1.518x + 0.305

If we proceed to plot these points on a graph, it would look like this:

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Least squares regression: Definition, Calculation and example - Voxco (2024)

FAQs

What is least squares regression explain with an example? ›

The least squares method is a form of regression analysis that provides the overall rationale for the placement of the line of best fit among the data points being studied. It begins with a set of data points using two variables, which are plotted on a graph along the x- and y-axis.

How to calculate the least squares regression equation? ›

The least-squares regression line equation is y = mx + b, where m is the slope, which is equal to (Nsum(xy) - sum(x)sum(y))/(Nsum(x^2) - (sum x)^2), and b is the y-intercept, which is equals to (sum(y) - msum(x))/N.

How to calculate regression equation by hand? ›

Calculating the Linear Regression

The equation is in the form of “Y = a + bX”. You may also recognize it as the slope formula. To find the linear equation by hand, you need to get the value of “a” and “b”. Then substitute the resulting value in the slope formula and that gives you your linear regression equation.

What is the best definition of the least squares regression line? ›

A least squares regression line represents the relationship between variables in a scatterplot. The procedure fits the line to the data points in a way that minimizes the sum of the squared vertical distances between the line and the points. It is also known as a line of best fit or a trend line.

How to interpret a least squares regression line? ›

How to Interpret the Coefficients of the Least-Squares Regression Line Model. Step 1: Identify the independent variable and the dependent variable . Step 2: For the least-squares regression line y ^ ( x ) = a x + b , the value is the -intercept of the regression line.

What is the least squares regression estimator? ›

The method of least squares is a parameter estimation method in regression analysis based on minimizing the sum of the squares of the residuals (a residual being the difference between an observed value and the fitted value provided by a model) made in the results of each individual equation.

How do you solve ordinary least squares regression? ›

The ordinary least squares formula: what is the equation of the model? where Y is the dependent variable, β0, is the intercept of the model, X j corresponds to the jth explanatory variable of the model (j= 1 to p), and e is the random error with expectation 0 and variance σ².

What is the equation for the LSRL? ›

This is called the The Least-Squares Regression line of best fit" Line (LSRL) is the line that minimize this sum. The equation of the LSRL is ŷ = b+b₁x. tells how much of the variation in the response variable is accounted for by the linear regression model.

How to find a regression equation? ›

The formula for simple linear regression is Y = mX + b, where Y is the response (dependent) variable, X is the predictor (independent) variable, m is the estimated slope, and b is the estimated intercept.

What is the least-squares regression line for predicting? ›

In addition to providing a mathematical description of the linear trend that we can see in our data, a regression line serves a second purpose: It can help us make predictions of the values of the dependent variable that we would expect to see for any value of the independent variable.

How to calculate least squares regression? ›

To find the least squares regression line 𝑦 = 𝑎 + 𝑏 𝑥 , we must find the slope, 𝑏 , and the 𝑦 -intercept, 𝑎 . To do this, we use the formulae 𝑏 = 𝑆 𝑆 = 𝑛 ∑ 𝑥 𝑦 − ∑ 𝑥 ∑ 𝑦 𝑛 ∑ 𝑥 −  ∑ 𝑥  𝑎 = 𝑦 − 𝑏 𝑥 ,       a n d where 𝑥 = ∑ 𝑥 𝑛 is the mean of 𝑥 and 𝑦 = ∑ 𝑦 𝑛 is the mean of 𝑦 .

How to find linear regression on Desmos? ›

Once you have your data in a table, enter the regression model you want to try. For a linear model, use y1 ~ mx1+b m x 1 + b or for a quadratic model, try y1 ~ ax21+bx1+c a x 1 2 + b x 1 + c and so on.

How to find regression equation on calculator? ›

To calculate the Linear Regression (ax+b): • Press [STAT] to enter the statistics menu. Press the right arrow key to reach the CALC menu and then press 4: LinReg(ax+b). Ensure Xlist is set at L1, Ylist is set at L2 and Store RegEQ is set at Y1 by pressing [VARS] [→] 1:Function and 1:Y1.

What is ordinary least squares regression in simple terms? ›

Ordinary Least Squares regression (OLS) is a common technique for estimating coefficients of linear regression equations which describe the relationship between one or more independent quantitative variables and a dependent variable (simple or multiple linear regression).

What is the difference between regression and least squares? ›

Linear regression is a type of regression model that assumes a linear relationship between the target and features, while least squares regression is a method used to find the optimal parameters for a linear regression model.

How to interpret least square means? ›

Least Squares Means can be defined as a linear combination (sum) of the estimated effects (means, etc) from a linear model. These means are based on the model used. In the case where the data contains NO missing values, the results of the MEANS and LSMEANS statements are identical.

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