Judge Rules XRP Is Not A Security. What Does It Mean For Other Crypto? (2024)

The crypto industry celebrated Ripple's partial win in court on Thursday, as a judge has ruled XRP (XRPUSD) is not a security. While many crypto proponents see this as a sign these sorts of assets will be allowed to flourish in the U.S., some legal experts point out that there is still much more regulatory clarity needed.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • A Thursday court ruling in Ripple's case with the SEC indicated that the digital asset XRP is not a security.
  • The crypto industry has responded positively to the news, with crypto exchanges relisting XRP and many hoping this will lead to an end to the perceived war on crypto waged by the SEC.
  • The ruling will undoubtedly have an impact on the SEC's cases against Binance and Coinbase, and the fact that many U.S.-based exchanges have decided to relist XRP is seen as positive development for Binance and Coinbase's legal standing.
  • While there is reason for crypto enthusiasts to rejoice over the short term, the reality is the Ripple ruling may not be the end-all-be-all method by which crypto assets are classified.

What Does the XRP Ruling Mean for Crypto Assets?

Bitcoin is a commodity, and that brings clarity on how it is regulated and by which agency. But that is not the case for most cryptocurrencies.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) contends that most cryptocurrency assets are securities and therefore must fall under the purview of securities laws. To that effect, the regulator has brought enforcement actions against issuers of the crypto tokens and as well as crypto exchanges such as Binance and Coinbase (COIN) that provided a platform to trade those tokens.

With the latest court ruling that XRP is not an investment contract itself, some members of the crypto industry are hopeful that the SEC will be forced to take a more hands off approach going forward. In addition to XRP, a number of other crypto assets that had previously been deemed securities, such as Solana (SOLUSD) and Polygon (MATIC), rallied on the news of the Ripple court order.

According to Morrison Cohen Partner Jason Gottlieb, Thursday's ruling is a departure from what had previously been found in the SEC's cases against Telegram and Kik, where all initial coin offerings were part of one investment scheme. Now, it's possible that crypto assets could be traded as "unrestricted securities" in a situation where they are sufficiently decentralized or not sold directly to retail. Gottlieb also says it would be difficult to conclude that staking rewards are securities in the context of the Ripple ruling.

"All in all, while lots of thorny questions remain, the initial jubilation over the decision is justified," said Gottlieb. "This new judicial guidance is aboon to token creators and markets, giving them new non-violative ways to issue and trade tokens."

Implications for SEC Cases Against Binance and Coinbase

In addition to offering more clarity for crypto token issuers, Thursday's Ripple court order also opens up more flexibility in terms of what can be listed on exchanges, at least in the eyes of those operating the exchanges.

The XRP token "is not in and of itself a “contract, transaction[,] or scheme” that embodies the Howey requirements of an investment contract," a federal judge ruled Thursday. The order also said that XRP sold to institutional investors broke securities laws while XRP traded on exchanges by retail investors did not.

That could have some implications for the lawsuits the SEC has filed against Binance and Coinbase, which were both sued for operating unlicensed securities exchanges.

Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal told CNBC that the crypto exchange's legal standing has been improved by the court order in the Ripple case. "I thought we would win before this decision," said Grewal. "We think this decision has only further strengthened the case."

In an episode of The Chopping Block, Brown Rudnick Partner Stephen Palley brought up the question of whether the SEC may go after the crypto exchanges that have now decided to relist XRP. "If so, the exchanges are willing to fight," Palley said.

Palley added that he's confident Coinbase would be raising this new legal opinion in their case against the SEC to illustrate that the transactions that occur on their platform are not securities transactions. "The most important sign, at least short term, is that Coinbase and Kraken have relisted [XRP]," Palley added. "That, obviously, means something."

This is Not a Final Decision

While the crypto industry can take the Ripple court order as a win for now, the reality is this ruling may not end up being the final say on the matter for two key reasons.

For one, the SEC still has the ability to appeal the decision made by the judge in the Ripple case. Secondly, the final word on crypto assets' regulatory classification may come from Congress by way of new legislation, as SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce has been advocating.

In his own post on the matter, Brown Rudnick Partner Preston Byrne shared his belief that the SEC is likely to appeal this decision and see the ruling overturned. Gottlieb also added his own caveat that this is simply one decision from one district court that other courts could adopt or not follow.

Specifically, Byrne says the court made an error when it concluded "programmatic" sales of XRP on exchanges were not investment contracts. In his view, it's "obvious to anyone active in the industry" that Ripple is the principal promoter of XRP, no matter whether the purchasers of the digital asset on exchanges were aware they were purchasing from Ripple.

"My hope is that Congress will get its act together and decide that it’s time for cryptocurrency tokens and cryptocurrency exchanges to receive their own purpose-built disclosure and supervisory frameworks which will take cryptocurrency regulation out of the slow and contradictory hands of our courts, and the politically motivated hands of the SEC," wrote Byrne. "My expectations of Congress are, however, quite low."

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Judge Rules XRP Is Not A Security. What Does It Mean For Other Crypto? (2024)

FAQs

What was the judge's decision on XRP? ›

Aug 7 (Reuters) - Ripple Labs has been ordered by a Manhattan court judge to pay the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission about $125 million in penalties over charges of improperly selling the cryptocurrency XRP, according to a court filing.

Will XRP go up if they win a lawsuit? ›

If the dispute with the SEC reaches a favorable final conclusion, it's reasonable to anticipate that investor interest in XRP could spike. This would likely fuel new growth and potentially lead to an uptick in its price.

What happens if XRP wins a court case? ›

This is the timeline for a ruling in the Supreme Court and according to the pro-XRP attorney, Ripple is likely to win “hands down.” In this scenario, the 75,000 XRP holders whose interests Deaton represents would receive compensation or payback.

Is the XRP lawsuit almost over? ›

A final wildcard in the legal tussle over XRP and other cryptocurrencies is the slow nature of the appeals process, meaning that any higher court ruling in the Ripple case is highly unlikely before 2025 while any Supreme Court ruling would almost certainly have to wait till 2026 or later.

What was the final decision on XRP? ›

Ripple secured a partial victory in July 2023, with the court ruling that only institutional sales of the XRP token, not programmatic sales to retail investors, were unregistered securities offerings.

What is the price prediction for XRP Ripple after lawsuit? ›

Ripple price continues to retrace but may find support at the $0.544 level before potentially resuming an upward rally.

Is XRP going to replace Swift? ›

He also stated that Ripple will not replace Swift but will be a complementary network that improves the payment system. Bright noted that Swift is rebranding its services; therefore, XRP will likely feature as currency on the platform.

How high can XRP go? ›

XRP's price is expected to see significant growth in 2025, with predictions ranging from conservative to highly optimistic. The ripple price forecast lowest forecast suggests XRP could reach $1.07, while the most bullish projections anticipate a high of $3.81.

How much will XRP be worth in 2025 after a lawsuit? ›

XRP Prediction Table
YearMinimum PriceMaximum Price
2025$0.95180481$1.18
2026$1.44$1.66
2027$2.03$2.51
2028$2.91$3.57
8 more rows

Will the SEC appeal the XRP decision? ›

The SEC has remained silent on whether it plans to appeal rulings from the SEC vs. Ripple case.

Can the government take my XRP? ›

XRP Can't Be Confiscated by Government, Says Ex-Ripple Director, Here Are 3 Reasons Why.

Will Ripple win the case? ›

In another win for Ripple, the judge in the SEC v Ripple case ordered Ripple to pay a $125 million fine rather than the $2 billion sought by the SEC.

Who is behind the XRP lawsuit? ›

The SEC initiated legal action against Ripple Labs, its CEO Brad Garlinghouse, and co-founder Chris Larsen, accusing them of conducting an unregistered securities offering.

What's next for XRP? ›

Since August 19th, 2024, XRP is forecasted to experience limited downside. In fact, the max downside in 2024 might be $0.49. Moreover, September 20th, 2024, is the next decisive date of importance. The new breakout level in November and later will be $0.625.

Has Ripple settled with SEC? ›

After a four-year runtime, the widely followed “SEC vs Ripple” lawsuit has reached a settlement. On Aug. 7, Judge Analise Torris ordered Ripple to pay a $125 million fine for breaking securities laws.

What is the judgment on the Ripple lawsuit? ›

Key Takeaways. The Court imposed a $125,035,150 civil penalty on Ripple for its securities law violations—an amount far less than the $2 billion penalty requested by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

How long will the XRP lawsuit take? ›

The long-awaited SEC lawsuit against Ripple Labs over XRP's status as a security could see a resolution by summer 2024. A long-awaited decision in the SEC's lawsuit against Ripple has been anticipated to arrive by summer 2024.

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