Is it too late to refinance? With mortgage rates on the rise, here are your options (2024)

Is it too late to refinance? With mortgage rates on the rise, here are your options (1)

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It's more affordable to own than to rent, but gap is narrowing

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For many homeowners, the pandemic offered an unprecedented opportunity to build wealth. Those opportunities still exist, even though they are getting harder to come by.

Thanks to skyrocketing housing prices, the amount of home equity is at an all-time high.

As of the third quarter of last year, homeowners held $9.4 trillion in equity to tap, the largest amount ever recorded, according to the most recent data fromBlack Knight, a mortgage technology and research firm.

For the average homeowner, that's nearly $178,000 in equity available to tap before hitting a maximum combined loan-to-value ratio of 80%, according to Black Knight Data & Analytics President Ben Graboske. Most lenders require that you keep at least 20% equity in your home, if not more, as a cushion in case home prices fall.

Taking advantage of all that extra cash, however, becomes more difficult as interest rates rise.

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Mortgage rates are already heading higher, thanks, in part, to inflation and the Federal Reserve.

Recent inflation reports reachedtheir highest levels in decades. TheConsumer Price Index, which measures the cost of a wide-ranging basket of goods and services, surged6.8% year over year, the fastest rate since June 1982.

In response, the Fed signaled it will dial back its economic help more quickly than anticipated, with Fed officials seeing as many as three rate hikes this year, two more next year and another two in 2024.

That is causing long-term fixedmortgage ratesto rise. Already, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage is up to 3.33% — now about half a percentage point higher than a year ago.

"With higher inflation, promising economic growth and a tight labor market, we expect rates will continue to rise," said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac's chief economist.

By the end of 2022, average mortgage interest rates will be as high as 4%, according to Jacob Channel, senior economic analyst at LendingTree.

"There is still time for people to tap into their home equity with either a home equity loan or a refinance," he said. However, "the window of opportunity is closing."

The best ways to tap your home for cash

When rates are low, a so-called cash-out refinance is particularly attractive. Homeowners can refinance their current mortgage, take out a bigger mortgage and lower the interest payment at the same time.

Even now, applicants with good credit may get a rate at or below 3%.

"If you can get it in the next few months, hopefully before summer, you might still be able to find a really good deal," Channel said.

Homeowners may also be able to deduct the interest on the first $750,000 of the new mortgage if the cash-out funds are used to make capital improvements. However, sincefewer people now itemize deductions on their tax returns, most households won't benefit from this write-off.

You might still be able to find a really good deal.

Jacob Channel

senior economic analyst at LendingTree

Alternatively, a home equity line of credit, or HELOC, which is a revolving line of credit but with better rates than a credit card, is another way to borrow against the equity you've accumulated in your home.

The average interest rate on this type of credit is around 5%. Credit cards charge roughly 16%, on average.

Fewer banks offered this option during the height of the Covid pandemic, when lenders tightened their standards to reduce their risk. Access to HELOCs has improved, although the most preferable terms still go to borrowers with higher credit scores and lower debt-to-income ratios.

Is it too late to refinance? With mortgage rates on the rise, here are your options (2)

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Mortgage refinance applications drop as rates climb

Squawk Box

Deciding between a cash-out refinance or HELOC will depend on how much equity you have in your home and your time frame, according to Christian Wallace,head of real estate services at mortgage firm Better.

For example, if you want a shorter-term commitment and don't have that much equity to tap, a HELOC may be a better bet. Alternatively, if you can refinance and reduce your interest rate by at least half a percentage point, then a cash-out could work in your favor.

"Every situation is going to be different," Wallace said.

Keep in mind that different lenders will also offer different terms and interest rates, she added. Wallace recommends talking to at least three mortgage companies or loan officers, as well as weighing all the costs before deciding what makes the most sense.

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Is it too late to refinance? With mortgage rates on the rise, here are your options (2024)

FAQs

Is now a good time to refinance my home in 2024? ›

You might want to consider refinancing your mortgage in 2024, especially if you got your mortgage in the last year and interest rates fall, or your specific circ*mstances call for a new loan.

Should you refinance your home if interest rate is higher? ›

Refinancing can lower your monthly payment, but it will often make the loan more expensive in the end if you're adding years to your mortgage. If you need to refinance to avoid losing your house, paying more, in the long run, might be worth it.

Is this a bad time to refinance your home? ›

While current rates have increased from the 2020 lows, they're still competitive compared to pre-pandemic years. Rates are also expected to drop in 2024. So, if your current mortgage rate exceeds the current market average or you want to tap into the equity of your home, it may be a good time to refinance.

Can I refinance my home when interest rates go down? ›

If interest rates have dropped since you first obtained your mortgage, a rate-and-term refinance can provide you with a lower rate. Ideally, that rate should be one-half to three-quarters of a percentage point lower than your current rate.

Are home loan interest rates going to drop in 2024? ›

MBA: Rates Will Decline to 6.6% In its July Mortgage Finance Forecast, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicts that mortgage rates will fall from 6.8% in the third quarter of 2024 to 6.6% by the fourth quarter. The industry group expects rates will fall to 6% at the end of 2025 and will average 5.8% in 2026.

Will 2024 be a better time to buy a house? ›

Experts like Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association predict that mortgage rates will decrease in 2024 and continue to drop in 2025 but this likely won't be until the latter half of the year.

What is today's interest rate? ›

Current mortgage and refinance interest rates
ProductInterest RateAPR
30-Year Fixed Rate6.75%6.79%
20-Year Fixed Rate6.49%6.54%
15-Year Fixed Rate6.19%6.27%
10-Year Fixed Rate6.15%6.23%
5 more rows

How much do rates need to drop to refinance? ›

One of the best and most common reasons to refinance is to lower your loan's interest rate. Historically, the rule of thumb has been that refinancing is a good idea if you can reduce your interest rate by at least 2%. However, many lenders say 1% savings is enough of an incentive to refinance.

Why would anyone refinance right now? ›

A general rule of thumb is that it makes financial sense to refinance your mortgage if you can secure a rate that's at least 1% lower than the one you currently have. During the pandemic, mortgage interest rates hit historic lows and a rush of homeowners were able to refinance with lower interest rates.

Is 3.75 a good interest rate? ›

A 3.75 percent mortgage rate is also considered excellent in most market conditions. It's lower than most historical averages over time.

Can I lower my interest rate without refinancing? ›

The simple answer is yes, your lender may agree to lower your interest rate without a refinance. This is known as a loan modification — it's a tool designed to help you reduce your mortgage payments and avoid default.

How much does a 1 percent interest rate affect a mortgage payment? ›

Over 30 years, the difference would save you $65,691 in interest. Buying power boost: If you budgeted about $1,846 a month for a mortgage payment, and the interest rate dropped 1 percentage point — from 7% to 6% — you could spend about $30,480 more on a home without increasing your monthly payment.

Will my house be worth less in 2024? ›

The majority of forecasts indicate that house prices in the US are expected to rise or remain stable in 2024. The predictions from various economists suggest that mortgage rates are expected to rise in 2024 before potentially cooling to lower than how the year began.

How many years should you wait to refinance your home? ›

Any time for a simple or rate-and-term refinance; after seven months for a streamlined refinance; after 12 months for a cash-out refinance (can vary by lender). You must have made on-time payments for the past six months; 12 months for a cash-out refinance.

What is the interest rate forecast for the next 5 years? ›

Projected Interest Rates In The Next Five Years

ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

What is the current refinance rate for a 30-year mortgage? ›

6.88% 6.93%

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