How volatile is Apple Stock? AAPL - Macroaxis (2024)

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AAPLStockUSD207.492.191.04%

Apple appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Apple Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which signifies that the company had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Apple Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Apple's Downside Deviation of 1.47, mean deviation of 1.23, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1209 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Apple's volatility include:

180 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance Of Distress

Low

180 Days Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market moves

Apple Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Apple daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Apple's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Apple volatility.

Apple

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Apple's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Apple's managers and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Apple at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Apple stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

Moving together with Apple Stock

0.88HPQ HP Inc Fiscal Year End 19th of November 2024 PairCorr
0.74WDC Western Digital Financial Report 29th of July 2024 PairCorr

Moving against Apple Stock

0.92DGII Digi International Fiscal Year End 14th of November 2024 PairCorr
0.77WEAV Weave CommunicationsPairCorr
0.74SSYS StratasysPairCorr
0.73CSCO Cisco Systems Aggressive PushPairCorr
0.72DOMO Domo IncPairCorr
0.68S SentinelOnePairCorr
0.61INVZW Innoviz TechnologiesPairCorr
0.5IMTE Integrated Media TecPairCorr
0.5ENLV Enlivex TherapeuticsPairCorr

Apple Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Apple's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Apple stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Apple stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Apple's beta of 0.61 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Apple stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Apple Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.29 and kurtosis of 4.23. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Apple's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Apple's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

3 Months Beta |Analyze Apple Inc Demand Trend

Check current 90 days Apple correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Apple Beta

0.61

Apple standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

1.73

It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Apple's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Apple's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in apple stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Apple.

Using Apple Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Apple grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Apple at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Apple Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Apple's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Apple will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Apple's PUT expiring on 2024-06-21

Profit

Apple Price At Expiration

Current Apple Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price

Put

2024-06-21 PUT at $300.0-0.99515.0E-412024-06-2189.6 - 91.186.22View

Put

2024-06-21 PUT at $250.0-0.99746.0E-4102024-06-2139.8 - 40.8537.0View

Put

2024-06-21 PUT at $237.5-0.90680.008712024-06-2126.9 - 28.620.8View

Put

2024-06-21 PUT at $235.0-0.92290.0089212024-06-2124.75 - 25.8525.24View

Put

2024-06-21 PUT at $232.5-0.94560.0084572024-06-2122.3 - 23.4523.1View

Put

2024-06-21 PUT at $230.0-0.97440.00611602024-06-2119.85 - 20.620.4View

Put

2024-06-21 PUT at $227.5-0.9110.013252024-06-2116.9 - 18.7518.3View

Put

2024-06-21 PUT at $225.0-0.98340.006123122024-06-2115.05 - 15.615.35View

Put

2024-06-21 PUT at $222.5-0.96490.011513802024-06-2112.5 - 13.1512.9View

Put

2024-06-21 PUT at $220.0-0.97780.0107143572024-06-2110.05 - 10.6510.35View

Put

2024-06-21 PUT at $217.5-0.93380.025670012024-06-217.55 - 8.17.95View

View All Apple Options

Apple Inc Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Apple stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Apple's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Apple's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Apple's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Apple's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Apple's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Apple's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Apple's to be redeemed at a future date.

Transformation

  • Average Price
  • Median Price
  • Typical Price
  • Weighted Close Price

The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Apple Inc Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Apple Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Apple has a beta of 0.6094 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, Apple average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Apple Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well.

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Apple or Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Apple's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Apple stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.

Apple Inc has an alpha of 0.2894, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

Predicted Return Density

Returns

Apple's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how apple stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Apple Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Apple Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Apple is 524.72. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.01 and standard deviation of 1.73. The mean deviation of Apple Inc is currently at 1.2. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.67

α

Alpha over Dow Jones0.29

Details

β

Beta against Dow Jones0.61

Details

σ

Overall volatility1.73

Details

Ir

Information ratio 0.16

Details

Apple Stock Return Volatility

Apple historical daily return volatility represents how much of Apple stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 1.7344% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.658% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.

Performance

Timeline

About Apple Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Apple or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Apple may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Apple's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Apple and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Apple fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.

Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Market Cap232.2B243.8B

Apple's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Apple Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Apple's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Apple's volatility to invest better

Higher Apple's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Apple Inc stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Apple Inc stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:

  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Apple Inc investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Apple's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Apple's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.

Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Apple Investment Opportunity

Apple Inc has a volatility of 1.73 and is 2.62 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Apple Inc is lower than 15 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Apple Inc to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Apple to be traded at $201.27 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between Apple Inc and DJI is 0.23 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Apple Inc and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

View Details

Apple Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Apple's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apple's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Apple stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.

Risk Adjusted Performance0.1209
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.4905
Mean Deviation1.23
Semi Deviation1.17
Downside Deviation1.47
Coefficient Of Variation586.2
Standard Deviation1.78

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with hom*ogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Apple Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.

Infinera vs. Apple
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Render Token vs. Apple
Copa Holdings vs. Apple
Chainlink vs. Apple
Cisco Systems vs. Apple
Solana vs. Apple
Citizens vs. Apple
Xiaomi Corp vs. Apple
ZIM Integrated vs. Apple
Jito vs. Apple
Canadian Pacific vs. Apple

The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Apple as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Apple's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Apple's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Apple Inc.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Apple Stock

When determining whether Apple Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Apple's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Apple's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Apple Stock, refer to the following important reports:

How To Invest In Apple

Details

Is Apple Stock a good investment?

Details

What is Apple's Net Worth?

Details

View

View

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Apple Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apple. If investors know Apple will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apple listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.007

Dividend Share

0.96

Earnings Share

6.43

Revenue Per Share

24.537

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.04)

The market value of Apple Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apple that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apple's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apple's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apple's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apple's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

AltmanZ Score

Details

PiotroskiF Score

Details

BeneishM Score

Details

FinancialAnalysis

Details

Buy or SellAdvice

Details

EarningsProjections

Details

Please note, there is a significant difference between Apple's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apple is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apple's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

How volatile is Apple Stock? AAPL - Macroaxis (2024)

FAQs

How volatile is Apple Stock? AAPL - Macroaxis? ›

Apple Inc has a volatility of 1.73 and is 2.62 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Apple Inc is lower than 15 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days.

What is the implied volatility of AAPL? ›

AAPL implied volatility (IV) is 22.5, which is in the 70% percentile rank. This means that 70% of the time the IV was lower in the last year than the current level. The current IV (22.5) is 8.8% above its 20 day moving average (20.7) indicating implied volatility is trending higher.

What is the risk level of Apple stock? ›

USA . Apple Inc has current Value At Risk of (1.92). Value At Risk (or VAR) is a statistical technique used to measure the level of financial risk of investment instrument over a specific time frame. It is a widely used measure of the risk of loss on a specific investing instrument.

What is the analyst outlook for Apple stock? ›

Stock Price Forecast

The 28 analysts with 12-month price forecasts for Apple stock have an average target of 209.32, with a low estimate of 164 and a high estimate of 275. The average target predicts a decrease of -1.49% from the current stock price of 212.49.

What is the historical volatility of Apple stock? ›

Historical Volatility (Close-to-Close) (90-Day)
Volatility Metrics
Historical Volatility (Close-to-Close)0.2807
Implied Volatility (Mean)0.2338
Put-Call Implied Volatility Ratio0.9899
Implied Volatility Skew0.0025
10 more rows

How volatile is Apple stock? ›

Apple Stock Return Volatility

Apple historical daily return volatility represents how much of Apple stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 1.9765% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.

What is 90% implied volatility? ›

For example, if implied volatility percentile is 90%, that means implied volatility traded below current levels 90% of total trading days over the course of the previous 52 weeks, and that implied volatility was higher than the current level only 10% of the total trading days over the last 52 weeks.

What is Apple stock prediction for 2024? ›

The current price of #AAPL stock is $208.00. Mid-Year 2024: In the middle of 2024, Apple stock is expected to hit a ceiling of $237 based on analyses and AI predictions reported by various experts in the field. 2024 Year-End: At the end of 2024, AAPL stock may reach as high as $244.

How high will Apple stock go in 5 years? ›

Analysts are expecting Apple to sustain double-digit earnings growth of 11% for the next five years. Based on its fiscal 2023 earnings of $6.13 per share, its bottom line could jump to $10.33 per share in five years.

What is the fair value of Apple stock? ›

As of 2024-06-22, the Fair Value of Apple Inc (AAPL) is 84.1 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 207.49 USD, the upside of Apple Inc is -59.5%.

What do experts say about Apple stock? ›

Apple has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 23 buy ratings, 11 hold ratings and 1 sell ratings. What is Apple's price target? The average price target for Apple is $210.86. This is based on 35 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.

Is Apple a buy, sell, or hold? ›

Apple Inc.'s market capitalization is $3,280.11 B by 15.33 B shares outstanding. Is Apple stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? Apple stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is Aaa and is based on 68 buy ratings, 27 hold ratings, and 4 sell ratings.

What will Apple stock be worth in 2025? ›

Long-Term Apple Stock Price Predictions
YearPredictionChange
2025$ 273.4427.60%
2026$ 348.9362.83%
2027$ 445.24107.78%
2028$ 568.15165.13%
2 more rows

Is apple highly volatile? ›

The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security. As of today (2024-06-19), Apple's Volatility is 23.94%.

What is Apple's implied volatility? ›

Implied Volatility
Implied Volatility22.66%
Historical Volatility25.27%
IV Percentile57%
IV Rank44.71%
IV High30.34% on 10/26/23
1 more row

What is the most volatile stock? ›

Most volatile US stocks
SymbolVolatilityChange %
AREB D145.89%+152.49%
KAVL D143.22%−56.45%
SPEC D85.09%+44.12%
MBIO D72.45%−0.93%
29 more rows

What is a good implied volatility? ›

This raises the IV of put options, indicating bearishness. Similarly, when traders do not protect themselves vigorously against strong market changes, their IVs fall. The majority of traders are comfortable with IVs of 20% to 25%.

What is the average IV of Apple? ›

Implied Volatility (Mean) (90-Day)
Volatility Metrics
Historical Volatility (Close-to-Close)0.2783
Implied Volatility (Puts)0.2218
Implied Volatility (Mean)0.2216
Put-Call Implied Volatility Ratio1.0017
10 more rows

What is the implied volatility rate? ›

Implied volatility (IV) is essentially a measure of how much the market believes the price of a stock or other underlying asset will move in the future, and is a key factor in determining the price of an options contract.

How do you find the implied volatility of a stock? ›

Implied volatility is calculated by taking the market price of the option, entering it into the Black-Scholes formula, and back-solving for the value of the volatility.

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