How to get exposure to bear markets (2024)

Take a short-selling position

Going short in bearish times is one of the most common bear market strategies among traders. As a trader, you’ll short-sell when you expect a market’s price will fall. If you predict this correctly and the market you’re trading on does decline in value, you’ll make a profit. If the price rises instead, you’ll make a loss.

Shorting can be done via CFD trading with us. You take a position on price movements without taking ownership of the underlying asset. They’re also leveraged, meaning you’ll only need to put up a small initial deposit (called margin) to open a larger position. However, leveraged trades are inherently risky, as both profits and losses are calculated on the total position size, not your margin amount.

Also, short positions can in theory incur unlimited losses if the underlying share appreciates in price instead of falls. This is because there’s no limit to how high a market can rise. This, plus leverage, means having a risk management strategy in place is crucial. Part of this means attaching stops to your positions.

There are many ways to short, depending on which market you want to trade.

Indices – going short on indices is a common way to trade in bearish times, as these track major domestic and global stock markets like the ASX 200, known on our platform as the Australia 200, the S&P 500 and the FTSE 100 and enable you to track the price movements of an entire index in one go.

This means it could be less risky than putting all eggs in one basket by taking a position against one share. Shorting major indices comes with low spreads and is the only way to speculate on the real index price directly. Plus, with us, you can short key indices 24/7, including at the weekend.1

Shares – you might short-sell shares if you think an individual share has further to fall in a downturn. Let’s say you think rising interest rates spell bad news for the technology sector. You might short a tech share that you think is exposed to this downside. If you predict a drop in price correctly, you’ll make a profit off your position.

ETFs – like indices, ETFs give you the opportunity to go short across a number of shares all at once. An ETF’s exposure can span an index or a whole sector or industry. Going back to the tech sector example, ETFs might enable you to spread risk by shorting a tech ETF that tracks multiple shares rather than shorting just one.

If you’re looking to short an index specifically, indices trading might be better for you. That's because the price will be based on the real underlying index price (unlike ETFs) and there are likely to be lower spreads.

Commodities – you can go short on the price of commodities like oil, gold or silver. For example, you may believe supply is going to outstrip demand for soybeans in the near future. So you’d decide to short the price of soybeans. If you’re correct and the commodity’s price falls, you’ll profit.

How to get exposure to bear markets (2024)

FAQs

How do you get through a bear market? ›

7 keys to getting through a prolonged market downturn
  1. Avoid knee-jerk reactions. When the market drops, it can be tempting to jump out until asset values begin climbing up again. ...
  2. Revisit your goals and risk tolerance. ...
  3. Keep investing consistently. ...
  4. Find strategic opportunities.

Where do investors put their money in a bear market? ›

Bonds also are an attractive investment during shaky periods in the stock market because their prices often move in the opposite direction of stock prices. Bonds are an essential component of any portfolio, but adding additional high-quality, short-term bonds to your portfolio may help ease the pain of a bear market.

Does covered call strategy work in a bear market? ›

Covered Call Strategy: Bearish Case

The strategy can even make small profits from time decay in the options. Again, imagine an investor has 100 AAPL shares worth $182.26 each. If they are bearish on the company, he or she could sell a single June 170 call for $14.30.

What is the best investment for a bear market? ›

Bonds — Bonds typically provide lower rates of returns than stocks on average but are usually less volatile and safer. Investing in bonds may help hedge your portfolio against the ups and downs of the stock market. Cash — This can include savings deposits, certificates of deposit and money market accounts.

What not to do in a bear market? ›

Selling off all your stocks after seeing red in your portfolio during a bear market is the last thing you want to do. Volatility is scary, especially if you are risk averse, but running with the volatility wave is key and beneficial to the success of your long-term portfolio.

What is the longest bear market in history? ›

The longest bear market lingered for three years, from 1946 to 1949. Taking the past 12 bear markets into consideration, the average length of a bear market is about 14 months. How bad has the average bear been? The shallowest bear market loss took place in 1990, when the S&P 500 lost around 20%.

How do people get rich in the bear market? ›

Take a short-selling position. Going short in bearish times is one of the most common bear market strategies among traders. As a trader, you'll short-sell when you expect a market's price will fall. If you predict this correctly and the market you're trading on does decline in value, you'll make a profit.

How to predict bear market? ›

Bear markets are often associated with declines in an overall market or index like the S&P 500, but individual securities or commodities can also be considered to be in a bear market if they experience a decline of 20% or more over a sustained period of time, typically two months or more.

How much cash should I have in a bear market? ›

While there is no one-size-fits-all number when it comes to how much cash investors should hold, financial advisors typically recommend having enough money to cover three to six months of expenses readily available.

What is the most profitable covered call strategy? ›

Thus, a covered call is most profitable if the stock rises to the strike price, generating profit from the long stock position. Covered calls can expire worthless unless the buyer expects the price to continue rising and exercises, allowing the call writer to collect the entire premium from its sale.

What is the most bearish option strategy? ›

Top 7 Best Bearish F&O Strategies
  • Bear Call Spread. A Bear Call Spread Approach requires buying and selling a Call Option that has the same underlying asset and expiration date but a lower strike price. ...
  • Bear Put Spread. ...
  • Strip. ...
  • Synthetic Put. ...
  • Bear Butterfly Spread. ...
  • Bear Iron Spread. ...
  • Bear Put Ladder Spread.
May 16, 2024

How do you win on a bear call spread? ›

A bear call spread earns the maximum profit when the price of the underlying stock is below the strike price of the short call (lower strike price) at expiration. Therefore, the ideal forecast is “neutral to bearish price action.”

How to win in a bear market? ›

  1. Keep Your Fears in Check.
  2. Use Dollar Cost Averaging.
  3. Play Dead.
  4. Diversify.
  5. Invest Only What You Can Afford.
  6. Look for Good Values.
  7. Take Stock in Defensive Industries.
  8. Go Short.

Where to put money during the bear market? ›

Investing in bonds is also a common strategy to protect oneself during a bear market. Bond prices often move inversely to stock prices, and if stocks decline, a bond investor could stand to benefit. Short-term bonds in a bear market could help investors weather the (hopefully) short-term downturn.

How to make profit in the bear market? ›

Bear market investing: how to make money when prices fall
  1. Short-selling.
  2. Dealing short ETFs.
  3. Trading safe-haven assets.
  4. Trading currencies.
  5. Going long on defensive stocks.
  6. Choosing high-yielding dividend shares.
  7. Trading options.
  8. Buying at the bottom.

How do you make money in the bear market? ›

But you can maximise your chances of a profit in a bear market by following bearish-friendly strategies. These include diversifying your holdings, focusing on the long-term, taking a short-selling position, trading in 'safe haven' assets and buying at the bottom.

How long do bear markets typically last? ›

The duration of bear markets can vary, but on average, they last approximately 289 days, equivalent to around nine and a half months. It's important to note that there's no way to predict the timing of a bear market with complete certainty, and history shows that the average bear market length can vary significantly.

Should you buy during a bear market? ›

Don't try to catch the bottom: Trying to time the market is generally a losing battle. One thing to keep in mind during bear markets is that you aren't going to invest at the bottom. Buy stocks because you want to own the business for the long term, even if the share price goes down a little more after you buy.

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