How to Determine Market Opportunity - Startup Funding Advice (2024)

Author Jake Fisher Leave a Comment

Many entrepreneurs find it difficult to determine what exactly their market opportunity is; finding the right statistics for your industry can be challenging but once you know what to look for, finding data becomes much easier.

The following are types of statistics that should be used when determining your market opportunity.

Market Size

It is important to use relevant statistics when talking about your market size. Often times I hear entrepreneurs make the statement, “If I don’t show a huge market size investors won’t be interested.” This statement is valid, but only to a certain extent. Ideally, investors would like to see you in an industry with a lot of potential but they are also able to see right through any B.S.

Let’s take a look at an example, if you are selling wiper blades for vehicles, stating that the U.S. auto sales market was $570 billion in 2015 is a bit too broad. Instead try saying the U.S. aftermarket parts are a $62 billion industry. Finding a statistic about how much Americans spent on windshield wipers would be even better.

Finding the relevant statistics you need about your industry is going to take some time and effort, but finding the right statistics can make a world of difference to investors.

Key Metrics

A key metric can be anything related to your industry. Determine what statistic or piece of information investors would be most interested in knowing about your industry. Keep in mind that information needs to be relevant.

Industry Growth Rate

How fast is your industry growing? Try comparing it to the growth rate of a similar industry to provide prospective. For example, the market for the energy drink industry is growing at 6% a year vs. the entire carbonated soft drink category is only growing at 3% per year. On its own a 6% growth doesn’t sound too impressive, but when you can show that it’s growing twice as fast as a similar industry that growth seems more substantial.

Sources for Market Information

So where do you go to retrieve all of these statistics? You might have already tried to search for your market size on Google and found that nothing popped up. If you are in a niche industry a majority of the data might not be publically available in an obvious fashion.

There are a few key steps I like to follow when looking for the necessary statistics.

Step 1

When looking for market data, the first step I take is figuring out the NAICS industry code for the category I’m researching. NAICS stands for North American Industry Classification System, which is used by the U.S. Census to categorize your industry. You will be amazed by the amount relevant information this site has to offer; to start you search head over to Census.gov. It’s going to take some time and effort to find exactly what you are looking for and you may have to dig through some complex spread sheets, but I assure you most of the data you need is there. The U.S. Small Business Administration, SBS.gov, is another great resource to use when looking for relevant statistics.

Step 2

The second step I suggest taking when looking for market data is googling competitors in your industry. Many times companies will issue press releases that contain the market size and growth rates of their industry. This is especially easy to find if your competitors are publicly traded companies. Take a look at finance.yahoo.com if there are any public companies in your industry. All the financials of publicly traded companies are available on this site under the financial statement section.

If you are willing to pay for this information there are a few companies that offer full industry analysis reports, but they are often pretty expensive. If you decide to go this route a couple good options are Hoovers or IbisWorld.

Step 3

If you still haven’t been able to find any information that is relevant to your niche industry, try doing a web traffic analysis. By doing this you can determine how much traffic your competitors are getting on their web page each day, this can often be great information for you to know regardless.

There are hundreds of SEO tools available for tracking web traffic but a good starting point is Alexa. Another component to look at is the key words people are typing in to find your competitors, this will give insights on potential customers. Lastly, viewing the social media pages of your competitors is a great way to see just how lively the industry is.

Taking these steps into consideration when determining your market opportunity can make the process easier and provide you with some great information. Having relevant data to back up your market opportunity claims will leave you looking much more credible in the eyes of potential investors.

Other advice for startups seeking funding:

Answered: A Startup’s Top 5 Intellectual Property QuestionsA Shareholders Agreement Primer: The Corporate Pre-Nuptial AgreementThree Tips on Choosing a Co-Founder for Your CompanyEquity Crowdfunding: Legal or Not?

Jake Fisher

Jake Fisher is the founding partner at Venture Formations. Jake serves as a startup advisor helping entrepreneurs through the funding process. On Twitter @VentureJakeF

How to Determine Market Opportunity - Startup Funding Advice (2024)

FAQs

How to Determine Market Opportunity - Startup Funding Advice? ›

Assessing a startup's market potential for venture capitalists involves key factors: - Market Size (TAM): Total customer base. - Market Growth: How fast it's expanding. - Competition: Number and strength. - Product-Market Fit: Solves real problems.

How do you calculate market opportunity? ›

Use the market size calculation formula (number of target users x purchases expected in a given period of time = market size or volume) to better understand your target market potential.

How do you evaluate startup investment opportunities? ›

  1. Market Size: Gauge potential market growth and size.
  2. Product Viability: Assess solution's uniqueness and scalability.
  3. Team: Review their expertise, adaptability, and track record.
  4. Business Model: Examine monetization and profitability paths.
  5. Competition: Identify market competitors and differentiation.
Aug 30, 2023

What are the 5 strategies that will determine the market size? ›

  • Define your subsegment of the market. Not even the largest, most established company has a 100 percent share of the market. ...
  • Conduct top-down market sizing. ...
  • Follow with bottom-up analysis. ...
  • Look at the competition. ...
  • Assess the static market size.
Mar 7, 2016

How do you calculate fair market value of a startup? ›

Depending on the company, FMV may be calculated by taking into account a variety of factors including the company's current financial health, its potential future earnings, industry trends, and its market share. Professional appraisers may also look at any comparable stock prices in order to calculate FMV.

How do you identify market opportunities? ›

8 ways to identify market opportunities
  1. Speak to prospects you've lost.
  2. Talk to current customers.
  3. Competitor analysis.
  4. Understand the market.
  5. Explore indirect opportunities.
  6. Look at environmental factors.
  7. Analyse foreign markets.
  8. Investigate other industries.

How do you conduct a market opportunity assessment? ›

How to Conduct a Winning Market Opportunity Analysis
  1. Identify new markets with unmet or underserved needs.
  2. Better understand customer preferences.
  3. Differentiate themselves from the competition.
  4. Allocate resources for maximum return on investment (ROI)
Jan 10, 2024

How do venture capitalists evaluate startup opportunities? ›

A thorough analysis of market potential is important for VCs when evaluating your startup. Market Size and Growth: VCs typically seek startups that address a large market size with high growth potential. In considering market size, VCs can estimate the revenue potential of the startup and determine its probable value.

How to know if a startup is worth investing in? ›

Startup Investment Guide: 10 steps to assess whether a venture is suitable for investment
  1. Kickoff considerations.
  2. Objectives and strategy.
  3. The pitch.
  4. Information exchange.
  5. Venture maturity evaluation.
  6. Impact vs. Activity metrics.
  7. Venture validation.
  8. Venture valuation.

How do you evaluate a startup financially? ›

How to Value a Startup — 10 Real-World Valuation Methods
  1. Standard Earnings Multiple Method. ...
  2. Human Capital Plus Market Value Method. ...
  3. 5x Your Raise Method. ...
  4. Thinking About The Exit Method. ...
  5. Discounted Cash Flow Method. ...
  6. Comparison Valuation Method. ...
  7. Customer-Based Corporate Valuation Method. ...
  8. Combo Platter Method.
Mar 16, 2022

How to calculate market size for startup? ›

The formula below can help you calculate market size: Number of target users x purchases expected in a given period = market size or volume.

What are the 5 A's of marketing strategy? ›

Philip Kotler, the five stages (Awareness, Appeal, Ask, Act and Advocacy) allow marketing and sales professionals to create a map of the customer's needs and priorities during the different parts of their purchase process.

How to make a market estimation sheet? ›

The highlights
  1. Define your target customer.
  2. Estimate the number of target customers.
  3. Determine your penetration rate.
  4. Calculate the potential market size: Volume and value.
  5. Apply the market-size data.

How much is a business worth with $1 million in sales? ›

The Revenue Multiple (times revenue) Method

A venture that earns $1 million per year in revenue, for example, could have a multiple of 2 or 3 applied to it, resulting in a $2 or $3 million valuation. Another business might earn just $500,000 per year and earn a multiple of 0.5, yielding a valuation of $250,000.

How does Warren Buffett calculate fair value? ›

Warren Buffet Fair Value Calculator. Warren Buffett calculates a stock's fair value based on the future cash flows it will generate, minus an appropriate risk premium.

How much equity is fair startup? ›

How to distribute equity in your startup. It's important to set aside a number of shares of your organization, known as an equity pool, as early as possible. Many startups set aside between 10-20% of their shares in order to have the means to incentivize employees.

What is the formula for the opportunity cost of a market? ›

Formula for Opportunity Cost

We can express opportunity cost in terms of a return (or profit) on investment by using the following mathematical formula: Opportunity Cost = Return on Most Profitable Investment Choice - Return on Investment Chosen to Pursue.

What is the formula for opportunity value? ›

To calculate opportunity value, start by identifying all possible alternatives and estimating the expected returns for each. Compare these alternatives to find the best option. The opportunity value is then the difference between the return of the best foregone alternative and the return of the chosen option.

What is the formula to calculate market? ›

The formula below can help you calculate market size: Number of target users x purchases expected in a given period = market size or volume.

How do you calculate opportunity? ›

How to calculate opportunity cost: the formula and finding potential opportunities. In business, opportunity cost is calculated mathematically using the following formula: Opportunity cost = FO – CO, where FO is the potential return on the option not chosen while CO is the return on the option chosen.

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