How to calculate returns on government securities? (2024)

T-bills

There are three T-bill variants, and they vary based on the maturity period: 91 days, 182 days, and 364 days. T-bills do not carry an interest component; in fact, this is one of the biggest differences between T-bills and Bonds. T-bills are issued at a discount to their true (PAR) value, and upon expiry, they are redeemed at their true value.

For ex -

consider a 91-day T-bill. Assume the true value (also called the Par value), is Rs.100. This T-bill is issued to you at a discount to its par value, Say Rs.97. After 91 days, you will get back Rs.100 and therefore you make a return of Rs.3. Think of it, this is as good as buying a stock at Rs.97 and selling it after 91 days at Rs.100. The only difference is that this is a guaranteed transaction, meaning, there is no risk of you selling below 100 (or above 100).

Yield essentially measures the return on your investment on an annualized basis. After all, all investments should be measured by its returns on an annualized basis. So if you have made 3 bucks over 91 days on an investment of Rs.97, then at this rate, how much would you have made on a yearly basis?

The formula is –

Yield = [Discount Value]/[Bond Price] * [365/number of days to maturity]

= [3/97]*[365/91]

= 0.0309*4.010989

=12.4052%

So in other words, the T-bill offers a return on investment of 12.4052%, but since you held it for 91 days, you will enjoy this return on a pro-rata basis.

Typical 91-day yields are around 6-7.5%. Needless to say, the higher the yield, the better it is.

Note: All yields are annualized

Bonds -

Bonds differ from T-bills on 2 counts. Bonds have long-dated maturities and they pay interest twice a year. Every bond issued will have a unique name or symbol. The symbol contains all the information you’d need. For example here is a symbol – 740GS2035A, and here is what this really means –

Annualized interest – 7.40%

Type – Government Securities (GS)

Maturity – 2035

Issue – ‘A’ means its a fresh issue (don’t worry much about this, just be aware that this is NSE’s internal nomenclature for their own book-keeping)

This issue is expiring in 2035 or 17 years from now (we are in 2018). If you were to invest in this bond, you will receive 7.4% interest every year until its maturity in 2035. Please note, the interest will be paid semi-annually, so you will get 3.7% interest twice a year. Finally, upon maturity, you will also get back your principal amount.

Every bond has a Par value, of say Rs.100. When you invest in a bond, you usually invest either at a discount (ex: 98, 97 etc) or at par (100), or at a premium to par (101,102 etc). The price at which you invest in a bond depends on something called as an ‘auction process’.

Now, consider you invest in 700GS2020 (7% with a maturity of 2020 or 2 years from now) at a discount price of 98.4. Assume, you invested in 150 of these bonds, so you’d pay –

150*98.4

= Rs. 14,760/-

Time Period Interest Cash flow Remarks
0 – 6 Months 3.5% 3.5% * 100 * 150 = Rs.525 Half year interest
6 months – 1 year 3.5% 3.5% * 100 * 150 = Rs.525 Half year interest
1 – 1.5 years 3.5% 3.5% * 100 * 150 = Rs.525 Half year interest
1.5 – 2 years 3.5% 3.5% * 100 * 150 = Rs.525 Half year interest
At Maturity (2 years) Principal repayment at Par 150 * 100 = 15,000 Additional Rs.240

So on an investment of Rs.14,760/- you will earn –

525 + 525 + 525 + 525 + 15,000

= 2100 + 15,000

= Rs.17,100/-

If you do the math, the yield on this works out to approximately 7.88%. RBI has explained the calculation of yield here, do check this if you are keen to know more.

Refer to the G-Secs chapter on Varsity for a detailed explanation.

How to calculate returns on government securities? (2024)

FAQs

How do you calculate return on securities? ›

ROI is calculated by subtracting the initial cost of the investment from its final value, then dividing this new number by the cost of the investment, and finally, multiplying it by 100.

How do you calculate return on government bonds? ›

There are two main measures of return on bonds: the current yield and the yield to maturity. The current yield, also known as interest yield or flat yield, is computed as the annual coupon payment divided by the market price of the bond.

What is the return on government securities? ›

T-bills
Time PeriodInterestCash flow
0 – 6 Months3.5%3.5% * 100 * 150 = Rs.525
6 months – 1 year3.5%3.5% * 100 * 150 = Rs.525
1 – 1.5 years3.5%3.5% * 100 * 150 = Rs.525
1.5 – 2 years3.5%3.5% * 100 * 150 = Rs.525
1 more row

How do you calculate return on Treasury? ›

To calculate yield, subtract the bill's purchase price from its face value and then divide the result by the bill's purchase price. Finally, multiply your answer by 100 to convert it to a percentage. The image below provides a visual of this formula.

How do you calculate return on security? ›

The definition of Return on Security Investment is the following: ROSI = monetary risk mitigation − cost of control. Therefore, a security investment is judged to be profitable if the risk mitigation effect is greater than the expected costs.

What is the formula for security return? ›

The amount we've made, minus the amount we've invested, divided by the amount we've invested. If we assume Apple paid a $2 dividend at the end of the year, the rate of return calculation becomes $116 plus $2 minus $105 divided by $105. The simple rate of return becomes 12.4%.

What is the formula for calculating bond return? ›

Also referred to as a bond's coupon rate, the nominal yield is the annual income divided by the bond's face value. For example, a bond with a $1,000 face value that pays $50 annually has a nominal yield of 5% (50 ÷ 1,000 = 0.05).

What is the return on Treasury bonds? ›

Treasury Yields
NameCouponYield
GB3:GOV 3 Month0.004.81%
GB6:GOV 6 Month0.004.48%
GB12:GOV 12 Month0.003.96%
GT2:GOV 2 Year3.753.56%
3 more rows

Are returns on government bonds taxable? ›

Tax on income

The income from taxable bond funds is generally taxed at the federal and state level at ordinary income tax rates in the year it was earned. Funds that exclusively hold U.S. Treasury bonds may be exempt from state taxes.

Which government bond gives the highest return? ›

List of the 10 Best Government Bonds
Bond IssuerCoupon RateCredit Rating
Tamil Nadu Generation and Distribution Corporation Limited9.72%A
Karnataka State Financial Corporation9.24%AA-
West Bengal State Electricity Distribution Company Ltd9.34%A-
Indel Money Limited0%BBB
6 more rows
Jan 24, 2024

Are US government securities a good investment? ›

Treasury securities are considered a safe and secure investment option because the full faith and credit of the U.S. government guarantees that interest and principal payments will be paid on time. Also, most Treasury securities are liquid, which means they can easily be sold for cash.

Can government securities lose money? ›

If a bond is held past its maturity, the federal government remains responsible for the debt. However, savings bonds that are held past their maturity date do not continue to earn interest and may actually lose value due to inflation.

How do you calculate real return on government bonds? ›

You can determine real return by subtracting the inflation rate from your percent return. As an example, an investment with 5 percent return during a year of 3 percent inflation is usually said to have a real return of 2 percent.

How much will $10,000 be worth in 20 years? ›

The table below shows the present value (PV) of $10,000 in 20 years for interest rates from 2% to 30%. As you will see, the future value of $10,000 over 20 years can range from $14,859.47 to $1,900,496.38.

How much will 100k be worth in 30 years? ›

Answer and Explanation: The amount of $100,000 will grow to $432,194.24 after 30 years at a 5% annual return. The amount of $100,000 will grow to $1,006,265.69 after 30 years at an 8% annual return.

How do we calculate the expected return on a security? ›

The expected return is a critical component to constructing a portfolio that can generate the target return while mitigating risk to a manageable level. The expected return is calculated by multiplying the probability of each possible return scenario by its corresponding value and then adding up the products.

What is the rate of return on a security that costs $1000 and returns $2000 after 5 years? ›

Answer and Explanation:

The calculated value of the rate of return is 14.87%.

What is the rate of return on securities? ›

Rate of return (ROR) is the loss or gain of an investment over a certain period, expressed as a percentage of the initial cost of the investment. A positive ROR means the position has made a profit, while a negative ROR means a loss. You will have a rate of return on any investment you make.

What is the ROI formula? ›

Return on investment (ROI) is calculated by dividing the profit earned on an investment by the cost of that investment. For instance, an investment with a profit of $100 and a cost of $100 would have an ROI of 1, or 100% when expressed as a percentage.

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