How to analyse banks | Value Research (2024)

How to analyse banks | Value Research (1)

In India banks occupy a substantial portion of the overall stock market and hence, they probably form at least some part of the investment portfolios of equity investors. No matter whether an investor invests through mutual funds or directly in stocks, it is difficult for him/her to escape banks or financial firms. With credit penetration in India still remaining low, financial firms have a long runway for growth in the coming years. It translates into the growing popularity of banking and financial stocks.

However, analysing banks is very different as compared to analysing an FMCG or say an auto company because of the following reasons.

  • The financial statements of banks can prove to be a black hole. Lots of numbers can lead to more confusion than any clear understanding.
  • Unlike non-financial firms wherein metrics like gross margin, working-capital cycle, debt to equity, etc., are important criteria to consider, banks altogether have different metrics. To analyse a bank's financial statements, one needs to first have a clear understanding of these metrics.

In this story, we have discussed some of the most important metrics that investors need to know while researching a banking firm.

Capital adequacy ratio (CAR)
It is the measure of a bank's available capital divided by the loans (assessed in terms of their risk) given by the bank. CAR is used to protect depositors and promote the stability and efficiency of financial systems. It helps measure the financial strength or ability of the financial institution to meet its obligations by using its assets and capital. The higher the CAR, the better capitalised the bank is. In India, as per the RBI norms, Indian-scheduled commercial banks are required to maintain a CAR of 9 per cent, while Indian public-sector banks are emphasised to maintain a CAR of 12 per cent.

Suppose, the CAR for an XYZ Bank stood at -2.8 per cent during certain quarter. This shows that XYZ Bank had no capital to be absorbed as losses from bad loans.

Gross and net non-performing assets
Non-performing assets (NPAs) indicate how much of a bank's loan book is in danger of not being repaid. A loan turns non-performing if the interest or instalment of the principal amount is not received for a period of 90 days. NPAs are further categorised as gross and net NPAs. Gross NPA includes both the principal and interest aspects of the loan, whereas net NPA is calculated mainly by subtracting the provisions made by the bank from the gross NPA.

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Public-sector banks in recent years have been plagued by bad loan problems. State Bank of India, the largest public sector bank, recorded 11 per cent of its outstanding loans as NPA (Gross NPA) as of FY18.

Provision coverage ratio
In banking, it is a fact that some portions of loans will always turn bad. Banks, therefore, make provisioning for such bad loans by setting aside funds to a prescribed percentage of their bad assets. For example, if the PCR is 70 per cent for a particular category of bad loans, banks have set aside funds equivalent to 70 per cent of those bad assets out of their profits. A high PCR means that most asset-quality issues have been taken care of.

The PCR for troubled Yes Bank stood at just 43.1 per cent as of FY19, depicting that the bank had an asset-quality issue and it wasn't able to provide adequately for bad loans.

Return on assets
In the balance of banks, loans given out to borrowers are assets whereas depositors' money is a liability. Return on assets depicts how profitable the bank is relative to its total assets. It is calculated by dividing net profit by total assets. A high ROA relative to other banks can be on account of various factors, including substantial other income, aggressive lending practices, operational efficiency and other factors.

CASA ratio
It stands for current account saving account. CASA is the per cent of deposits held by banks in current and savings accounts. Banks pay low interests on such accounts. A high CASA ratio is positive for the bank, as it is able to reduce the total borrowing rate.

Net interest margin
As the name suggests, it is the difference between the interest income generated from borrowers and the amount of interest paid to depositors, relative to total deposits. It is a profitability ratio and similar to the gross margin of a normal company.

HDFC Bank on the back of its ability to raise capital at a low cost and good lending practices has one of the best net interest margins in the banking sector. HDFC Banks NIM consistently ranged around 4.3 per cent during the past few years till FY20.

Cost to income
It is an important ratio to determine how efficiently a bank is being run. Cost to income is calculated by dividing operating expenses by the bank's operating income (interest income plus other income). There is an inverse relation between cost to income and the bank's profitability. The lower the cost-to-income ratio, the better the profitability is.

For HDFC Bank, the cost-to-income ratio has consistently decreased over the last few years and stood at 38.6 per cent as of FY20. On the other hand, SBI, which has an operating income of more than double that of HDFC Bank, is able to generate an operating profit only slightly higher than HDFC Bank, as its cost-to-income ratio stood at 52.5 per cent as of FY20. HDFC Bank is able to generate better profitability because of operational efficiency.

How to analyse banks | Value Research (2024)

FAQs

How do you evaluate the value of a bank? ›

Asset-based approach

The asset-based valuation of a bank requires valuing the loan portfolio of the bank (which comprises its assets) and subtracting the outstanding debt to estimate the value of equity. It is frequently used to establish the liquidation value of a bank for possible legal proceedings.

How do you analyse a bank? ›

Analysing a bank first requires a baseline understanding of what a bank does. From there, it is important to examine the bank's balance sheet, liquidity metrics, capital buffers and quality of their loans.

What are the key ratios to Analyse a bank? ›

Common ratios used are the net interest margin, the loan-to-assets ratio, and the return-on-assets (ROA) ratio. Net interest margin is used to analyze a bank's net profit on interest-earning assets like loans, while the return-on-assets ratio shows the per-dollar profit a bank earns on its assets.

What are the ratios for valuing banks? ›

Common ratios to analyze banks include the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, the price-to-book (P/B) ratio, the efficiency ratio, the loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR), and capital ratios.

What is the best method of valuation for banks? ›

The most commonly used method to value banks is price-to-earnings (P/E), measured as the ratio of the bank's stock price to its earnings per share (EPS). It helps assess the bank's market value relative to earnings.

How do you measure the success of a bank? ›

To accurately evaluate profit and operations and more effectively manage your business, consider monitoring the following key financial metrics and KPIs.
  1. Net Interest Margin. ...
  2. Return on Assets. ...
  3. Return on Equity. ...
  4. Loan-to-Assets Ratio. ...
  5. Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital. ...
  6. Efficiency Ratio. ...
  7. Loans to Deposits Ratio. ...
  8. Yield on Loans.

How to do fundamental analysis of banks? ›

How to analyse banks
  1. Capital adequacy ratio (CAR) It is the measure of a bank's available capital divided by the loans (assessed in terms of their risk) given by the bank. ...
  2. Gross and net non-performing assets. ...
  3. Provision coverage ratio. ...
  4. Return on assets. ...
  5. CASA ratio. ...
  6. Net interest margin. ...
  7. Cost to income.

What is an example of a banking analysis? ›

A: Banking analytics refers to the application of data analytics — that is, the use of various tools and technologies to collect, process, and analyze raw data — within the banking industry. Examples of banking analytics include customer segmentation, credit risk management, and fraud detection.

How do you evaluate a bank's performance? ›

The four profitability measures used are return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), net interest margin (NIM), and profit margin (PBT), all of which are widely applied in the literature on banking profitability.

How to measure bank profitability? ›

It can be measured by the ratio between banking sector assets and GDP. Many researchers have investigated whether financial structure plays a role in determining bank performance. In general, the higher the banking-assets-to-GDP ratio the more important the role played by financial development in the economy.

What is Tier 1 capital for banks? ›

Tier 1 capital represents the core equity assets of a bank or financial institution. It is largely composed of disclosed reserves (also known as retained earnings) and common stock. It can also include noncumulative, nonredeemable preferred stock.

How to determine the financial strength of a bank? ›

A common measure of stability at the level of individual institutions is the z-score. It explicitly compares buffers (capitalization and returns) with risk (volatility of returns) to measure a bank's solvency risk.

What is the formula for ratios in banking? ›

The ratio is calculated by dividing a bank's operating expenses by its operating income. The CIR is important for banks because it indicates the bank's ability in managing its costs by making use of its operating expenses in maximizing its profits.

What is a good bank ratio? ›

As a result, an unwritten rule in the industry is that a bank efficiency ratio of 50% is the optimal, achievable standard. And banks are still striving for this 50% standard. Even within the top 100 banks, the median efficiency ratio hovers at 59%.

What is a good PE ratio for banks? ›

In simple terms, a good P/E ratio is lower than the average P/E ratio, which is between 20–25.

What is the fair value of a bank? ›

Banks determine fair value (the value they can reasonably place on loans) using a variety of factors. Those factors include but are not limited to the following: Similar transactions for cash. Secondary market values of similar financial instruments.

How can a value of money be evaluated? ›

Value for money is conceptually straightforward…

In other words, a VfM assessment considers the relationship between the social benefits of a policy intervention and its costs, in current value terms, while also weighing up the risks to these costs and benefits.

How to calculate the book value of a bank? ›

Book value is calculated by taking the aggregate value of all its assets and deducting all the liabilities from it. Assets include both current and fixed assets, and liabilities include both current liabilities and non-current liabilities.

How do banks determine appraisal value? ›

Among the many types of home valuation, a bank appraisal is one of the most complex and technical. During the bank appraisal process, a third-party professional real estate appraiser thoroughly inspects the home, noting factors such as square footage, location, interior design, age, and even landscaping.

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