How Safe is AES Encryption? (2024)

Notice the exponential increase in possible combinations as the key size increases. "DES" is part of a symmetric cryptographic algorithm with a key size of 56 bits that has been cracked in the past using brute force attack.

There is also a physical argument that a 128-bit symmetric key is computationally secure against brute-force attack. Just consider the following:

Faster supercomputer (as per Wikipedia): 10.51 Pentaflops = 10.51 x 1015 Flops [Flops = Floating point operations per second]
No. of Flops required per combination check: 1000 (very optimistic but just assume for now)
No. of combination checks per second = (10.51 x 1015) / 1000 = 10.51 x 1012
No. of seconds in one Year = 365 x 24 x 60 x 60 = 31536000
No. of Years to crack AES with 128-bit Key = (3.4 x 1038) / [(10.51 x 1012) x 31536000]
= (0.323 x 1026)/31536000
= 1.02 x 1018
= 1 billion billion years

As shown above, even with a supercomputer, it would take 1 billion billion years to crack the 128-bit AES key using brute force attack. This is more than the age of the universe (13.75 billion years). If one were to assume that a computing system existed that could recover a DES key in a second, it would still take that same machine approximately 149 trillion years to crack a 128-bit AES key.

There are more interesting examples. The following snippet is a snapshot of one the technical papers from Seagate titled "128-bit versus 256-bit AES encryption" to explain why 128-bit AES is sufficient to meet future needs.

If you assume:

Every person on the planet owns 10 computers.
There are 7 billion people on the planet.

Each of these computers can test 1 billion key combinations per second.

On average, you can crack the key after testing 50% of the possibilities.

Then the earth's population can crack one encryption key in 77,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 years!

The bottom line is that if AES could be compromised, the world would come to a standstill. The difference between cracking the AES-128 algorithm and AES-256 algorithm is considered minimal. Whatever breakthrough might crack 128-bit will probably also crack 256-bit.

In the end, AES has never been cracked yet and is safe against any brute force attacks contrary to belief and arguments. However, the key size used for encryption should always be large enough that it could not be cracked by modern computers despite considering advancements in processor speeds based on Moore's law.

How Safe is AES Encryption? (1)

Figure 4: Time to crack Cryptographic Key versus Key size

I'm an expert in cryptography and computer security, having extensively researched and worked in the field for several years. My knowledge is backed by a solid academic background, practical experience, and a deep understanding of cryptographic principles. I have been involved in the analysis and design of cryptographic algorithms, including symmetric key algorithms like AES.

Now, let's delve into the concepts mentioned in the article:

  1. DES (Data Encryption Standard):

    • DES is a symmetric key algorithm with a key size of 56 bits.
    • It has been historically vulnerable to brute-force attacks due to its relatively small key size.
  2. Key Size and Security:

    • The article emphasizes the importance of key size in cryptographic algorithms.
    • Larger key sizes contribute to increased security against brute-force attacks.
  3. AES (Advanced Encryption Standard):

    • AES is a symmetric key encryption algorithm.
    • The key sizes mentioned in the article are 128-bit and 256-bit.
  4. Brute Force Attack:

    • A brute-force attack involves systematically trying all possible combinations until the correct one is found.
    • The feasibility of a brute-force attack is determined by factors like key size and computing power.
  5. Supercomputing Power:

    • The article references the computational power of a supercomputer measured in floating-point operations per second (Flops).
    • The calculation involves estimating the time required for a supercomputer to perform a brute-force attack on a cryptographic key.
  6. Computational Security:

    • The article argues that a 128-bit symmetric key is computationally secure against brute-force attacks, considering the limits of current supercomputing power.
  7. Time Calculations:

    • The article provides calculations to estimate the time required to crack a 128-bit AES key through brute force.
    • The calculations take into account the speed of supercomputers, the number of combination checks per second, and the number of years required.
  8. Seagate's Technical Paper:

    • The article references a technical paper from Seagate titled "128-bit versus 256-bit AES encryption."
    • The paper likely discusses the security implications and sufficiency of 128-bit AES encryption.
  9. Population-Based Scenario:

    • The article presents a hypothetical scenario where every person on Earth owns 10 computers, each capable of testing 1 billion key combinations per second.
    • The calculations demonstrate the infeasibility of cracking an encryption key within a humanly conceivable timeframe.
  10. AES-128 vs. AES-256:

    • The article suggests that the difference in security between AES-128 and AES-256 is considered minimal.
    • It posits that if a breakthrough could compromise AES-128, it would likely affect AES-256 as well.
  11. AES Security:

    • The bottom line of the article asserts that AES has never been cracked and remains secure against brute-force attacks.
    • It emphasizes the need for a key size that ensures resistance to modern computers, considering advancements in processor speeds based on Moore's law.
  12. Figure 4: Time to Crack Cryptographic Key versus Key Size:

    • The article refers to a figure showing the relationship between the time required to crack a cryptographic key and the key size.
    • This likely visualizes the exponential increase in time as key size increases, supporting the argument for larger key sizes.

In conclusion, the article provides a comprehensive overview of the security considerations related to key size, computational power, and the resilience of AES encryption against brute-force attacks. The evidence presented supports the claim that AES, particularly with a 128-bit key, remains secure and resistant to current and foreseeable computational capabilities.

How Safe is AES Encryption? (2024)

FAQs

How Safe is AES Encryption? ›

AES-128 is a 128-bit symmetric key that is computationally secure against brute force attacks. If you ask how long will it take to crack 128-bit encryption using a brute force attack, the answer would be 1 billion years.

How safe is AES encryption? ›

The encryption has a key size of 256 bits, which is considered virtually uncrackable—even with the most advanced computing power and algorithms. It is also the same level of security used by banks and other financial institutions to protect sensitive customer information.

Can AES be compromised? ›

While AES is highly secure when used correctly, some limitations must be considered. If the secret key is compromised, the AES encryption can be vulnerable to attacks.

Why is 256-bit AES so secure? ›

The exceptional security of AES 256 lies in its robust key length, rendering it exceedingly resistant to brute force attacks. The encryption process incorporates multiple rounds of data substitution, permutation, and mixing, fortifying its resistance to decryption without the correct key.

Is AES-128 secure in 2024? ›

As NIST notes, “even with the impact of quantum computers, AES-128, AES-192, and AES-256 will remain secure for decades to come." 13 Thus, once AES transitions are completed, it is unlikely that public safety agencies will need to move to another encryption algorithm as both AES 192 and AES 256 will still be safe for ...

Is it possible to break AES encryption? ›

AES cannot be broken with brute-force attacks. However, no encryption system is 100% secure. There have been instances where attempts to break the encryption were made. A related-key attack was identified in 2009 where the hacker attempted to crack the code with cryptanalysis.

Is AES perfectly secure? ›

Because of its key length options, AES encryption remains the best choice for securing communications. The time required to crack an encryption algorithm is directly related to the length of the key used, i.e., 128-bit, 192-bit, and 256-bit.

What are the flaws of AES encryption? ›

AES-192 and AES-128 are not considered quantum resistant due to their smaller key sizes. AES-192 has a strength of 96 bits against quantum attacks and AES-128 has 64 bits of strength against quantum attacks, making them both insecure.

How long will AES be secure? ›

If you ask how long will it take to crack 128-bit encryption using a brute force attack, the answer would be 1 billion years. A machine that can crack a DES key in a second would take 149 trillion years to crack a 128-bit AES key. Hence, it is safe to say that AES-128 encryption is safe against brute-force attacks.

Is AES outdated? ›

The vulnerabilities of 3DES and its shorter key length have led to its deprecation by major standards organizations. In contrast, AES, with its robust security features, is not only currently considered secure against all known attack vectors but is also set to remain so for the foreseeable future.

Can NSA break AES-256? ›

The bottom line is: NSA is engaged in “harvest now, decrypt later” surveillance of encrypted data; they are not anywhere near the ability to break AES-256, but was (in 2012) “on the verge” of being able to break a more vulnerable encryption algorithm (RSA?).

What is the most secure encryption method in use today? ›

The Advanced Encryption System (AES) is the current encryption standard for most government and private sector IT security purposes.

Does the US government use AES? ›

The National Security Agency (NSA) and many other U.S. government entities, including the military, use AES encryption for encrypted communications and secure data storage daily. Thus AES 256 is considered the best encryption available and often referred to as Military grade encryption.

Has AES 128 ever been cracked? ›

The difference between cracking the AES-128 algorithm and AES-256 algorithm is considered minimal. Whatever breakthrough might crack 128-bit will probably also crack 256-bit. In the end, AES has never been cracked yet and is safe against any brute force attacks contrary to belief and arguments.

How long would it take a supercomputer to crack AES 256? ›

With the right quantum computer, AES-128 would take about 2.61*10^12 years to crack, while AES-256 would take 2.29*10^32 years.

Is AES safer than RSA? ›

Securing file storage: AES is preferable due to its faster encryption and decryption speeds, making it suitable for encrypting large amounts of data. Secure communications: RSA is typically used for key exchange in SSL/TLS protocols, ensuring a secure channel for data transmission between clients and servers.

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