How long does your cash need to last? 4 ways to avoid running out of money in retirement (2024)

Robert Powell| Special to USA TODAY

How long will you live? How long does your money need to last?

Unfortunately, it's impossible to answer those questions. "We don't know how long (our) money needs to last because we don't know how long we'll live," says Michael Finke, a professor of wealth management at The American College of Financial Services.

And not surprisingly, the fear of running out of money is one of older Americans' greatest concerns, according to a 2019 Aegon Center for Longevity study.

To be fair, we do have a sense of how long people live on average. In 2018, life expectancy for men at age 65 was 18.1 years, and for womenat age 65 it was 20.7. But those numbers are of little help when it comes to the number that matters most – how long you will live.

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So, what then are the best ways to manage what experts refer to as longevity risk–the risk of outliving your money?

1. Work longer

The longer you work, the more you can save toward retirement and the shorter the period of retirement you have to fund, says Sita Slavov, a professor at George Mason University’s Schar School of Policy and Government.That can go a long way toward managing and mitigating the risk of running out of money.

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It's especially helpful, Slavov says, if someone can use the income for living expenses while they delay claiming Social Security.

2. Social Security

Social Security, which promises to pay most Americans a specified amount of income for life, “could be considered the best longevity insurance money can buy," says Joe Elsasser, president of Covisum.

Three reasons why:

  • It's tax-privileged. Under current tax law, at least 15% of each payment comes through tax-free, Elsasser says. "Compare that to a nonqualified single premium immediate annuity where 100% of payments after basis has been returned become taxable as ordinary income," he says.
  • It's inflation-adjusted. Social Security cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs) are tied to the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W, which has averaged 1.7% ayear over the past decade.
  • It's cheaper than other forms of longevity insurance.

To be sure, Social Security is meant to replace only a portion of your pre-retirement income. On average, Social Security will replace about 40% of your pre-retirement income. But there is at least one thing you can do to increase your Social Security benefit and possibly that of your surviving spouse: Wait to claim until age 70 if possible, orif not 70, for as long as possible.

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Doing so will provide you with the highest possible benefit based on your earnings history and one that will provide the highest benefit possible after COLAs are made each year.

3. Annuities

Annuities, of which there are many different types, also promise to pay a specified amount of income for life. Immediate payout annuities, for instance, "can be useful for retirees because they maximize the amount of guaranteed lifetime income available from a sum of money," according to the Society of Actuaries.

Whether an annuity is right for you depends on your own circ*mstances.

What's an annuity, should you buy one?: It depends on these 3 factors

But one thing annuities offer that most other investments and products don't is something called mortality credits.

Mortality credits, according to AnnuityFYI, are created when people die sooner than expected and don't receive as many income payments as they would have if they had lived their full life expectancy. That money goes into a pool that will then pay lifetime income to those people who live longer than their life expectancy.

"Annuitization allows us to build an income to about the average age of longevity," Finke says. "This allows us to live better each year without the risk of running out."

For his part, purchasing what are called deferred income annuities and qualifying longevity annuity contracts or QLAC is "easy way to cut off the risk of running out of money," Finke says. "Buying a lifetime income through a deferred annuity that starts at age 80 or 85 can make retirement income planning much easier because you always know that you'll have a base income that won't run out in old age. Most of us economists are big fans of the tax-advantaged QLACs because they give you a tax break from avoiding required minimum distributions and annuitization when it is most valuable."

4. Reverse mortgage

A reverse mortgage is a loan that allowshomeowners who are generally 62 or older to use part of their home equity to obtain cash proceeds that can be used in many ways, according to the National Reverse Mortgage Lenders Association.

Among other things, a reverse mortgage grows in credit capacity as the homeowner ages, says Shelley Giordano, the founder of the Academy for Home Equity in Financial Planning at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. "So, in a sense, a reverse mortgage is an ideal vehicle to address longevity challenges."

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Whether the reverse mortgage is configured as debt in the form of draws, or an unused line of credit, or more typicallya combination of the two, Giordano says, “a reverse mortgage can help smooth out turbulence in a long retirement.”

Robert Powell, CFP, is the editor of TheStreet’s Retirement Daily (www.retirementdaily.net) and contributes regularly to USA TODAY. Have questions about money? Email Bob at [email protected].

The views and opinions expressed in this column are the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of USA TODAY.

How long does your cash need to last? 4 ways to avoid running out of money in retirement (2024)

FAQs

How long does your cash need to last? 4 ways to avoid running out of money in retirement? ›

A general rule of thumb is to follow the 4% rule, which means that you withdraw 4% of your retirement savings each year (adjusted for inflation). The idea is that you can usually expect at least a 4% return on your investments so you won't run out of money over the course of a 30-year retirement.

What is the 4 rule for retirement withdrawals? ›

The 4% rule says people should withdraw 4% of their retirement funds in the first year after retiring and take that dollar amount, adjusted for inflation, every year after. The rule seeks to establish a steady and safe income stream that will meet a retiree's current and future financial needs.

What is the 4 rule for pension? ›

What is the 4% pension rule? A popular rule for pension savers is to take 4% of their fund in the first year of withdrawals and increase that by the rate of inflation each year. This is supposed to last a typical retiree 30 years.

Why does the 4% rule no longer work for retirees? ›

The 4% rule comes with a major caveat: It's not really a “rule” since everyone's situation is different. If you have a large retirement investment portfolio, you might not need to spend 4% of it every year. If you have limited savings, 4% might not come close to covering your needs.

How to ensure you don't run out of money in retirement? ›

To avoid this, it's crucial to establish a sustainable withdrawal rate. We recommend doing this with the help of a professional, who can use cashflow modelling for greater accuracy. It's also important to review your forecast at least once a year to ensure you have plenty left.

What is the $1000 a month rule for retirement? ›

According to the $1,000 per month rule, retirees can receive $1,000 per month if they withdraw 5% annually for every $240,000 they have set aside. For example, if you aim to take out $2,000 per month, you'll need to set aside $480,000. For $3,000 per month, you would need to save $720,000, and so on.

How long will $500,000 last in retirement? ›

Retiring with $500,000 could sustain you for about 30 years if you follow the 4% withdrawal rule, which allows you to use approximately $20,000 per year. However, retiring at a younger age will likely reduce the amount you receive from Social Security benefits.

What is the 4 retirement rule calculator? ›

4% rule calculation. Start by adding up all your investments, retirement accounts, and residual income. Calculate 4% of that total, and that's the budget for your first year of retirement. After each year, you adjust for inflation.

What is a good monthly retirement income? ›

The ideal monthly retirement income for a couple differs for everyone. It depends on your personal preferences, past accomplishments, and retirement plans. Some valuable perspective can be found in the 2022 US Census Bureau's median income for couples 65 and over: $76,490 annually or about $6,374 monthly.

What is the golden rule for pensions? ›

The golden rule is essential for calculating the appropriateness of pension plans. The golden rule limits the interest rate that may be applied to compound interest. It may only be set as high as the average salary increases.

How much does Suze Orman say you need to retire? ›

When asked what a safe amount would be, she explained that it would be in the millions but depends on several factors, such as where you live, your expenses, and whether you own a home outright. She believes the amount you'd need to retire early would be closer to $5 or $10 million.

How long will $1 million last in retirement? ›

For example, if you have retirement savings of $1 million, the 4% rule says that you can safely withdraw $40,000 per year during the first year — increasing this number for inflation each subsequent year — without running out of money within the next 30 years.

How long will $400,000 last in retirement? ›

This money will need to last around 40 years to comfortably ensure that you won't outlive your savings. This means you can probably boost your total withdrawals (principal and yield) to around $20,000 per year. This will give you a pre-tax income of almost $36,000 per year.

How many people have $1,000,000 in retirement savings? ›

The Reality of Million-Dollar Retirements

According to estimates based on the Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances, only 3.2% of retirees have over $1 million in their retirement accounts. This percentage drops even further when considering those with $5 million or more, accounting for a mere 0.1% of retirees.

How do retired people not run out of money? ›

“This is commonly known as the 4% Rule that states that you will not outlive your assets over a 30-year period if you withdraw no more than 4% of your investment portfolio — starting at age 65 — and adjust each year based on inflation,” she said.

At what age is 401k withdrawal tax free? ›

Generally, if you take a distribution from a 401(k) before age 59½, you will likely owe: Federal income tax (taxed at your marginal tax rate). 10% penalty on the amount that you withdraw. Relevant state income tax.

Which assets to withdraw first in retirement? ›

There are several approaches you can take. A traditional approach is to withdraw first from taxable accounts, then tax-deferred accounts, and finally Roth accounts where withdrawals are tax free. The goal is to allow tax-deferred assets the opportunity to grow over more time.

What is a safe withdrawal rate for a 70 year old? ›

As a rule of thumb, many retirees use 4% as their safe withdrawal rate—the so-called 4% rule. The 4% rule states that you withdraw no more than 4% of your starting balance each year in retirement, adjusted each year for inflation.

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