How are Cryptocurrency Prices Determined? | The Motley Fool (2024)

Everyone who invests in cryptocurrency wants to find coins that will increase in price. To figure that out, it's important to understand how cryptocurrency prices are determined. You might already know the factors that affect the stock market. Although there are many similarities, the crypto market is its own entity and doesn't follow all the same rules as the stock market.

What determines cryptocurrency prices?

What determines cryptocurrency prices?

The factors that have the most influence on cryptocurrency prices are:

• Supply
• Demand
• Utility
• Competition
• Availability
• Popularity

Let's take a closer look at each of these factors, as well as some examples of how each one has affected crypto prices.

Supply

Supply

Supply refers to both the maximum number of coins or tokens that a cryptocurrency offers and the amount currently available for purchase. Maximum supplies vary considerably depending on the cryptocurrency; some have maximum supplies in the millions, and others have trillions or even quadrillions of tokens.

A cryptocurrency with a smaller supply is scarcer and will generally carry a higher price as a result. The most prominent example is Bitcoin (BTC 1.37%), which has a fixed maximum supply of 21 million. Bitcoin has typically been the cryptocurrency with the highest price because there will only be 21 million available, with no way of minting more.

Some cryptocurrencies use a strategy called “burning” to reduce their supplies. Tokens are sent to an inaccessible wallet to be removed from circulation. Although this is marketed as a way to increase a cryptocurrency's price, a smaller supply doesn't automatically lead to a higher price. The next factor also needs to be present for this to work.

Demand

Demand

Demand refers to the market's interest in buying a cryptocurrency. If there are more new investors willing to buy a cryptocurrency at its current price than there are sellers, the price will increase.

There are many reasons demand can rise for a cryptocurrency. In 2021, Bitcoin started receiving increased scrutiny because of its environmental impact. Investors began searching for "green cryptocurrencies" that don't require as much energy. That led to more demand for Cardano (ADA 2.36%), a cryptocurrency with a much smaller environmental footprint.

Utility

Utility

Utility is how the cryptocurrency and/or its platform can be used. Most successful cryptocurrency projects have one or more real-world problems that they're aiming to solve.

Bitcoin was designed to be a digital currency that didn't rely on a central authority such as a bank or a government to manage it. Newer cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum (ETH 0.39%), have launched with smart contract blockchains, meaning they have blockchains that can run self-executing programs.

Competition

Competition

Competition refers to other cryptocurrencies, and, more specifically, the cryptocurrencies that occupy a similar role in the market. Bitcoin and Ethereum are competitors in the sense that they're both types of cryptocurrency, but they're not direct competitors. Bitcoin is now seen primarily as a digital store of value, and Ethereum is a smart contract blockchain.

Ethereum's direct competitors are other blockchains with smart contract functionality, including Cardano and Solana (SOL 5.72%). Since these projects all have similar purposes, many users will gravitate toward just one. If most developers start using Solana, it would negatively affect Ethereum and Cardano.

Availability

Availability

Availability refers to how easy it is to buy a cryptocurrency. The more widely available a cryptocurrency is, the more likely that people will invest in it. While some enthusiasts are willing to go on unregulated exchanges to obtain cryptocurrencies that catch their eye, most investors stick to the top crypto exchanges such as Coinbase Global (COIN 10.53%).

Cryptocurrencies often see their prices increase when they get listed on a major exchange. There's even a term for this -- the “Coinbase effect” -- meaning the bump that cryptocurrencies get from being on Coinbase. An analysis by crypto research firm Messari found that cryptocurrencies gained an average of 91% in the five days after the announcement of a Coinbase listing.

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Popularity

Popularity

Although it would seem that utility and technology should be most important for cryptocurrency investments, that's not always the case. Popularity matters quite a bit. Look no further than Dogecoin (DOGE 4.6%) and Shiba Inu (SHIB 0.77%), two meme coins that have ranked among the largest cryptocurrencies in the world.

Popularity alone doesn't lead to long-term success, however. Cryptocurrencies that rely on popularity over functionality generally fall off quickly once the hype ends. Eventually, they run out of people willing to buy because they don't offer any actual uses.

A lack of popularity can also be an issue, even if a cryptocurrency checks all the boxes. Neo (NEO 2.41%) is one example of a cryptocurrency that does well from a technology perspective but has disappointed investors due to poor marketing.

There are quite a few other factors that can affect cryptocurrency prices, but the ones we've gone over here have the biggest impact. If you're evaluating a cryptocurrency as an investment, it's a good idea to consider how it does in each of these areas.