Housing Market Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025 to 2029 (2024)

Are you curious about what the next 5 years hold for the U.S. housing market? The housing market is a complex and ever-changing landscape, making it difficult to predict with certainty what the next five years will hold. However, based on current trends and expert opinions, there are a few key things that we can expect to see in the years to come.The housing market is expected to remain strong in the next five years. However, some key factors could impact the market, such as rising interest rates and a growing supply of homes.

• Home prices will continue to rise in the next five years but at a slower pace.The rapid rise in home prices that we saw in recent years is likely to slow down in the next few years. However, home prices are still expected to rise, albeit at a more moderate pace.
• The supply of homes for sale will increase.The lack of available homes for sale has been a major driver of rising home prices in recent years. However, as more homes are built and come onto the market, we can expect to see some relief from the supply shortage.
• Mortgage rates will rise. The Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates to combat inflation. This has made it more expensive to borrow money, which has led to a decline in demand for homes. However, in the subsequent years, a reversal in this trend is projected, as interest rates are anticipated to gradually recede, potentially culminating in a resurgence of demand in the housing market.
• The housing market will remain competitive in in the next five years.Even with rising interest rates and a growing supply of homes, the housing market is still expected to remain competitive in the next few years. This is due to a number of factors, including strong job growth, population growth, and a limited supply of land.

While these trends offer valuable insights into the future of the housing market, there are additional factors that warrant consideration. Let's get into more detail about these trends and make predictions about how they will affect the housing market. The housing market is a crucial component of the US economy, and predicting its future trends and fluctuations can be difficult, especially as external factors can influence the market.

Rising interest rates will increase the cost of mortgages for new buyers, but prices are unlikely to fall as they did during the 2008 market crash, as lending standards have become more robust. The market was driven higher during the pandemic by record low borrowing rates, encouraging purchases by first-time buyers, and a lack of supply because of underbuilding.

Analysts and economists have different opinions on whether prices will be flat or collapse in the next five years. However, they agree that the housing market will experience a slowdown in the coming years until mortgage rates decline. However, prices are unlikely to fall as they did during the 2008 market crash, as lending standards have become more robust.

ALSO READ: Latest U.S. Housing Market Trends

In the next five years, the US housing market is predicted to experience a slowdown, with prices either flat or experiencing a modest decline. According to Zillow's latest forecast, the outlook for 2024 suggests a 1.8% increase in home values nationally. This projection indicates a trend of stability in the housing market.

Recent inflation data indicates that mortgage rates are expected to remain stable in the upcoming months. After experiencing peak rates unseen in over two decades in the preceding year, prospective buyers in 2024 are anticipated to encounter some relief. The diminishing trend in high inflation, which instigated interest rate hikes in 2023, is aligning with the Federal Reserve's targets.

Should this trend persist as anticipated, it is likely to result in reduced volatility in mortgage rates. Furthermore, the ongoing growth in wages and the projected stability in home values — with an expected minimal increase of 1.8 to 2% — will collectively offer a more favorable environment for buyers grappling with affordability concerns.

Following a period characterized by low inventory, the housing market is witnessing a resurgence in options for prospective buyers. With more sellers anticipated to list their properties for sale, there is an acknowledgment of the prevailing era of higher mortgage rates.

The proliferation of listings is undoubtedly welcome news for individuals in pursuit of a home. This surge not only expands the array of options available to buyers but also has the potential to alleviate market competition, consequently mitigating the propensity for price escalation.

Despite the predicted slowdown, it is important to note that many experts do not expect a crash in the US housing market similar to the one seen in 2008. Lending standards have become more robust, which should help prevent widespread defaults and foreclosures. In addition, the current economic climate is much different than it was in 2008, with a strong labor market and a more stable financial sector.

While the US housing market is expected to see a slowdown in price growth over the next five years, experts do not expect a crash similar to the one seen in 2008. Factors such as rising interest rates, an increase in the supply of homes, and affordability challenges for buyers are expected to contribute to the slowdown, but the overall health of the economy and lending standards should help prevent a catastrophic collapse.

Housing Market Predictions Next 5 Years: Real Estate Forecast

What are the real estate forecasts for 2024, 2025, and so on? Although, it is quite difficult to forecast the housing market for the next five years here is an insight into what most experts predict can happen.

The pandemic has had a significant impact on the real estate and land use sectors. These effects will continue to impact the demand and supply of regional housing markets over the next five years. Emerging technologies, changing demographics, the state of local job markets, and the rise of remote work are some of the trends expected to shape the housing market in the future.

The U.S. News Housing Market Index provides a data-driven overview of the housing market nationwide and serves as one of the authoritative sources for the information presented in this article. While it is possible for median home prices to fall by 5% in 2024, if mortgage rates decline faster than predicted, home prices could remain mostly flat through the end of 2024.

However, if real incomes rise faster than inflation, the combination of extra purchasing power plus lower mortgage rates could boost affordability, home sales, and prices. If real incomes rise from 2025 through 2027, home prices will likely rise again by approximately 1% to 2% above the current inflation rate. However, it will likely take some time to reach the home value heights of mid-2022.

Housing Market Predictions for 2024

The year 2024 is expected to bring more stability to the housing market after a few years of uncertainty. With mortgage rates declining faster than expected, home prices are likely to remain mostly flat throughout 2024. This will be good news for buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines for a good time to enter the market

Overall, 2024 is poised to be a year of stability with slight easing in prices, better affordability, and continued focus on resilience in the housing market.

Housing Market Predictions 2025: Turning Point or Cooling Down?

In 2025, the housing market is expected to start picking up again, with home prices rising by approximately 1% to 2% above the current inflation rate. This increase will be due to a combination of factors such as the rise in real incomes, lower mortgage rates, and increased affordability. However, it may take some time to reach the home value heights of mid-2022.

More buyers are expected to join with friends and family members to purchase homes, as intergenerational households, grown children “boomeranging” homes, and families created from friendships increasingly pool multiple income sources to purchase homes and avoid the uncertainty of housing costs as renters.

The ways homes are built are also expected to change in 2025. Emerging technologies such as 3D printing, factory-built structural components, and software that minimize the waste of materials are likely to become more common in the construction industry. These methods are expected to improve building quality while speeding up construction timelines.

Overall, while growth may moderate, the potential for a national housing market crash in 2025 seems mitigated by strong demand and increased supply. However, attention is needed for potentially overvalued regional markets that could see more substantial price corrections.

Housing Market Forecast 2026: Will Prices Rise or Fall

In 2026, the housing market is expected to continue its upward trend, with home prices rising at a moderate pace. The pent-up demand for housing is expected to be supplied between 2025 and 2030, according to the National Association of Home Builders. However, the changing demographics by 2030 will result in lower demand for new housing, which could lead to a slowdown in construction activity.

The trend of more buyers joining with friends and family members to purchase homes is expected to continue in 2026, as the rising cost of housing and the desire for more space and privacy drives people to pool their resources. This trend is likely to result in more multi-generational households and co-living arrangements.

The total cost of homeownership is expected to become an even more important metric in 2026, as buyers and builders factor in the cost of climate change and other external factors. The rising cost of insurance and building materials, along with the need to adapt to a changing climate, will make it essential for homeowners to consider the total cost of homeownership when making purchasing decisions.

What to Expect in the Housing Market by 2027?

Predicting the housing market for 2027 is a challenging task as it depends on various factors such as economic growth, interest rates, population growth, and government policies. However, based on the current trends and projections, it is possible to make some predictions. One potential trend that could affect the housing market in 2027 is the continued urbanization of populations.

This means that more people are moving from rural areas to urban areas, which will create a higher demand for housing in cities. As a result, there may be more construction of apartment buildings and townhouses to accommodate this growing population. Another factor that could influence the housing market is the continued rise of technology. With advancements in technology, people are becoming more mobile and can work from anywhere in the world.

This could lead to an increase in remote working, which may cause more people to relocate to suburban and rural areas. This, in turn, could lead to an increase in demand for single-family homes in these areas. In addition to these trends, it is also important to consider economic factors such as interest rates, inflation, and job growth.

Interest rates are a crucial factor in the housing market, as they affect the cost of borrowing money for a mortgage. If interest rates remain low, this could encourage more people to buy homes, leading to a rise in demand and prices. However, if interest rates rise too quickly, this could make it more difficult for people to afford a mortgage, leading to a decline in demand and prices.

Finally, government policies could also impact the housing market in 2027. For example, changes to zoning laws or building codes could affect the supply of housing, leading to changes in prices. Similarly, changes to tax laws could also impact the affordability of homes, leading to changes in demand.

In conclusion, the next few years are likely to bring significant changes to the housing market, with a combination of factors such as changing demographics, emerging technologies, and the impact of climate change driving demand and supply. The National Association of Home Builders predicts that the national housing shortage will last through the end of the 2020s, and the cost of ownership will become a key metric for buyers.

Despite the uncertainty caused by the pandemic and other external factors, the housing market is expected to remain strong, with opportunities for both buyers and sellers. It is important for all stakeholders to keep a close eye on the latest trends and developments in the market to make informed decisions.

These predictions and guesses provided are based on current trends and historical data. However, they are still subject to numerous variables and factors that may impact the housing market in unforeseen ways. Therefore, please note that these predictions and guesses are for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Any decision made based on this information is solely at your own risk.

The 2028 Housing Market: Will It Be a Buyer's or Seller's Paradise?

Price Growth to Slow Down

• Price growth to slow down: While home prices are expected to rise, the dramatic surges seen in recent years are likely to stabilize. Predictions range from a gradual increase of 1-2% annually to a total appreciation of 13-14% by 2028 compared to 2023.This means homes will still become more expensive but at a slower pace.

Improved Affordability

• Improved affordability: A combination of factors like rising inventory, potentially lower mortgage rates (around 5%), and income growth is expected to gradually improve affordability over the next few years (Real Wealth). However, challenges will likely persist in some areas.

Inventory on the Rise

• Inventory on the rise: An increase in housing supply is anticipated by 2028, with some suggesting a return to a more balanced market where supply meets demand (The Mortgage Reports). This could be due to factors like lower interest rates motivating existing homeowners to sell and new construction catching up.

Regional Variations

Regional variations: Keep in mind that these are national predictions, and housing markets can differ significantly by location. Affordability concerns might be more pronounced in some areas compared to others.

It's important to remember that these are predictions, and the housing market can be influenced by unforeseen events. However, this information can provide a general idea of what to expect in the coming years.

What to Expect in the Housing Market by 2029?

As we look toward 2029, the housing market is expected to undergo gradual changes, influenced by economic conditions, demographic shifts, and technological advancements. Millennials and Gen Z are becoming the dominant buying forces in the market, with preferences shifting towards sustainability and affordability.

Many buyers are now looking in suburban and rural areas rather than traditional urban centers, reflecting a desire for more space and community amenities. Here’s a detailed outlook on the key factors that could shape the market over the next few years.

Overall, the housing market by 2029 is likely to experience gradual price increases, a shift in demand towards suburban and rural areas, and significant technological transformations that will continue to influence how people buy and sell homes.

Will it Become a Buyer's Real Estate Market?

The US housing market has seen skyrocketing home prices for the past two years, with a shortage of inventory, low-interest rates, and high demand fueling the market. However, according to the latest Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, this trend is expected to shift in the coming years. The report surveyed 107 housing market experts and economists from August 16–27, 2022. In this section, we will explore the predictions for when a buyer's market is expected to arrive and what the housing market will look like in the years to come.

2024: Further Decrease in Home Prices

While 56% of panelists predict a buyer's market in 2023, another 24% predict that the housing market shift would come in 2024. This prediction shows that the trend of a buyer's market will continue to strengthen over the next few years. Inexpensive Midwest markets, such as Columbus, Indianapolis, and Minneapolis, are expected to see the least decline in home prices over the next 12 months. Fast-growing markets in the South, such as Atlanta, Nashville, and Charlotte, are also expected to retain their heat. However, markets that saw some of the largest growth over the course of the pandemic, including Boise, Austin, and Raleigh, are projected to cool the fastest.

2025: Further Consolidation of the Buyer's Market

As per the survey, 13% of the panelists expect the market to favor home buyers in 2025. This further solidifies the buyer's market trend, which has been building up since 2023. Suburban and exurban areas are predicted by the panel to retain their heat over the next 12 months, while vacation areas and urban areas were considered the most likely to see price declines.

Overall, the report suggests that the US housing market will undergo a significant shift in the coming years, with home prices declining and a shift towards a buyer's market. This change is a result of several factors, including rising mortgage rates, a shortage of inventory, and sky-high prices that have pushed many prospective buyers to the sidelines.

Although this shift is expected to benefit buyers, high and rising rents could cut further into their ability to save up for a down payment, making it harder for some to transition from renting to owning. As the housing market continues to evolve, it will be important to monitor these trends to understand the implications for the broader economy.

References

• https://www.zillow.com/research/2024-housing-predictions-33447/
• https://www.zillow.com/research/daily-market-pulse-26666/
• https://www.zillow.com/research/zhpe-q3-2022-buyers-market-31481/
• https://capital.com/housing-market-predictions-for-next-5-years
• https://realestate.usnews.com/real-estate/housing-market-index/articles/housing-market-predictions-for-the-next-5-years
• https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nars-lawrence-yun-predicts-us-home-prices-wont-experience-major-decline-could-possibly-rise-slightly#