House prices have largest monthly drop in a year (2024)

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4 Jul 2024

5:45 am on 4 July 2024

House prices have largest monthly drop in a year (1)

Auckland house values fell 1.2 percent in June. Photo: 123RF

The subdued housing market has experienced its largest monthly drop in values in a year.

CoreLogic's House Price Index fell 0.5 percent in June - the largest month-on-month decline since June 2023.

Property prices are down in most parts of the country with a quarterly drop of 0.8 percent continuing a trend of minor falls seen in recent months.

Over the past 12 months to June, New Zealand house prices are up 1.8 percent.

The annual rise reflects the earlier but temporary 3.2 percent rise in prices between September 2023 and March 2024.

Each of the main centres recorded flat to falling prices over the month, with both Christchurch and Dunedin experiencing no change in June, the best performers.

CoreLogic head of research Nick Goodall said the last 12 months could be described as a dead cat bounce, with confidence perhaps misjudging the trajectory for mortgage interest rates.

"Inflation has remained sticky, particularly domestically, as the RBNZ has stayed true to their commitment of using monetary policy to bring consumer prices under control," Goodall said.

"That previous momentum stalled as high mortgage interest rates continue to restrict housing credit demand."

The fall in prices experienced in our biggest city for the past month and quarter came as a surprise with Auckland values falling 1.2 percent in June to take the quarterly change to -2.6 percent.

"We were expecting to see Auckland perform a little bit better than the rest of the country mostly due to the strong population growth off the back of high net migration," he said.

Prices in Auckland were 17 percent off the peak, with Wellington prices 19 percent off the top of the market.

Borrowers shopping for better deals

Growing numbers of people are swapping banks in the hunt for better mortgage rates as the property market confirms signs of weakness.

Corelogic data shows 24 percent of new residential mortgage lending in May was from borrowers changing banks.

That was the second largest share on record of borrowers changing loan providers since March 2023 - when 26 percent of new mortgage lending was associated with refinancers switching banks.

Goodall said customers were prepared to shop around for rates cuts.

"Banks are having to fight hard for their mortgages at the moment," he said.

"This change illustrates the persistent low levels of real estate transactions as a source of new mortgages for banks. With such a competitive lending environment, it's no surprise to see borrowers seeking out the best deal as lenders work hard to retain borrowers and attract new customers away from their competitors."

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House prices have largest monthly drop in a year (2024)

FAQs

What is the largest home price drop in history? ›

On December 30, 2008, the Case–Shiller home price index reported the largest price drop in its history. The credit crisis resulting from the bursting of the housing bubble is an important cause of the Great Recession in the United States.

Is the housing market in Colorado going down? ›

Colorado Housing Market Overview

In August 2024, home prices in Colorado were down 1.7% compared to last year, selling for a median price. On average, the number of homes sold was down 2.8% year over year and there were 7,072 homes sold in August this year, down 7,275 homes sold in August last year.

Where are home prices falling the fastest? ›

10 US metro areas where prices are falling the fastest
  • Nashville. ...
  • Tampa, Florida. ...
  • Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. ...
  • Austin, the capital of Texas and home to the University of Texas, has emerged as a promising tech hub as companies like Tesla and Google relocate their headquarters to the metro. ...
  • San Francisco. ...
  • San Diego.
Sep 7, 2024

Where are home prices dropping the most in the US? ›

20 Cities Where Home Prices Are Falling Most in the US
  • Chico, California. ...
  • Cape Coral, Florida. ...
  • Beaumont, Texas. ...
  • Sarasota, Florida. ...
  • Elmira, New York. ...
  • San Antonio, Texas. YoY Change in Median Home Price: -4.3% ...
  • New Orleans, Louisiana. YoY Change in Median Home Price: -4.6% ...
  • Provo, Utah. YoY Change in Median Home Price: -4.8%
Mar 14, 2024

Where have house prices fallen the most? ›

Local authorities where house prices are falling

Canterbury's followed by the coastal areas of Thanet (down 3.9% or £11,630 to £286,200) and Dover (down 3.8% or £11,630 to £293,400). Prices in Essex are also down, with Tendring, Braintree and Colchester also experiencing falls of around 3%, or £8-10,000.

When was the biggest real estate crash? ›

Collapsing home prices from subprime mortgage defaults and risky investments on mortgage-backed securities burst the housing bubble in 2008.

Is Colorado housing overpriced? ›

Real estate in Colorado commands high prices for a variety of reasons. The state's heightened cost of living, strong demand for homes driven by its natural beauty and economic stability, limited housing supply, high real estate taxes, and above-average mortgage rates all contribute to the pricey market.

Is Colorado a buyers or sellers market? ›

The Colorado real estate market is expected to lean more in favor of the buyers in the latter half of 2024. Home prices are rising slowly, and the number of homes for sale has increased by 24.5% YoY. Buyers now have more choices. With mortgage rates around 6.63%, buyers also have more purchasing power.

Is there a housing crisis in Colorado? ›

Colorado's severe housing shortage is hurting families and communities in every corner of the state with Colorado now having the fifth highest housing costs in the country,” said Austin Blumenfeld, Executive Director of Centennial State Prosperity.

What states are overvalued for homes? ›

The most overvalued markets to purchase a home tend to be located along the California coast, as well as in tourist-popular Hawaii, tech-heavy Seattle and holdover “Zoomtowns” in Colorado, Idaho and Utah.

What is the most likely cause for falling housing prices? ›

Many real estate analysts are forecasting U.S. house prices to fall because mortgage interest rates have risen so much.

Will rising rates cause home prices to drop? ›

The net effect: High rates combined with persistently high prices, pricing out ever more aspiring first-time buyers. The high rates could also make it that much harder for state lawmakers to combat California's housing shortage over the long run.

Where are houses the cheapest in the U.S. right now? ›

These Are the 10 Best States for Housing Affordability
  • West Virginia.
  • Arkansas.
  • Mississippi.
  • Alabama.
  • Kentucky.
  • Oklahoma.
  • South Dakota.
  • North Dakota.
May 7, 2024

Where are U.S. house prices doubling? ›

These are the major U.S. cities where home prices have doubled at the greatest pace, according to Point2:
  • Detroit, Michigan.
  • Spokane, Washington.
  • Tampa, Florida.
  • Miami, Florida.
  • Baltimore, Maryland.
  • Scottsdale, Arizona.
  • Buffalo, New York.
  • St. Petersburg, Florida.
Apr 12, 2024

Where are U.S. homes soaring? ›

Large Cities With the Most Home Price Growth
Top CitiesChange*
1. Detroit, MI+217.9%
2. Tampa, FL+206.8%
3. Dallas, TX+175.0%
4. Phoenix, AZ+160.4%
11 more rows
Jun 29, 2024

How much did the housing market drop in 2008? ›

Southern California home prices close out 2008 down 35% - Los Angeles Times.

How much did the housing market drop in 2009? ›

Overall, it is estimated that the average house declined by $67,000 in value, while gross value losses at the national level are estimated at $2.44 trillion from peak.

How much did housing prices drop in 1929? ›

Home prices did amazingly well during the Great Depression. According to Schiller's index, it looks likes inflation-adjusted prices fell from about 74 to 69 between 1929 and 1933 – about a 7% decline. By 1940, they were up to about 82.

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