Forex Today: US Federal Reserve ready to pivot, US Dollar sunk (2024)

What you need to take care of on Thursday, November 24:

The Greenback came under selling pressure on Wednesday and finished the day sharply down against all of its major rivals. The American Dollar got hit by poor growth-related data and dovish US FOMC Meeting Minutes.

The document showed that most participants agreed that, despite the risk to the inflation outlook remaining skewed to the upside, a slower pace of interest rate hikes would be appropriate soon. Furthermore, they believe the monetary policy is approaching a “sufficiently restrictive” level. The US Dollar fell further as an immediate reaction to the news, while US indexes picked up an upward pace. Chances of a 50 bps hike rose to 79% following the release and according to Fedwatch, while the terminal rate is now seen at 5.03%.

S&P Global published the preliminary estimates of its November PMIs. The EU figures were better than anticipated but remained within contraction levels. US indexes, however, disappointed big, triggering the first bout of dollar selling. EUR/USD trades near the 1.0400 figure ahead of the close.

The GBP/USD pair hovers around 1.2050, holding on to most of its intraday gains. UK S&P Global PMIs were better than anticipated but signal persistent economic contraction in the country. Market is paying little attention to Brexit-related headlines, but it seems the issue is making yet another comeback. Finally, the UK Supreme Court rules against Scotland’s bid to hold a new independence referendum.

Commodity-linked currencies benefited from the upbeat tone of global stocks. Asian and European indexes closed in the green, while US indexes gained upward momentum after FOMC Meeting Minutes. AUD/USD trades around 0.6730 while USD/CAD declined towards the 1.3360 price zone.

Safe-haven currencies were among the best performers against the US Dollar. USD/CHF is down to 0.9420, while USD/JPY trades around 139.45. Spot gold remained subdued for most of the day, jumping above the $1,750 mark late in the US afternoon, retaining its intraday gains.

Crude oil prices, on the other hand, edged lower, with WTI trading at around $77.80 a barrel. The black gold fell despite the US Energy Information Administration reporting inventories of oil were down by 3.7 million barrels over the week endedNovember 18. Speculations of upcoming sluggish demand, particularly due to the COVID situation in China, weighed on oil prices.

The US celebrates Thanksgiving on Thursday, which means action across financial markets will be limited heading into the weekend.

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Forex Today: US Federal Reserve ready to pivot, US Dollar sunk (2024)

FAQs

How much has the US dollar decline as a reserve currency? ›

Taking a longer view, over the last two decades, the fact that the value of the US dollar has been broadly unchanged, while the US dollar's share of global reserves has declined, indicates that central banks have indeed been shifting gradually away from the dollar.

Will USD weaken in 2024? ›

EIU forecasts that the US dollar will begin to weaken gradually from late 2024 but persistent strength could prevail—raising risks for emerging markets. Dive into EIU's latest report to identify the trends and vulnerabilities caused by a stronger for longer US dollar.

What countries are dumping the US dollar? ›

This is an effort by a growing number of countries to reduce the role of the U.S. dollar in international trade. Countries like India, China, Brazil, Malaysia and Bolivia, among others, are seeking to set up trade channels using currencies other than the almighty dollar.

What will replace the dollar as a global currency? ›

Instead of replacing US dollars with the currencies of the world's largest economies, like China's renminbi and the EU's euro, central bankers are holding more currencies from smaller economies with a strong credit rating. These include the Australian dollar, the Canadian dollar, and the South Korean won.

What is the strongest currency in the world? ›

1. Kuwaiti dinar. Known as the strongest currency in the world, the Kuwaiti dinar or KWD was introduced in 1960 and was initially equivalent to one pound sterling. Kuwait is a small country that is nestled between Iraq and Saudi Arabia whose wealth has been driven largely by its large global exports of oil.

What happens to mortgages if the dollar collapses? ›

Your mortgage payments could change drastically because of a collapsing dollar, especially if you have an adjustable rate. Those interest rates would follow the trend of the economy itself, so if the Fed raises interest rates, mortgage rates will also climb.

What is the US dollar backed by? ›

Prior to 1971, the US dollar was backed by gold. Today, the dollar is backed by 2 things: the government's ability to generate revenues (via debt or taxes), and its authority to compel economic participants to transact in dollars.

How much value has the dollar lost since the creation of the Federal Reserve? ›

As you can see, it's been pretty much downhill since the Fed took over. In fact, the dollar has lost over 96% of its value. That means today's dollar would be worth less than 4 cents back in 1913.

How much value has the dollar lost since 1971? ›

Experts recommend hedging against inflation by investing in gold, which has maintained its purchasing power over decades. Moneywise reported that the U.S. dollar has lost 98% of its purchasing power since 1971, but gold has maintained its value.

How much has the purchasing power of a dollar decreased? ›

The CPI can be used to show how the purchasing power of a dollar changes over time. The purchasing power of a dollar in 2022 was about 92.6 percent of the purchasing power of a dollar in 2021.

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