Factors that influence stock market prices | Deriv Blog (2024)

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This post was originally published by Deriv on June 23, 2022

The stock market is a volatile and unpredictable place where prices are constantly fluctuating. Understanding the factors that play a part in determining price movements is crucial as it can help you take more calculated risks when you trade in the stock market. Here are a few key factors that influence stock market prices.

Supply and demand

One of the main factors that influence stock prices is supply and demand. When the supply and demand do not balance each other out, the price of stocks fluctuates. The general rule is that when demand is higher than supply, the prices rise; if supply is higher than demand, the prices drop.

For instance, when there is more demand for Apple stock but not enough stock to meet this demand, the price goes up, and if there are many Apple stocks available on the market but not a lot of demand for them, the prices fall.

Market sentiment

The prices of stocks also depend on the human factor, particularly human psychology. People tend to be driven by their emotions, which can also be true when it comes to stock market trading.

Traders can be influenced by rumours swirling around the stock market. If there are talks about a certain company making less profit than expected, traders may steer clear of the company and sell off their stocks. Similarly, if there is news about the company expecting massive profits, the surge of confidence could influence traders to buy more stocks in hopes that the stock prices would continue going up in the future.

Another example of market sentiment that could affect stock prices is affected by major geopolitical events. Traders often keep up with current affairs, and when there is tension, such as a boycott of a certain company and its products, they could anticipate a dip in profits. Shareholders in the company may then be inclined to sell some or all of their holdings, which could, in turn, cause the stock price to decline.

Fundamentals of the company

A company’s fundamentals, such as its performance, are also essential in understanding the stock market and its prices. A trader’s expectations and analysis of the changes in the company largely shape their trading habits, which in turn affects stock prices.

For instance, if there is an internal shift in a certain company, like a change in the board of directors, traders could look into the previous performance of the new board of directors and analyse whether the new management can bring more success to the company. If they expect the company to suffer losses under the new management, they may avoid trading stocks of that company. They might even sell their stocks at a slightly lower price to avoid big losses in the future. If most traders feel the same way, following the supply and demand principle and stock market timings, the price of the company’s stocks could fall because of surplus supply.

When a change happens in a company, such as rebranding, traders might think it would profit the company in the foreseeable future. Because of that, they could buy more stocks of this company with the expectation that the price will continue to rise, increasing their earnings.

Some traders may have a more accurate prediction of the stock market by relying on research analysts and making their observations based on stock market reports. You can read more about topics such as fundamental analysis to help you take more calculated risks.

Keep in mind that with Deriv, you don’t need to own an asset to trade it, which means you can potentially profit from both rising and falling prices. With your new knowledge of stock market basics, you can set clear expectations, create a good strategy, and practise with our free demo account pre-loaded with 10,000 USD of virtual money. When you’re ready, you can start trading with real money.

Disclaimer:
The information contained in the Blog is for educational purposes only and is not intended as financial or investment advice.

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Factors that influence stock market prices | Deriv Blog (2024)

FAQs

What factors influence stock market prices? ›

One of the main factors affecting the share market is the imbalance between supply and demand, which leads to the increase or decrease in the price of stocks. In addition, factors such as economic data and interest rates affect the demand for stocks, leading to fluctuations in their value.

What are the 3 main determinants of stock prices and how does each affect the stock price? ›

In summary, the key fundamental factors are as follows: The level of the earnings base (represented by measures such as EPS, cash flow per share, dividends per share) The expected growth in the earnings base. The discount rate, which is itself a function of inflation.

What are the factors of the stock price? ›

The factors that affect stock market prices include news, trends, liquidity, inflation, market sentiment, GDP, unemployment, incidental transactions, interest rates, supply and demand in the stock market, trade wars, economic policy changes, natural calamities, deflation, and exchange rates. News events and trends ...

Which of these factors can affect stock prices? ›

Factors that affect markets

Both the condition of an individual business and the strength of its larger industry affects the price of its stock. Profits earned, volume of sales, and even the time of year will all affect how much an investor will pay for a stock.

What really drives stock prices? ›

Stock prices change everyday by market forces. By this we mean that share prices change because of supply and demand. If more people want to buy a stock (demand) than sell it (supply), then the price moves up.

What are the 2 factors that determine price of a stock? ›

Once a company goes public and its shares start trading on a stock exchange, its share price is determined by supply and demand in the market. If there is a high demand for its shares, the price will increase.

What is the algorithm for stock prices? ›

The LSTM algorithm has the ability to store historical information and is widely used in stock price prediction (Heaton et al. 2016). For stock price prediction, LSTM network performance has been greatly appreciated when combined with NLP, which uses news text data as input to predict price trends.

What determines the stock price? ›

Once a company goes public on the stock market and its shares start trading on an exchange, the share price is determined by supply and demand. But over the long term, share prices are determined by the economics of the business.

What are the four factors that affect price? ›

Four Major Market Factors That Affect Price
  • Costs and Expenses.
  • Supply and Demand.
  • Consumer Perceptions.
  • Competition.

What pushes a stock price down? ›

Why? Investors discount the future profit streams of companies, factoring in inflation and interest rates, to determine the value of these businesses. All else equal, higher interest rates reduce the current value of a company's future cash flow, pushing its stock price lower.

How to predict if a stock will go up or down? ›

We want to know if, from the current price levels, a stock will go up or down. The best indicator of this is stock's fair price. When fair price of a stock is below its current price, the stock has good possibility to go up in times to come.

What is driving the stock market? ›

Tech rebound and rate cut expectations drive markets higher - Global stocks rallied today, first driven by a bounce in the tech-heavy Nasdaq as investors digested the latest earnings reports and later amplified by dovish Fed commentary after Chair Powell said that a rate cut could come as soon as September.

What are the main factors that affect stock prices? ›

  • Company news and performance. The way a company is performing can indicate whether it is growing or declining. ...
  • Industry performance. Often, the stock price of companies in the same industry will move in tandem with each other. ...
  • Investor sentiment. ...
  • Economic factors.
Apr 18, 2024

What has a major impact on stock price? ›

A country's economic performance can have a significant impact on the performance of its stock market. Positive economic indicators, such as high GDP growth, low unemployment rates, and stable inflation, generally lead to higher stock prices. On the other hand, negative indicators can cause a decline in stock prices.

What is one tip for how to select stocks to buy? ›

Look for strong sectors and industry groups if you want to go long—that is, buy a stock with the expectation that its price will rise—and weak ones if you want to go short—which means borrowing and selling a stock whose price you think is going to fall, and then buying it back later at a lower price should it actually ...

What are three influences on share price? ›

Demand factors that can affect share prices include company news and performance, economic factors, industry trends, market sentiment and unexpected events such as natural disasters. Demand gives shares value. If there is no demand for a company's shares, they will have no value.

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