Ethereum’s Dencun Upgrade Can’t Come Soon Enough as Gas Fees Surge - Unchained (2024)

Ethereum users say they are spending upwards of $100 on gas fees for swaps and NFTs during peak times. The upcoming Dencun upgrade will lower fees, but there is a caveat.

Posted March 1, 2024 at 2:18 pm EST.

Bitcoin’s renaissance and a spectacular rally in cryptocurrency prices is making life difficult for users of the Ethereum network.

As user demand and interest in both bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) surges—on the back of the approval of spot bitcoin ETFs in the US and the potential approval of spot ether ETFs — gas prices on Ethereum are spiraling out of control.

At peak times, users are reporting paying over $100 in transaction fees for swaps, which is the exchange of one crypto token for another on the network. The average gas fee for a swap transaction is currently around $79, according to data from Etherscan.

Gas prices for swaps back above $100 lmao

— Pentoshi 🐧 euroPeng 🇪🇺 (@Pentosh1) February 28, 2024

The “top gas guzzlers” are decentralized exchange Uniswap and Blast, an Ethereum layer 2 network that launched on mainnet yesterday. Respectively, they’ve earned $2.5 million and $1.4 million in fees within the last 24 hours, per Etherscan data.

400 f*cking dollars to migrate .1 ETH to Blast mainnet.

It's so over.

Pack it up. Ethereum is unusable today. pic.twitter.com/hZRrwRAMlz

— Pop Punk (@PopPunkOnChain) February 29, 2024

The high transaction fees once again draw attention to Ethereum’s scaling challenges and how difficult it can be to onboard new users to the network during times of increased interest.

Ethereum is not blind to these issues, which continue to reoccur in bull market cycles. Ethereum has an ambitious multi-year roadmap to reduce transaction fees, increase security, and future proof the network.

Read more: An Overview of Ethereum Scaling

“Ethereum is trying to learn from this mistake of pricing away marginal users to other, cheaper chains,” said Luke Nolan, Ethereum research associate at digital asset investment manager CoinShares. “The proposed and implemented solution is to scale through layer 2 solutions, mostly rollups.”

Two key upgrades from the roadmap have already been implemented including “The Merge,” which was Ethereum’s transition to the proof-of-stake consensus mechanism, and the “Shapella” upgrade, which enabled the release of staked ether withdrawals. The next major upgrade is Dencun, which is scheduled for March 13.

Read more: What Is the Cancun-Deneb (Dencun) Update on Ethereum?

One of the key introductions in the Dencun upgrade is a new transaction type called “blobs.” Ethereum layer 2 rollups currently post data to Ethereum using calldata. This is costly and makes up around 90% of the gas fees that rollups pay to post bundled transactions to the network. After Dencun, layer 2s will post the data to blobs, which are highly optimized and are much cheaper than calldata.

“Overall, yes fees will reduce on Ethereum, but only for layer 2s,” Nolan said. “The general hope here is that layer 2s will become sophisticated enough over time, with seamless UX, high speed and low transaction costs … In this end state, Ethereum can compete with any new fast chain that comes out of the box because layer 1 continues to be the secure settlement layer, and layer 2 becomes the data availability layer that allows it all to scale to new heights.”

Under the upgrade, transaction fees on layer 2s will decrease between 10 to 100 times depending on the chain, said Nolan, adding that it could get very close to “Solana-esque transaction fees.”

Solana’s Surge

This fee reduction couldn’t come soon enough for many users. Many Ethereum users, particularly those who trade NFTs, are talking about moving to Solana, which is a layer 1 blockchain that offers much cheaper transaction fees.

It costs 52 dollars to purchase a standard ERC-721 off Blur right now.

It costs another 20-30 dollars per marketplace you want to list that NFT on.

and that's with gwei relatively low (70) by bull market standards

ETH does not make sense for the majority of NFT collections.

— root (@rootslashbin) February 27, 2024

The average transaction costs for NFTs on Ethereum is around $140, per Etherscan, which is sometimes more than the cost of the actual NFT being traded. While on Solana, the average cost of a transaction is 0.000036 SOL, which is $0.0047, according to data from Solscan.

“As of the last few months, a lot of attention has shifted to Solana NFTs, which has certainly taken some of Ethereum’s market share,” said Nolan, adding that Ethereum NFT trading is not back to the same transaction volume levels as last year.

Most activity on Ethereum is centering around collections with high floor prices such as Bored Ape Yacht Club and Moonbirds, Nolan said. They have floor prices of $75,000 and $4,000 respectively. In these scenarios, a trader is unlikely to be phased by a $100 transaction fee.

Ethereum’s Dencun Upgrade Can’t Come Soon Enough as Gas Fees Surge - Unchained (1)

Daily NFT trade volume on Ethereum in millions (CoinShares)

“Whilst on Solana I would venture to say that the activity for smaller collections (as well as big ones) has been picking up because transaction fees are 100x smaller on average and so the smaller value accounts have logically flocked over there,” Nolan said. “It has made for a much more enjoyable speculative playground for participants.”

Ethereum’s Dencun Upgrade Can’t Come Soon Enough as Gas Fees Surge - Unchained (2)

Weekly NFT volume on Solana in millions (CoinShares)

This is echoed by Anastasia Melachrinos, a DeFi product manager at crypto data firm Kaiko, who notes that new users are generally entering the blockchain ecosystem through centralized exchanges or directly via Solana.

“It is without a doubt that high throughput upgradeable chains like Aptos or Solana will receive most of the non crypto native traffic, which is most of the world in the case mass adoption does take place,” said Sharvin Baindur, chief of staff at investment firm Saison Capital, who focuses on investing and supporting high performance and low cost blockchains.

Even if gas fees on layer 2s are reduced to Solana levels, Nolan notes that Ethereum layer 2s still face challenges around fragmentation and poor user experiences, which can act as a barrier to capturing those smaller value transactions. On the flip side, Ethereum and layer 2s have a strong reputation and a very complete ecosystem, so once the execution cost is fixed the barriers to entry to those chains will be lowered, Melachrinos said.

Ethereum’s Dencun Upgrade Can’t Come Soon Enough as Gas Fees Surge - Unchained (2024)

FAQs

Will the Dencun upgrade reduce ETH gas fees? ›

The core of the Dencun upgrade is the EIP-4844 proposal, which introduces additional Blob data storage space to reduce the data storage costs of L2 (data storage costs previously accounted for over 90% of L2 transaction gas fees), thereby reducing the gas fees of Ethereum L2, rather than directly reducing the gas fees ...

Will the Ethereum upgrade reduce gas fees? ›

The Dencun Upgrade for Ethereum significantly reduced gas fees by incorporating “blobs” 🟦, a new storage concept that processes multiple transactions at the cost of one. This innovation is part of the Surge series of upgrades aimed at enhancing Ethereum's efficiency.

Will Dencun increase the Ethereum price? ›

The currency has exhibited significant growth following the Shapella upgrade in April 2023 and has experienced a substantial increase from $2,100 to $4,000. However, the Dencun upgrade has not significantly impacted the cryptocurrency's value. ETH is down by 25.26% from the past month.

How to bypass Ethereum gas fee? ›

7 Tips To Avoid Ethereum Gas Fees
  1. Optimize the transaction timing. ...
  2. Take advantage of rebate offers. ...
  3. Choose transaction type carefully. ...
  4. Monitor network congestion to avoid delays. ...
  5. Benefit from gas tokens. ...
  6. Calculate payable gas fees beforehand. ...
  7. Switch to Ethereum 2.0.
Jun 7, 2024

Who benefits from the Dencun upgrade? ›

The Dencun upgrade marks a significant step forward for the Ethereum ecosystem, benefiting both users and developers. Proto-danksharding lowers costs for layer-2 scaling solutions based on Ethereum, offering users a more cost-effective experience, especially when using NFTs and DeFi services.

Is Dencun successful? ›

The Dencun upgrade has activated successfully, introducing a new architecture for Layer-2 solutions to anchor into the mainchain. It also introduces modifications to the staking pool. Both could impact Ethereum's monetary policy.

What is the Ethereum Dencun upgrade 2024? ›

On March 13, 2024, the blockchain underwent a series of nine Ethereum improvement proposals (EIPs), collectively called the Dencun Upgrade. The hard fork is intended to improve the network's scalability and efficiency while reducing transaction fees across L2 networks, passing the savings to the end-user.

Can Ethereum reach $100,000? ›

While Ethereum can hit $100,000 after 2030, it is not realistic to expect ETH to reach 100k before 2030. It's nearly impossible. There is no path for Ethereum to hit 100k before 2030, it's impossible. ETH can realistically hit $10,000 in the coming years, either in 2025 or in 2026.

How much will 1 Ethereum be worth in 2025? ›

Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction Table
YearAverage Price*Percent Increase
2024$2,643.71-%
2025$4,024.24100.00%
2026$5,213.1125.00%
2027$6,721.3820.00%
8 more rows

What can I use instead of Ethereum gas fees? ›

Here are some popular alternatives that might better suit your needs: Binance Smart Chain (BSC): Known for its low transaction costs and high throughput, BSC is a popular choice for traders and developers. Its compatibility with Ethereum makes it easy to port projects over.

What happens if my ETH gas fee is too low? ›

If the gas limit is set too low, the transaction will fail, and if the gas price is set too low, the transaction can be stuck pending for an indefinite amount of time.

What time are ETH gas fees lowest? ›

EthereumPrice provides a useful tool to help you work out when the gas price is at its lowest. As you can see, the gas price tends to be a lot lower after midnight on the weekend and is generally at its lowest at around midday every day.

How can I reduce my ETH transaction fee? ›

To reduce Ethereum gas fees, choose off-peak hours for transactions, batch similar transactions, use gas tokens and estimation tools, and explore Layer 2 solutions like Optimism. Whether you're an avid DeFi user, a DApp developer, or simply a casual Ethereum enthusiast, high gas fees are equally frustrating for us all.

What is the upgrade after Dencun? ›

Some suggest that the Dencun upgrade could settle anywhere between a 10x-1000x reduction in costs (this is purely an estimate). However, a future upgrade called PeerDAS or “full danksharding” is designed to make rollups much more efficient, increasing transaction throughput by another 32x.

What are the benefits of ETH upgrade? ›

This not only reduces costs but also enhances the overall efficiency of the Ethereum network, potentially leading to faster transaction processing times. The upgrade contributes to Ethereum's scalability in several ways. By allowing data to be stored in “blobs,” it paves the way for future sharding implementations.

Why Ethereum gas fees is still so high? ›

1. Why is the ETH gas fee so high? Ethereum gas fees can be high due to network congestion during periods of high demand, especially for complex transactions involving smart contracts or decentralized applications.

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