Deere's stock falls as earnings beat but full-year outlook falls short (2024)

By Tomi Kilgore

U.S. agriculture and construction industry, company's business segment sales expected to keep falling, more than the industry in fiscal 2024

Shares of Deere & Co. dropped Thursday, after the agricultural, construction and turf equipment maker reported fiscal first-quarter earnings that were well above expectations but provided a downbeat full-year outlook, with business segment sales underperforming the industry.

The stock (DE) dropped 3.4% in premarket trading, to put it on track to open at the lowest price seen during regular-session hours since Dec. 13.

Net income for the quarter to Jan. 28 declined to $1.75 billion, or $6.23 a share, from $1.96 billion, or $6.55 a share, in the same period a year ago. But that beat the FactSet consensus for earnings per share was $5.26.

Net sales were down 8% to $10.49 billion, above the FactSet consensus of $10.30 billion, while total revenue, which includes interest and other income, slipped 3.7% to $12.19 billion but beat expectations of $11.48 billion.

Among Deere's business segments, production and precision agriculture sales fell 7% to $4.85 billion and small agriculture and turf sales tumbled 19% to $2.43 billion, as price increases failed to offset lower shipment volumes.

Construction and forestry sales inched up 0.3% to $3.21 billion, as higher prices offset lower volumes.

For 2024, Deere expects fiscal 2024 net income of $7.50 to $7.75 billion, down from $10.17 billion in fiscal 2023, and below the FactSet consensus of $8.03 billion.

The company said the large agriculture industry is currently expected to decline 10% to 15% in the U.S. and Canada and the small agriculture and turf industry is seen down 5% to 10%, while the construction and equipment industry is expected to be flat to down 5%.

For Deere, production and precision ag sales are expected to fall about 20%, small ag and turf sales are projected to be down 10% to 15% and construction and forestry sales are expected to decline 5% to 10%.

Deere's stock has gained 1% over the past three months through Wednesday while the S&P 500 has rallied 11.1%.

-Tomi Kilgore

This content was created by MarketWatch, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. MarketWatch is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

 

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02-15-24 0701ET

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Deere's stock falls as earnings beat but full-year outlook falls short (2024)

FAQs

Why is Deere stock falling? ›

Shares of Deere retreated after the company cut its full-year outlook for the second quarter in a row, citing shaky demand for agricultural and turf products. The stock was recently down 3.5% at right around $400 apiece.

What is the forecast for Deere earnings? ›

Net income attributable to Deere & Company for fiscal 2024 is forecasted to be approximately $7.0 billion. “We are proactively managing our production and inventory levels to adapt to demand changes and position the business for the future,” May explained.

Is John Deere stock a good buy right now? ›

Is DE a Buy, Sell or Hold? Deere has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 9 buy ratings, 7 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings. The average price target for Deere is $424.07. This is based on 16 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.

What is the price target for John Deere? ›

Stock Price Target DE
High$495.00
Median$429.00
Low$363.00
Average$426.89
Current Price$382.76

Why is JD stock dropping? ›

So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image). We know that JD.com has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue?

Is John Deere in financial trouble? ›

Key Takeaways. Agricultural and construction equipment maker Deere exceeded profit and sales forecasts for its first quarter of fiscal 2024, though its revenue fell 8% from a year earlier. The company lowered its full-year guidance in anticipation of customers holding off on replenishing their fleets.

What is the 5 year forecast for Deere stock? ›

Deere stock price stood at $375.34

According to the latest long-term forecast, Deere price will hit $400 by the end of 2024 and then $450 by the end of 2025. Deere will rise to $500 within the year of 2027, $600 in 2029, $700 in 2030, $800 in 2032 and $900 in 2035.

Who is the largest investor in John Deere? ›

Hedge funds don't have many shares in Deere. The Vanguard Group, Inc. is currently the company's largest shareholder with 7.8% of shares outstanding. With 7.1% and 6.2% of the shares outstanding respectively, Cascade Investment, L.L.C. and BlackRock, Inc. are the second and third largest shareholders.

What is the highest John Deere stock ever? ›

The all-time high Deere stock closing price was 441.55 on July 25, 2023. The Deere 52-week high stock price is 450.00, which is 18.7% above the current share price. The Deere 52-week low stock price is 353.15, which is 6.9% below the current share price. The average Deere stock price for the last 52 weeks is 391.76.

What Company did John Deere buyout? ›

MOLINE, Illinois (July 14, 2023) — Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) has acquired Smart Apply, Inc., a precision spraying equipment company based in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Why did John Deere drop? ›

One analyst from Bloomberg Intelligence saying that the reduced outlook despite better than expected second quarter earnings, it was largely driven by a decline in the small agriculture and turf business and we production and precision profitability.

What is the dividend growth rate for John Deere? ›

Deere's Dividends per Share for the three months ended in Apr. 2024 was $1.47. During the past 12 months, Deere's average Dividends Per Share Growth Rate was 17.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Dividends Per Share Growth Rate was 18.40% per year.

What is the Deere and company controversy? ›

Then came a lawsuit

In early 2022, a North Dakota farm filed a class-action lawsuit accusing John Deere of violating antitrust laws, and reaping profits while harming farmers. Company filings show Deere's repair business is 3x-6x more profitable than equipment sales, per Bloomberg.

Why is Tractor Supply stock going down? ›

2024 - TSCO Stock was up 2.0% Despite beating earnings per share and revenue estimates, Tractor Supply Company's stock experienced a bearish movement, possibly due to profit-taking by investors. The strong growth momentum and surpassing of revenue forecasts in Q1 earnings could not offset the negative market sentiment.

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