Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) - Stock Analysis (2024)

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Symbol name

Costco Wholesale Corporation

Symbol name

Popular comparisons: COST vs. WMT, COST vs. TGT, COST vs. BRK-B, COST vs. PG, COST vs. HSY, COST vs. HD, COST vs. XLP, COST vs. MA, COST vs. LOW, COST vs. BJ

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Costco Wholesale Corporation, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends.

COST

(Costco Wholesale Corporation)

Benchmark (^GSPC)

Benchmark

Returns By Period

Costco Wholesale Corporation had a return of 28.50% year-to-date (YTD) and 67.41% in the last 12 months. Over the past 10 years, Costco Wholesale Corporation had an annualized return of 24.53%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark which had an annualized return of 10.63%.

PeriodReturnBenchmark
Year-To-Date28.50%12.10%
1 month10.76%3.07%
6 months42.03%16.13%
1 year67.41%24.52%
5 years (annualized)29.22%13.24%
10 years (annualized)24.53%10.63%

Monthly Returns

The table below presents the monthly returns of COST, with color gradation from worst to best to easily spot seasonal factors. Returns are adjusted for dividends.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20245.27%7.21%-1.51%-1.17%12.03%28.50%
202311.97%-5.11%2.62%1.28%1.87%5.24%4.14%-1.85%2.85%-2.22%7.49%13.89%49.00%
2022-11.02%2.95%10.90%-7.51%-12.32%2.80%13.14%-3.55%-9.54%6.38%7.53%-15.35%-19.05%
2021-6.46%-5.90%6.49%5.79%1.66%4.60%8.81%6.00%-1.35%9.57%9.73%5.25%51.82%
20203.95%-7.79%1.42%6.51%1.81%-1.71%7.59%6.80%2.11%0.93%9.55%-1.31%32.67%
20195.36%2.19%10.70%1.40%-2.16%10.30%4.30%7.18%-2.26%3.35%0.91%-1.96%45.70%
20184.70%-1.78%-1.29%4.63%0.84%5.42%4.66%6.86%0.75%-2.66%1.40%-11.92%10.60%
20172.40%8.36%-5.36%5.86%6.05%-11.36%-0.89%-0.80%4.82%-1.95%14.84%0.92%22.37%
2016-6.43%-0.45%5.03%-5.72%0.43%5.56%6.48%-2.81%-5.91%-3.04%1.83%6.66%0.28%
20150.87%6.44%3.09%-5.32%-0.32%-5.28%7.58%-3.35%3.23%9.37%2.35%0.05%18.94%
2014-5.60%4.23%-4.38%3.58%0.60%-0.74%2.38%3.01%3.50%6.42%6.84%-0.26%20.46%
20133.66%-0.76%4.76%2.19%1.39%0.86%6.20%-4.48%2.95%2.46%6.57%-5.11%21.83%

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Risk-Adjusted Performance Rank

The current risk-adjusted rank of COST is 98, placing it in the top 2% of stocks on our website in terms of risk-adjusted performance. This ranking is based on the combined values of the indicators listed below.

Sharpe Ratio Rank

Sortino Ratio Rank

Omega Ratio Rank

Calmar Ratio Rank

Martin Ratio Rank

The risk-adjusted ranks indicate the investment's position relative to the market. A rank closer to 100 signifies top-performing investments, while a rank closer to 0 might suggest underperformance, based on the selected ratio. The values are calculated based on the past 12 months of returns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance Indicators

The charts below present risk-adjusted performance metrics for Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) and compare them to a chosen benchmark (^GSPC). These indicators evaluate an investment's returns against its associated risks.

COST

Sharpe ratio

Sortino ratio

Omega ratio

Calmar ratio

Martin ratio

^GSPC

Sharpe ratio

Sortino ratio

Omega ratio

Calmar ratio

Sharpe Ratio

The current Costco Wholesale Corporation Sharpe ratio is 3.93. This value is calculated based on the past 1 year of trading data and takes into account price changes and dividends.

Use the chart below to compare the Sharpe ratio of Costco Wholesale Corporation with the selected benchmark, providing insights into the investment's historical performance in terms of risk-adjusted returns. Go to the Sharpe ratio tool for more fine-grained control over the calculation options.

COST

(Costco Wholesale Corporation)

Benchmark (^GSPC)

Dividends

Dividend History

Costco Wholesale Corporation granted a 2.27% dividend yield in the last twelve months. The annual payout for that period amounted to $19.22 per share.

PeriodTTM20232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
Dividend$19.22$18.96$3.49$3.07$12.75$2.52$2.21$8.95$1.75$6.56$1.38$1.21

Dividend yield

2.27%2.87%0.76%0.54%3.38%0.86%1.08%4.81%1.09%4.06%0.97%1.01%

Monthly Dividends

The table displays the monthly dividend distributions for Costco Wholesale Corporation. The dividends shown in the table have been adjusted to account for any splits that may have occurred.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2024$0.00$1.02$0.00$1.16$0.00$0.00$2.18
2023$0.00$0.90$0.00$0.00$1.02$0.00$0.00$1.02$0.00$0.00$1.02$15.00$18.96
2022$0.00$0.79$0.00$0.90$0.00$0.00$0.90$0.00$0.00$0.90$0.00$0.00$3.49
2021$0.00$0.70$0.00$0.79$0.00$0.00$0.79$0.00$0.00$0.79$0.00$0.00$3.07
2020$0.00$0.65$0.00$0.70$0.00$0.00$0.70$0.00$0.00$0.70$0.00$10.00$12.75
2019$0.00$0.57$0.00$0.00$0.65$0.00$0.00$0.65$0.00$0.65$0.00$0.00$2.52
2018$0.00$0.50$0.00$0.00$0.57$0.00$0.00$0.57$0.00$0.00$0.57$0.00$2.21
2017$0.00$0.45$0.00$0.00$7.50$0.00$0.00$0.50$0.00$0.00$0.50$0.00$8.95
2016$0.00$0.40$0.00$0.45$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.45$0.00$0.00$0.45$0.00$1.75
2015$0.00$5.36$0.00$0.40$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.40$0.00$0.00$0.40$0.00$6.56
2014$0.00$0.31$0.00$0.00$0.36$0.00$0.36$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.36$0.00$1.38
2013$0.28$0.00$0.00$0.31$0.00$0.00$0.31$0.00$0.00$0.31$0.00$1.21

Dividend Yield & Payout

Dividend Yield

Costco Wholesale Corporation has a dividend yield of 2.27%, which is quite average when compared to the overall market.

Payout Ratio

Costco Wholesale Corporation has a payout ratio of 96.14%, which is above the market average. This might signify the company's strong earnings or financial health. However, it could also hint at a more mature business phase with potentially slower growth.

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way.

COST

(Costco Wholesale Corporation)

Benchmark (^GSPC)

Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Costco Wholesale Corporation. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Costco Wholesale Corporation was 70.95%, occurring on Jan 11, 1995. Recovery took 726 trading sessions.

Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-70.95%Jan 16, 1992756Jan 11, 1995726Nov 21, 19971482
-66.89%Jun 10, 1986351Oct 27, 1987321Feb 2, 1989672
-53.39%May 2, 2000665Dec 24, 2002886Jul 3, 20061551
-48.04%Jul 9, 2008168Mar 9, 2009451Dec 20, 2010619
-36.46%Jul 17, 199052Sep 27, 199046Dec 3, 199098

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The current Costco Wholesale Corporation volatility is 4.11%, representing the average percentage change in the investments's value, either up or down over the past month. The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.

COST

(Costco Wholesale Corporation)

Benchmark (^GSPC)

Financials

Financial Performance

The chart below illustrates the trends in the financial health of Costco Wholesale Corporation over time, highlighting three key metrics: Total Revenue, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT), and Net Income.

Annual

Quarterly

Income Statement

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow

Annual

Quarterly

TTM
Revenue

Total Revenue

Cost Of Revenue

Gross Profit

Operating Expenses

Selling, General & Admin Expenses

R&D Expenses

Depreciation And Amortization

Total Operating Expenses

Income

Income Before Tax

Operating Income

EBITDA

EBIT

Earnings From Continuing Operations

Net Income

Income Tax Expense

Other Non-Operating Income (Expenses)

Extraordinary Items

Discontinued Operations

Effect Of Accounting Charges

Non Recurring

Minority Interest

Other Items

Interest Income

Interest Expense

Net Interest Income

Values in undefined except per share items

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) - Stock Analysis (2024)

FAQs

What are analysts saying about Costco stock? ›

Based on analyst ratings, Costco's 12-month average price target is $855.61. Costco has 0.81% upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target. Costco has a consensus rating of Strong Buy which is based on 19 buy ratings, 6 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings.

What is the true value of Costco stock? ›

As of 2024-06-15, the Intrinsic Value of Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) is 956.77 USD. This Costco valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 855.67 USD, the upside of Costco Wholesale Corp is 11.8%. The range of the Intrinsic Value is 681.72 - 1,658.48 USD.

What is the financial analysis of Costco? ›

Costco Financial Overview

Costco's market cap is currently ―. The company's EPS TTM is $16.133; its P/E ratio is 52.58; and it has a dividend yield of 2.27%. Costco is scheduled to report earnings on September 26, 2024, and the estimated EPS forecast is $5.02.

Is Costco over or undervalued? ›

The intrinsic value of one COST stock under the Base Case scenario is 428.89 USD. Compared to the current market price of 855.51 USD, Costco Wholesale Corp is Overvalued by 50%.

Is Costco a buy, sell, or hold? ›

Costco currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.63 on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell etc.)

Who owns the most Costco stock? ›

According to the latest TipRanks data, approximately 46.06% of Costco (COST) stock is held by retail investors. Who owns the most shares of Costco (COST)? Vanguard owns the most shares of Costco (COST).

What will Costco stock be worth in 5 years? ›

Costco stock price stood at $855.51

According to the latest long-term forecast, Costco price will hit $1100 by the end of 2025 and then $1200 by the end of 2026. Costco will rise to $1400 within the year of 2027, $1500 in 2028, $1700 in 2029, $1800 in 2030 and $2000 in 2032.

What is the technical analysis of Costco? ›

Technical Sentiment

Costco's (COST) 20-Day exponential moving average is 819.97, while Costco's (COST) share price is $855.67, making it a Buy. Costco's (COST) 50-Day exponential moving average is 783.90, while Costco's (COST) share price is $855.67, making it a Buy.

What is the fair market value of Costco stock? ›

As of 2024-06-14, the Fair Value of Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) is 244.68 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 845.96 USD, the upside of Costco Wholesale Corp is -71.1%.

Is Costco financially stable? ›

While COST beat revenue and earnings expectations for its fiscal 2024 third quarter, the company kept membership fees unchanged at current rates. In the 12 weeks ended May 12, Costco's revenue increased 9.1% year-over-year to $58.5 billion.

Does Costco have a lot of debt? ›

Total debt on the balance sheet as of May 2024 : $9.29 B

According to Costco's latest financial reports the company's total debt is $9.29 B. A company's total debt is the sum of all current and non-current debts.

Is Costco a recession stock? ›

Costco Wholesale

The top line of consumer staple retailers will be largely unaffected by economic recessions. Costco's (NASDAQ:COST) operations should be fairly resistant to the pressures of an economic recession, providing consumers with the necessities they need at wholesale pricing.

How safe is Costco stock? ›

About that stock price

Its premium is sitting near an all-time high currently while these competitors are far off of their record levels. That means there's a higher risk that you'll overpay for this highly successful business. That's a risk worth taking for most investors.

Is Costco a long term investment? ›

If you are a growth investor looking to buy and hold for a long time, perhaps forever, you should probably give Costco a close look.

Why did Costco stock drop so much? ›

Costco Wholesale topped earnings expectations, but the stock fell following the company's rare revenue miss. The company's fiscal second-quarter revenue of $58.4 billion missed analyst projections for $59.1 billion.

What is the 5 year forecast for Costco stock? ›

Costco stock price stood at $855.51

According to the latest long-term forecast, Costco price will hit $1100 by the end of 2025 and then $1200 by the end of 2026. Costco will rise to $1400 within the year of 2027, $1500 in 2028, $1700 in 2029, $1800 in 2030 and $2000 in 2032.

Should I buy Kirkland stock? ›

Analyst Ratings

According to 1 stock analyst, the rating for Kirkland's is "Strong Buy".

What does it mean when analysts say buy? ›

A “buy” rating means analysts like the stock and think it's worth purchasing because its value is likely to increase.

What is the target price for CRWD? ›

Snapshot
Average RecommendationBuy
Average Target Price399.91
Number Of Ratings49
FY Report Date1/2025
Last Quarter's Earnings0.93
6 more rows

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