Commodities - India | Statista Market Forecast (2024)

Analyst Opinion

The Commodities market in India has been experiencing a notable shift in recent years.

Customer preferences:

Customers in India have shown a growing interest in investing in Commodities as a way to diversify their portfolios and hedge against market volatility. The ease of access to trading platforms and increasing financial literacy among investors have contributed to this trend.

Trends in the market:

One of the key trends in the Indian Commodities market is the increasing participation of retail investors. This trend can be attributed to the democratization of trading through online platforms, which has made it easier for individuals to enter the market. Additionally, the introduction of new and innovative financial products has also attracted retail investors looking for alternative investment opportunities.

Local special circ*mstances:

In India, the agricultural sector plays a significant role in the Commodities market. Factors such as monsoon patterns, government policies, and global demand for agricultural products can have a direct impact on commodity prices. As a result, market participants closely monitor these factors to make informed trading decisions.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:

The economic growth of India, along with its increasing integration into the global economy, has had a profound impact on the Commodities market. As the country continues to urbanize and industrialize, the demand for commodities such as energy, metals, and agricultural products is expected to rise. Additionally, government initiatives to boost infrastructure development and manufacturing further drive the demand for commodities in the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Commodities - India | Statista Market Forecast (2024)

FAQs

Commodities - India | Statista Market Forecast? ›

The nominal value in the Commodities market is projected to reach US$839.40bn in 2024. It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.05% resulting in a projected total amount of US$929.20bn by 2029.

What is the prediction for the Commodities market? ›

After three years of extreme volatility, commodities prices are set to broadly stabilise in 2024.

Are commodities going up or down? ›

Most commodity prices have been relatively flat since late last year. Gold prices are a major exception, rising significantly throughout 2024. Global economic growth trends often play a significant role influencing commodities markets.

What is the forecast for commodities price index? ›

CRB Commodity Index is expected to trade at 331.38 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 341.71 in 12 months time.

Why prices of commodities are rising in India? ›

Reasons behind rising Commodity Prices

As the economic activities around the world are gearing up, the production and demand for such commodities have risen. The price of copper has risen over 27 percent in the last year while that of steel has gained more than 17 percent.

What is the outlook for commodities? ›

Commodity prices are projected to experience a slight downturn in 2024 and 2025 but are expected to remain above pre-pandemic levels. Energy prices are expected to decline by 3 percent in 2024, as notably lower prices of natural gas and coal offset higher oil prices, followed by a further decline of 4 percent in 2025.

What are the top 3 commodities to invest? ›

Three of the most commonly traded commodities include oil, gold, and base metals.

Why are commodities falling? ›

Unlike stocks, commodity markets have declined broadly for the past month. The commodities market weakness reflects concerns about slowing global growth and weakening demand for physical goods.

Why do commodities fall when the dollar rises? ›

Moreover, a stronger dollar in the global market will increase the price of commodities relative to foreign currencies. The higher price of commodities in foreign currency will work to lower demand and dollar-priced commodities.

Do commodities go up with inflation? ›

Few assets benefit from rising inflation, particularly unexpected inflation, but commodities usually do. As the demand for goods and services increases, the price of goods and services rises as does the price of the commodities used to produce those goods and services.

How will commodity prices change in 2024? ›

Assuming no further flare-up in geopolitical tensions, the Bank's forecasts call for a decline of 3% in global commodity prices in 2024 and 4% in 2025. That pace will do little to subdue inflation that remains above central bank targets in most countries.

What is the most sold commodity in the world? ›

What About Crude Oil? Crude oil is by far the biggest commodity market, and oil prices were the talk of the town for much of 2022.

What is the future price of a commodity? ›

Futures prices are the price of a commodity traded on the futures exchange which represents an agreement to pay a predetermined price for a commodity at a set delivery date in the future. For example the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) in London or the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) in the USA.

What are the problems with commodity markets in India? ›

The benefits of commodity market investments include lower volatility, hedging against inflation or geopolitical events, diversification, etc. And, the disadvantages of commodity market trading include high leverage, excessive volatility, higher dependence on macroeconomic factors, etc.

What is the growth of Indian commodity market? ›

The nominal value in the Commodities market is projected to reach US$839.40bn in 2024. It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.05% resulting in a projected total amount of US$929.20bn by 2029.

Why oil and gas prices rising in India? ›

The international price of crude oil directly affects fuel prices in India. These prices can fluctuate due to various reasons such as global political tensions and changes in supply and demand. For example, the Russia-Ukraine war and the Iran-Israel conflict contribute to rising fuel prices.

What are future facing commodities? ›

92. 5. As the name would suggest, future-facing commodities are those that will carry humanity forward as we take on the momentous task of decarbonising the world. These are the commodities that are essential to the energy transition, including lithium, nickel, cobalt, manganese, graphite and copper.

What is the future of commodities? ›

Increased digitisation. A digital future will demand a particular set of commodities to support it. A standard smartphone contains more than 35 minerals and metals, including copper and lithium. Tin is also a key metal used in digital products and will thus enjoy a strong increase in demand over the next two decades.

When the price of a commodity rises the demand will fall? ›

When the price of a commodity rises the demand will fall. Quantity demanded and price are inversely related this means that as the price of the goods increase the demand of that commodity decreases and vice versa. This is because of the law of diminishing marginal utility.

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