Bitcoin is Down: Dynamics Post-ETF Approvals (2024)

In January 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved 11 spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), marking a significant milestone in the cryptocurrency world. Despite this groundbreaking development, the price of Bitcoin surprisingly trended downwards. This article explores the potential reasons why Bitcoin is down following this event.

SEC Approval of Spot Bitcoin ETFs

The SEC’s approval of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs was a long-awaited decision in the crypto community. Notable ETFs included those from Ark, Grayscale, and Blackrock, offering investors direct exposure to Bitcoin through standard brokerage accounts, unlike previous products tracking Bitcoin futures​​.

Market Reactions and Volatility

Following the SEC’s decision, Bitcoin experienced heightened volatility. It saw a surge to nearly $48,000, followed by a downturn to around $45,000, and then a slight recovery. This volatility resulted in significant liquidations in leveraged Bitcoin positions, primarily affecting long positions held by traders anticipating a rise in Bitcoin’s value​​.

Possible Reasons for the Price Decline

  1. Profit-Taking: The anticipation of ETF approvals likely fueled a run-up in Bitcoin’s price. Once the approval was confirmed, investors may have decided to lock in profits, leading to a sell-off.
  2. Market Expectations vs. Reality: Some investors might have overestimated the immediate impact of the ETF approvals. While the approvals were positive for the long-term legitimacy and accessibility of Bitcoin, they did not necessarily translate to immediate large-scale inflows into the market​​.
  3. Regulatory Concerns: Despite the approval, SEC Chair Gary Gensler emphasized that the SEC did not endorse Bitcoin and warned investors about associated risks. This cautious stance from the regulatory body could have dampened investor enthusiasm.
  4. Market Manipulation Speculations: Prior to the official announcement, there was confusion and speculation due to an unauthorized post from the SEC’s account about the ETF approvals. This incident might have triggered uncertainty and mistrust among investors, impacting the market negatively​​.

Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market

Despite the initial downturn, the approval of Bitcoin ETFs is a landmark event. It simplifies and secures Bitcoin investments for a broader investor base, potentially reshaping the dynamics of cryptocurrency investments. The direct exposure to Bitcoin offered by these ETFs could attract new investors, especially those restricted from buying cryptocurrencies directly due to regulatory or logistical reasons.

Bitcoin is Down: Dynamics Post-ETF Approvals (3)

Conclusion

The initial decline in Bitcoin’s price following the SEC’s approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs illustrates the complex and often unpredictable nature of cryptocurrency markets. Factors like profit-taking, market expectations, regulatory perspectives, and market manipulation speculations played roles in this phenomenon. However, the long-term impact of these ETFs could be significantly positive, offering more mainstream and regulated investment avenues into Bitcoin.

FAQ

  1. What is a Spot Bitcoin ETF?
    • A Spot Bitcoin ETF is an exchange-traded fund that invests directly in Bitcoin, allowing investors to gain exposure to its price movements without owning the cryptocurrency itself.
  2. Why did Bitcoin’s price fall after the approval of Bitcoin ETFs?
    • The price fell due to factors like profit-taking, market expectations not meeting reality, regulatory warnings, and initial confusion due to misinformation about the approvals.
  3. Are Bitcoin ETFs different from Bitcoin futures ETFs?
    • Yes, Bitcoin ETFs invest directly in Bitcoin, while futures ETFs invest in Bitcoin futures contracts, which are derivative financial instruments.
  4. How might Bitcoin ETFs affect the overall cryptocurrency market?
    • They could attract new investors, increase market liquidity, and lend greater legitimacy to Bitcoin as an investment asset.
  5. Should investors be cautious about investing in Bitcoin ETFs?
    • Yes, as with any investment, especially in the volatile cryptocurrency market, investors should conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before investing in Bitcoin ETFs.

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Bitcoin is Down: Dynamics Post-ETF Approvals (2024)

FAQs

Why is Bitcoin dropping after ETF approval? ›

The sector also likely is feeling the effect of reduced bets on U.S. interest-rate cuts following this week's economic data. Cryptos are sensitive to borrowing costs just like other risk assets, such as stocks, because higher rates give fewer incentives for investors to buy riskier bets like equities or tokens.

Is Bitcoin ETF going to be approved? ›

Yes and no. There were already crypto-related ETFs and trusts out there, but there had never been a spot Bitcoin ETF on the market before the Jan. 2024 approval. These recently approved ETFs are the first cryptocurrency funds to trade on a major exchange and hold Bitcoin directly.

How high can Bitcoin go after ETF approval? ›

Cryptocurrency bulls say bitcoin could surge to more than $100,000 this year after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved the first-ever U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund.

Why is Bitcoin going down after approval? ›

This counterintuitive phenomenon is caused by “selling the news,” or the act of profit-taking by shareholders after good news breaks. Active investors might opt to take the short-term profits of good news instead of holding on for future gains.

How long will it take for bitcoin ETF to be approved? ›

Ten years after the first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund application was filed in the U.S., the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) finally approved spot Bitcoin ETFs on January 10, 2024.

Is it better to own bitcoin or ETF? ›

There are several benefits to owning the actual Bitcoin by purchasing through a cryptocurrency exchange. In some situations, the ETFs offer investors all they need. The decision between the two will come down to personal preference and technological savvy.

What is the SEC decision on the Bitcoin ETF? ›

The SEC's order approving these BTC ETFs (Approval Order)[5] follows in the wake of Grayscale Investments' August 2023 victory in the D.C. Circuit, in which a unanimous court (appointed by Presidents from both parties) ruled that the SEC was “arbitrary and capricious” in rejecting Grayscale's application to convert its ...

What is the risk of Bitcoin ETF? ›

The primary risk of spot Bitcoin ETFs lies in Bitcoin's inherent volatility, which can lead to significant fluctuations in the ETF value. Investors must be prepared for rapid price changes and potential losses. Additionally, ETF management involves fees, such as expense ratios, which can impact overall returns.

Which Bitcoin ETF is most successful? ›

ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF launched in 2021 as the first bitcoin futures ETF, and it is still the leader in that category. It attracted around $1 billion in assets within a few days after its launch.

What will $1000 of Bitcoin be worth in 2030? ›

If Wood is correct and Bitcoin does reach $3.8 million by 2030, an investment of $1,000 would be worth over $60,000. This would result in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 100%.

How much will 1 Bitcoin be worth in 2025? ›

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2030
YearPrice
2025$ 63,501.28
2026$ 66,676.35
2027$ 70,010.17
2030$ 81,045.52
1 more row

Is it possible for Bitcoin to go to zero? ›

It is possible, but unlikely, for Bitcoin to go to zero. Like any other asset or investment, the value of Bitcoin is subject to market forces. It can be affected by various factors, including supply and demand, investor sentiment, and regulatory actions.

Why does Bitcoin drop after ETF approval? ›

Why did Bitcoin's price fall after the approval of Bitcoin ETFs? The price fell due to factors like profit-taking, market expectations not meeting reality, regulatory warnings, and initial confusion due to misinformation about the approvals.

Why hasn't Bitcoin gone up after ETF? ›

After the halving came and went, some investors who had been waiting on the sidelines might have cashed out, leading to a price correction. The price surge caused by the ETF approval along with anticipation for the halving itself could be a key reason why Bitcoin hasn't experienced the dramatic moonshot many expected.

Why are Bitcoin and ether dropping after SEC ETF approval? ›

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies were largely falling early on Friday as the sector continues to suffer from reduced expectations for interest-rate cuts. Ether was bucking the trend after regulators put a potential timeline on the launch of spot exchange-traded funds tied to the token.

How will ETFs affect Bitcoin? ›

If the ETF shares trade at a premium or a discount to the actual price of Bitcoins, then the APs create or redeem ETF shares in large blocks. This means they essentially arbitrage the difference so the ETF share price aligns with the cost of Bitcoins.

Why am I losing money with ETFs? ›

Market risk

The single biggest risk in ETFs is market risk. Like a mutual fund or a closed-end fund, ETFs are only an investment vehicle—a wrapper for their underlying investment. So if you buy an S&P 500 ETF and the S&P 500 goes down 50%, nothing about how cheap, tax efficient, or transparent an ETF is will help you.

Why sudden drop in bitcoin price? ›

The overall cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin, has experienced price fluctuations due to unforeseen macroeconomic headwinds and the recent impact of Spot ETH ETFs.

What is the disadvantage of Bitcoin ETF? ›

Disadvantages of Crypto ETFs

1 When buying shares of an ETF, you pay your brokerage's trade fees and the fund's expense ratio. Crypto ETFs have expense ratios from 0.39% to 1.5%, much higher than the transaction fees charged by crypto exchanges. 9.

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