Are High-Risk Bonds Really Too Risky? (2024)

Although they are considered risky investments, high-yield bonds—commonly known as junk bonds—may not deserve the negative reputation that still clings to them. In fact, the addition of these high-risk bonds to a portfolio can actually reduce overall portfolio risk when considered within the classic framework of diversification and asset allocation.

Let's look more closely at what high-yield bonds are, what makes them risky, and why you may want to incorporate them into your investing strategy. High-yield bonds are available to investors as individual issues, through high-yield mutual funds, and as junk bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • High-yield bonds offer higher long-term returns than investment-grade bonds, better bankruptcy protections than stocks, and portfolio diversification benefits.
  • Unfortunately, the high-profile fall of "Junk Bond King" Michael Milken damaged the reputation of high-yield bonds as an asset class.
  • High-yield bonds face higher default rates and more volatility than investment-grade bonds, and they have more interest rate risk than stocks.
  • Emerging market debt and convertible bonds are the main alternatives to high-yield bonds in the high-risk debt category.
  • For the average investor, high-yield mutual funds and ETFs are the best ways to invest in junk bonds.

Understanding High-Yield Bonds

Generally, a high-yield bond is defined as a debt obligation with a bond rating of Ba or lower according to Moody's or BB or lower on the Standard & Poor's scale. In addition to being popularly known as junk bonds, they are also referred to as "below investment-grade." Low ratings mean that the company's financial situation is shaky. So, the possibility that the firm could miss making interest payments or default is higher than those of investment-grade bond issuers.

A bond classification below investment-grade does not necessarily mean that a company is mismanaged or engaged in fraud. Many fundamentally sound firms run into financial difficulties at various stages. One poor year for profits or a tragic chain of events can cause a company's debt obligations to be downgraded. Some of the top companies in the S&P 500 have suffered the indignity of having their bonds downgraded to "junk" status. For example, in 2019, Moody's downgraded the debt issued by automotive icon Ford to below investment-grade.

The opposite can also happen. The bonds issued by a young or newly public company may be low-rated because the firm does not yet have a long track record or financial results to evaluate.

Whatever the reason, being considered less creditworthy means borrowing money is more expensive for these companies. They have to pay more interest on their debt, the same way individuals with low credit scores often pay a higher APR on their credit cards. Therefore, they are called high-yield bonds. They offer higher interest rates because of the additional risks. 

Advantages of High-Yield Bonds

Higher Returns

As a result of the increased interest rates, high-yield investments have generally produced better returns than investment-grade bonds. High-yield bonds also have higher returns than CDs and government bonds in the long run. If you are looking to get a higher yield within your fixed-income portfolio, keep that in mind. The number one advantage of high-yield bonds is income.

Bankruptcy Protections

Many investors are unaware of the fact that debt securities have an advantage over equity investments if a company goes bankrupt. Should this happen, bondholders would be paid first during the liquidation process, followed by preferred stockholders, and lastly, common stockholders. This added safety can prove valuable in protecting your portfolio from significant losses, reducing the damage from defaults.

Diversification

The performance of high-yield bonds does not correlate exactly with either investment-grade bonds or stocks. Because their yields are higher than investment-grade bonds, they're less vulnerable to interest rate shifts. This is especially true at lower levels of credit quality, and high-yield bonds are similar to stocks in relying on the strength of the economy. Because of this low correlation, adding high-yield bonds to your portfolio can be an excellent way to reduce overall portfolio risk.

High-yield bonds can act as a counterweight to assets that are more sensitive to interest-rate movements or overall stock market trends. For example, high-yield bonds as a group lost far less than stocks during the financial crisis in 2008. They also rose in price as long-term Treasury bonds fell in 2009, and high-yield bond funds generally outperformed stocks during that market rebound.

The Bad Reputation of High-Yield Bonds

If they have so many pluses, why are high-yield bonds derided as junk? Unfortunately, the high-profile fall of "Junk Bond King" Michael Milken damaged the reputation of high-yield bonds as an asset class.

During the 1980s, Michael Milken—then an executive at investment bank Drexel Burnham Lambert Inc.—gained notoriety for his work on Wall Street. He greatly expanded the use of high-yield debt in mergers and acquisitions (M&A), which in turn fueled the leveraged buyout boom. Milken made millions of dollars for himself and his Wall Street firm by specializing in bonds issued by fallen angels. Fallen angels are once-sound companies that experienced financial difficulties that caused their credit ratings to fall.

In 1989, Rudolph Giuliani charged Milken under the RICO Act with 98 counts of racketeering and fraud. After a plea bargain, he served 22 months in prison and paid over $600 million in fines and civil settlements.

Today, many on Wall Street will attest that the negative perception of junk bonds persists because of the questionable practices of Milken and other high-flying financiers like him.

Risks of High-Yield Bonds

Default Risk

High-yield investments also have their disadvantages, and investors must consider higher volatility and the risk of default at the top of the list. According to Fitch Ratings, high-yield bond defaults in the U.S. fell to 1.8% in 2017. However, the rising level of corporate indebtedness around the world troubles many analysts and economists. High-yield default rates in the U.S. reached 14% during the last recession in 2009, and they are very likely to rise again during the next downturn.

You should be aware that default rates for high-yield mutual funds are easily manipulated by managers. They have the flexibility to dump bonds before defaults and replace them with new bonds.

How can you more accurately estimate the default rate of a high-yield fund? You could look at what has happened to the fund's total return during past downturns. If the fund's turnover is extremely high (over 200%), this may be an indication that near-default bonds are being replaced frequently. You could also look at the fund's average credit quality as an indicator. This can show you if the majority of the bonds being held are just below investment-grade quality at BB or B on the Standard & Poor's scale. If the average is CCC or CC, then the fund is highly speculative because D indicates default.

You should be aware that default rates for high-yield mutual funds are easily manipulated by managers.

Interest Rate Risk

Another pitfall of high-yield investing is that a weak economy and rising interest rates can worsen yields. If you've ever invested in bonds in the past, you're probably familiar with the inverse relationship between bond prices and interest rates. As interest rates go up, bond prices will go down. Though they are less sensitive to short-term rates, junk bonds closely follow long-term interest rates. After a long period of stability that kept investors' principal investments intact, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates repeatedly in 2017 and 2018. However, the Fed reversed course and cut rates in 2019, leading to gains across the bond market.

During a bull market run, you might find that high-yield investments produce inferior returns when compared to equity investments. Fund managers may react to this slow bond market by turning over the portfolio. That will lead to higher turnover percentages and add additional fund expenses that are ultimately paid by you, the end investor.

In times when the economy is healthy, many managers believe that it would take a recession to plunge high-yield bonds into disarray. However, investors must still consider other risks, such as the weakening of foreign economies, changes in currency rates, and various political risks.

Alternatives to High-Yield Bonds

Emerging Market Debt

If you're looking for some significant yield premiums, domestic junk bonds aren't the only asset in the financial sea. Emerging market debt securities may be a beneficial addition to your portfolio. Typically, these securities are cheaper than their U.S. counterparts in part because they have much smaller domestic markets individually. As a group, they account for a significant portion of global high-yield markets.

Convertible Bonds

Some fund managers like to include convertible bonds of companies whose stock price has declined so much that the conversion option is practically worthless. These investments are commonly known as busted convertibles and are purchased at a discount since the market price of the common stock associated with the convertible has fallen sharply.

Other Alternatives

Many fund managers are given the flexibility to include certain other assets to help diversify their investments even further. High-dividend-yield common stocks and preferred shares are comparable to high-yield bonds because they generate substantial income. Certain warrants also have some of the speculative characteristics of junk bonds. Another possibility is leveraged bank loans. These are essentially loans that have a higher rate of interest to reflect the higher risk posed by the borrower.

The Bottom Line

For the average investor, high-yield mutual funds and ETFs are the best ways to invest in junk bonds. These funds offer a pool of low-rated debt obligations, and the diversification reduces the risk of investing in financially struggling companies.

Before you invest in high-yield bonds or other high-yield securities, you should be aware of the risks involved. After doing your research, you may want to add them to your portfolio if you feel these investments suit your situation. The potential to provide higher income and reduce overall portfolio volatility are both good reasons to consider high-yield investments.

Are High-Risk Bonds Really Too Risky? (2024)

FAQs

Are high grade bonds risky? ›

Yes, high-yield corporate bonds are more volatile and, therefore, riskier than investment-grade and government-issued bonds. However, these securities can also provide significant advantages when analyzed in-depth. It all comes down to money.

Is bonds a high risk or low risk? ›

Investment-grade bonds: Investment-grade bonds are viewed as good to excellent credit risks with a low risk of default. Top companies may enjoy having investment-grade credit ratings and pay lower interest rates because of it.

Is now a good time to buy high-yield bonds? ›

Investors can still consider high-yield bonds in moderation

While spreads are low, the yields that high-yield bonds offer are still high. Much of that has to do with the level of Treasury yields, but average yields of 7% or more are still above the recent post-financial crisis average.

What is the most risky type of bond? ›

High-yield corporate bonds

High-yield corporates are issued by companies with credit ratings of Ba1 or BB+ or below by Moody's and S&P, respectively, and therefore have a relatively higher risk of default.

Which bond ratings are high risk? ›

Moody's Investors Service Bond Ratings
RatingDescription
BaObligations with speculative elements that are subject to substantial credit risk.
BObligations are considered speculative that are subject to high credit risk.
CaaObligations of poor standing and are subject to very high credit risk.
6 more rows

Why are corporate bonds high risk? ›

Disadvantages of Corporate Bonds

If the issuer goes out of business, the investor may never get the promised interest payments or even get their principal back. Corporate bonds are generally considered riskier than government bonds because governments at least have the option of raising taxes to meet their obligations.

Are bonds riskier than stocks? ›

Given the numerous reasons a company's business can decline, stocks are typically riskier than bonds. However, with that higher risk can come higher returns. The market's average annual return is about 10%, not accounting for inflation.

How safe are BBB bonds? ›

BBB/Baa are the lowest ratings that qualify for commercial bank investments. It's a borderline group for which, in Standard & Poor's words, adverse economic conditions or changing circ*mstances are more likely to lead to a weakened capacity to pay interest and repay principal than for bonds in higher-rated categories.

What is the safest investment right now? ›

But generally, cash and government bonds—particularly U.S. Treasury securities—are often considered among the safest investment options available. This is because there is minimal risk of loss. That said, it's important to note that no investment is entirely risk-free.

Should you sell bonds when yields rise? ›

Most bond investors are in it for the long haul, meaning for the term of the bond, but there are several good reasons for selling bonds before they mature. They include: Selling bonds because interest rates are about to increase, making your existing bonds less valuable.

What is the outlook for bonds in 2024? ›

Sources: Vanguard calculations, based on data from Bloomberg as of June 30, 2021, and June 30, 2024. Bond yields at midyear 2021 were a paltry 0.25% for the 2-year and 1.45% for the 10-year, compared with midyear 2024 yields of 4.71% for the 2-year and 4.36% for the 10-year.

Is it good to buy bonds when interest rates are falling? ›

Because bond prices typically rise when interest rates fall, the best way to earn a high total return from a bond or bond fund is to buy it when interest rates are high but about to come down.

Can you lose money on bonds if held to maturity? ›

TAKEAWAYS: Not losing money by holding a bond until maturity is an illusion. The economic impact of market rate changes still impacts investors holding bonds until maturity. A bond index fund provides an investor with greater diversification and less risk.

Why are bonds not a good investment? ›

Cons. Bonds are sensitive to interest rate changes. Bonds have an inverse relationship with the Fed's interest rate. When interest rates rise, bond prices fall.

Which bond is considered to be the safest? ›

Treasury bonds (also known as T-bonds) are issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury to finance the national debt and other government expenditures. They are considered to be among the safest investments in the world because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government.

Are A+ rated bonds safe? ›

A+ rated bonds are a moderately safe investment that can provide investors with regular income, stability, and diversification benefits. These bonds are issued by companies with good financial health and robust management practices, making them less likely to default.

How risky is AAA grade bond? ›

Bonds rated AAA have the highest ratings assigned by rating agencies. They carry the smallest degree of investment risk. Issuer's capacity to pay interest and principal is extremely strong.

What is the downside of high-yield bonds? ›

What are the risks? Compared to investment grade corporate and sovereign bonds, high yield bonds are more volatile with higher default risk among underlying issuers. In times of economic stress, defaults may spike, making the asset class more sensitive to the economic outlook than other sectors of the bond market.

What is the riskiest bond rating? ›

Obligations rated Ba are judged to have speculative elements and are subject to substantial credit risk. Obligations rated B are considered speculative and are subject to high credit risk. Obligations rated Caa are judged to be of poor standing and are subject to very high credit risk.

Top Articles
5 Different Ways to Withdraw Bitcoin to Your Bank Account
Deploy Folder Redirection with Offline Files
Promotional Code For Spades Royale
Enrique Espinosa Melendez Obituary
Mrh Forum
Professor Qwertyson
Goteach11
Mylife Cvs Login
Visustella Battle Core
What Happened To Father Anthony Mary Ewtn
Pollen Count Los Altos
Declan Mining Co Coupon
4Chan Louisville
Culvers Tartar Sauce
Jack Daniels Pop Tarts
Betonnen afdekplaten (schoorsteenplaten) ter voorkoming van lekkage schoorsteen. - HeBlad
Flights To Frankfort Kentucky
U/Apprenhensive_You8924
Ts Lillydoll
Letter F Logos - 178+ Best Letter F Logo Ideas. Free Letter F Logo Maker. | 99designs
Epro Warrant Search
25Cc To Tbsp
Icommerce Agent
Unity - Manual: Scene view navigation
Ibukunore
Noaa Ilx
Loft Stores Near Me
O'Reilly Auto Parts - Mathis, TX - Nextdoor
Aes Salt Lake City Showdown
Rust Belt Revival Auctions
1 Filmy4Wap In
Bolsa Feels Bad For Sancho's Loss.
Package Store Open Near Me Open Now
Duke Energy Anderson Operations Center
Renfield Showtimes Near Marquee Cinemas - Wakefield 12
Vitals, jeden Tag besser | Vitals Nahrungsergänzungsmittel
Missouri State Highway Patrol Will Utilize Acadis to Improve Curriculum and Testing Management
The Mad Merchant Wow
Best Workers Compensation Lawyer Hill & Moin
Heavenly Delusion Gif
Lyca Shop Near Me
Bianca Belair: Age, Husband, Height & More To Know
Join MileSplit to get access to the latest news, films, and events!
Colorado Parks And Wildlife Reissue List
Electric Toothbrush Feature Crossword
COVID-19/Coronavirus Assistance Programs | FindHelp.org
Shipping Container Storage Containers 40'HCs - general for sale - by dealer - craigslist
Mychart Mercy Health Paducah
M&T Bank
Madden 23 Can't Hire Offensive Coordinator
Hy-Vee, Inc. hiring Market Grille Express Assistant Department Manager in New Hope, MN | LinkedIn
4015 Ballinger Rd Martinsville In 46151
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Greg Kuvalis

Last Updated:

Views: 6526

Rating: 4.4 / 5 (75 voted)

Reviews: 82% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Greg Kuvalis

Birthday: 1996-12-20

Address: 53157 Trantow Inlet, Townemouth, FL 92564-0267

Phone: +68218650356656

Job: IT Representative

Hobby: Knitting, Amateur radio, Skiing, Running, Mountain biking, Slacklining, Electronics

Introduction: My name is Greg Kuvalis, I am a witty, spotless, beautiful, charming, delightful, thankful, beautiful person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.