2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley (2024)

Index Definitions

S&P 500 Index: The Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 Index tracks the performance of 500 widely held, large-capitalization US stocks.

Risk Considerations

Equity securities may fluctuate in response to news on companies, industries, market conditions and general economic environment.

The value of fixed income securities will fluctuate and, upon a sale, may be worth more or less than their original cost or maturity value. Bonds are subject to interest rate risk, call risk, reinvestment risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk of the issuer.

High yield bonds (bonds rated below investment grade) may have speculative characteristics and present significant risks beyond those of other securities, including greater credit risk, price volatility, and limited liquidity in the secondary market. High yield bonds should comprise only a limited portion of a balanced portfolio.

Companies paying dividends can reduce or cut payouts at any time.

Asset allocation and diversification do not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining financial markets.

Investing in small- to medium-sized companies entails special risks, such as limited product lines, markets and financial resources, and greater volatility than securities of larger, more established companies.

Because of their narrow focus, sector investments tend to be more volatile than investments that diversify across many sectors and companies. Technology stocks may be especially volatile. Risks applicable to companies in the energy and natural resources sectors include commodity pricing risk, supply and demand risk, depletion risk and exploration risk. Health care sector stocks are subject to government regulation, as well as government approval of products and services, which can significantly impact price and availability, and which can also be significantly affected by rapid obsolescence and patent expirations.

The indices are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific investment.

The indices selected by Morgan Stanley Wealth Management to measure performance are representative of broad asset classes. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management retains the right to change representative indices at any time.

Disclosures

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management is the trade name of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, a registered broker-dealer in the United States. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, its affiliates and Morgan Stanley Financial Advisors do not provide legal or tax advice. Each client should always consult his/her personal tax and/or legal advisor for information concerning his/her individual situation and to learn about any potential tax or other implications that may result from acting on a particular recommendation.

This material, or any portion thereof, may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC.

© 2024 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, Member SIPC.

CRC# 6187449 (01/2024)

2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley (2024)

FAQs

2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley? ›

Key Takeaways. The U.S. equity market's rally at the end of 2023 has left stocks overvalued, with little room for error. Analysts' estimates for 2024 corporate earnings may be too optimistic, given a likely tapering in U.S. economic growth. Markets may also be overestimating the number of Fed rate cuts in 2024.

What is the outlook for Morgan Stanley in 2024? ›

Recent economic indicators have prompted Morgan Stanley Research to revise its forecast for U.S. economic growth, now projecting 2.3% for 2024 and 2.1% for 2025, up from previous estimates of 1.9% and 1.4%, respectively.

What is the prediction for the stock market in 2024? ›

The Big Money bulls forecast that the Dow Jones Industrial Average will end 2024 at about 41,231, 9% higher than current levels. Market optimists had a mean forecast of 5461 for the S&P 500 and 17,143 for the Nasdaq Composite —up 9% and 10%, respectively, from where the indexes were trading on May 1.

What is the stock market prediction for Morgan Stanley? ›

The average price target for Morgan Stanley is $101.71. This is based on 17 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months. The highest analyst price target is $118.00 ,the lowest forecast is $89.00. The average price target represents 10.42% Increase from the current price of $92.11.

What asset class will perform best in 2024? ›

Best ideas across asset classes
  • Equities.
  • Fixed income.
  • Real estate.
  • Public & private real assets.
Mar 26, 2024

What is the stock market prediction for 2025? ›

A recession in early 2025 could send the stock market tumbling 30%, strategist says. A recession by early next year could send stocks down 30%, says BCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim. Continued unemployment and headwinds from China's limping economy will be drivers of a downturn.

What are the top stocks for 2024? ›

Best S&P 500 stocks as of May 2024
Company and ticker symbolPerformance in 2024
Super Micro Computer (SMCI)202.1%
NVIDIA (NVDA)74.5%
Constellation Energy (CEG)59.1%
General Electric (GE)58.6%
6 more rows

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

It can be nerve-wracking to watch your portfolio consistently drop during bear market periods. After all, nobody likes losing money; that goes against the whole purpose of investing. However, pulling your money out of the stock market during down periods can often do more harm than good in the long term.

Should I liquidate my stocks? ›

Investors might sell a stock if it's determined that other opportunities can earn a greater return. If an investor holds onto an underperforming stock or is lagging the overall market, it may be time to sell that stock and put the money to work in another investment.

Is now a good time to invest in the stock market? ›

Based on the stock market's historic performance, there's never necessarily a bad time to buy -- as long as you keep a long-term outlook. The market can be volatile in the short term (even in strong economic times), but it has a perfect track record of seeing positive returns over many years.

Is Morgan Stanley a good buy now? ›

Morgan Stanley stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is and is based on 52 buy ratings, 26 hold ratings, and 4 sell ratings.

Is Morgan Stanley a safe place to invest? ›

Is Morgan Stanley Private Bank safe? Yes. Accounts on E-Trade from Morgan Stanley offer double the insurance coverage compared to most other banks. Morgan Stanley accounts are FDIC-insured up to $500,000 per customer, per account.

Is Morgan Stanley a buy, sell, or hold? ›

Morgan Stanley has received a consensus rating of Hold. The company's average rating score is 2.42, and is based on 8 buy ratings, 11 hold ratings, and no sell ratings.

What is the safest investment with the highest return? ›

These seven low-risk but potentially high-return investment options can get the job done:
  • Money market funds.
  • Dividend stocks.
  • Bank certificates of deposit.
  • Annuities.
  • Bond funds.
  • High-yield savings accounts.
  • 60/40 mix of stocks and bonds.

What is the best stock to invest in 2024 for beginners? ›

In addition to Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), and Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE:MA), Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) is one of the best investments for beginners in 2024. Click to continue reading and see 5 Best Investments for Beginners in 2024.

How to get 10% return on investment? ›

Investments That Can Potentially Return 10% or More
  1. Stocks.
  2. Real Estate.
  3. Private Credit.
  4. Junk Bonds.
  5. Index Funds.
  6. Buying a Business.
  7. High-End Art or Other Collectables.
Sep 17, 2023

How high will the Nasdaq go in 2024? ›

Here's the Growth Stock to Buy Right Now. The Nasdaq-100 technology index plunged into a bear market in 2022 on the back of a 33% loss for the year.

What is the 10 year outlook for the stock market? ›

Highlights: 5.2% 10-year expected nominal return for U.S. large-cap equities; 9.9% for European equities; 9.1% for emerging-markets equities; 5.0% for U.S. aggregate bonds (as of September 2023). All return assumptions are nominal (non-inflation-adjusted).

How much will the S&P 500 be worth in 2025? ›

Meanwhile, the median streak of positive returns can extend to 17 months with a gain of 14%, based on historical data. That suggests the S&P 500 could trade to 6,000 by August 2025, and to as high as 6,150 by November 2025.

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